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Topic: BS&T -- Are you staying or leaving? - page 12. (Read 24797 times)

vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 01:12:41 PM
#86
Ok, let's play through a scenario..

Let's make an assumption that for every lender you have for your business, it eats 15 minutes of your time per week.  Sure some will be more because they're needy and ask a bunch of questions all the time, just like others will be less because they just want a 'set and forget'.  So, on average, you spend 15 minutes per lender per week.

My next assumption will be that we confine ourselves to a 9 hour working day, 6 days a week.  That gives us 54 working hours per week.  That gives us time for about 216 lenders.  Anything more than that, you're eating up your personal time.  We already made an assumption the person is working more than the traditional 'work week' and it pretty much factors out a 'day job'.  That leaves no time for other projects, like running CPUmax or your IT consulting business or the like.  It also leaves less than optimal time for a wife/husband and any kids.  Skip the hobbies, because you better believe there will be a honey-do list.  There can't be vacations because if you're not around for a day, people start labeling you a con artist because you didn't respond to your pm within 15 minutes or payments went out at 12:09 instead of 12:00.

Now imagine if you should shuffle some of the day to day to some of your more willing and able lenders.  Think of them like bundlers.  You don't want everyone to do it so you set some quantity limits, because otherwise every Tom, Dick, & Jane would want to be one and you've not reduced your time investment.  You figure out about how many coins you're using in your business, you divide that number by about how many people you'd like to interact with on a daily basis, and you base your numbers off that.  You've suddenly brought your time investment down from 50-60 hours a week to perhaps 10-20.  Certain people will feel uncomfortable with using a 3rd party for their savings, so you continue to offer them a plan with a rate that takes into account the cost for the amount of time they're likely to consume.

You're suddenly working less hours, dealing with more experienced people.   The pm's are now responded to more quickly because there's a team of people that are responding to them.  If people are dissatisfied with their bundler, they can move to a different one.  Hell, they can even use two or three at the same time because bundlerA offers free lunch and bundlerB offers free condoms.

So far we've not really changed anything, other than to whom the end user communicates.  We've not encouraging new deposits, we're simply encouraging consolidation.  We get more time with the wife.  We can spend more time on our other projects.  We can even go to our 10 year high school anniversary now without feeling guilty someone's going to complain.


1) How does any of the above not match with Pirate?
2) How is any of the above not reasonable?
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1001
rippleFanatic
July 04, 2012, 01:05:12 PM
#85
Exactly! If it walks like a ponzi, looks like a ponzi, quacks like a ponzi it very likely is a ponzi.

As i said in the other thread, Occam's Razor has another side. Given Pirates close proximity to the Mexican border, and considering that area is a major drug trafficking corridor, I suspect this isn't a Ponzi at all. Most likely it's simply conversion if drug money, plain and simple. That would easily explain the outrageous returns at least.

Interesting possibility. So you are saying that they are possibly doing "conversion of drug money" AKA money laundering of USD via BTC and somehow this involves borrowing large amount of BTC and paying 6-10% per week on this. (BTW very interesting biz for it's promoters and "others" to be involved in with full self confessed knowledge of it)

Walk me through please, how it works? What is a plausible biz model here? Sorry for being so slow.


If he's laundering drug money, then why claim he can't divulge or competition would come and kill his margins? Because there's such a small barrier of entry to working for that market (laundering drug money), anyone who lives close to the border can do it...  Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 695
Merit: 500
July 04, 2012, 12:55:56 PM
#84
Monthly? Pfft. Big boys play with WEEKLY now. 

That doesn't show commitment.  I'll step it up.  I'll pay 700% each year!

16% crushes 7%, and 700% makes it look like a tiny, tiny, tiny thing!

7% per week equal approximately 3,300% per year.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 502
July 04, 2012, 12:50:13 PM
#83
Right lets short bitcoin to get more of it. It might be simpler than ponzi, but it also needs to be plausible.


Have you seen how many times we were on an uptick in price and a wall showed up out of nowhere to kill it and bring us back down?

Its plausible.  Now who is being stubborn and refusing to accept the easiest solution?

Do entertain us and provide a simple explanation for your "money laundering" hypothesis, simple enough that we can understand.

It is not I am stubborn, it is you failing to argue your point concisely.



Also, include the reason for minimum investments and decreasing interest rates in a money laundering context. Good luck.

vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 12:48:39 PM
#82
When the ponzi collapses, I won't feel bad for you at all. If you want to waste your money, fine, just don't invest more than you can lose and still be happy -- because you WILL lose.

Do you know something the rest of us do not know?

The exponential curve. Smiley

Which one is that?
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
July 04, 2012, 12:48:21 PM
#81
Right lets short bitcoin to get more of it. It might be simpler than ponzi, but it also needs to be plausible.


Have you seen how many times we were on an uptick in price and a wall showed up out of nowhere to kill it and bring us back down?

Its plausible.  Now who is being stubborn and refusing to accept the easiest solution?

Do entertain us and provide a simple explanation for your "money laundering" hypothesis, simple enough that we can understand.

It is not I am stubborn, it is you failing to argue your point concisely.

Is anyone with "pirate is definitely not a ponzi" stance capable of forming a
logical argument without a bunch of fallacies embedded in it?

hero member
Activity: 695
Merit: 500
July 04, 2012, 12:47:52 PM
#80
When the ponzi collapses, I won't feel bad for you at all. If you want to waste your money, fine, just don't invest more than you can lose and still be happy -- because you WILL lose.

Do you know something the rest of us do not know?

The exponential curve. Smiley
vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 12:45:41 PM
#79
Right lets short bitcoin to get more of it. It might be simpler than ponzi, but it also needs to be plausible.


Have you seen how many times we were on an uptick in price and a wall showed up out of nowhere to kill it and bring us back down?

Its plausible.  Now who is being stubborn and refusing to accept the easiest solution?
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 502
July 04, 2012, 12:45:31 PM
#78
Explain the minimum investment in a money laundering context.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
July 04, 2012, 12:44:25 PM
#77
Right lets short bitcoin to get more of it. It might be simpler than ponzi, but it also needs to be plausible.
vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 12:42:44 PM
#76
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.

Occam's Razor is about avoiding excessively complicated explanations if a simple and fitting one is at hand.

The explanations offered by the pro-BS&T statements are a convoluted mess, make no sense, and are extremely diverse: nobody has the same opinion.

However, there is exactly one simple explanation that works and is well-documented: a HYIP Ponzi.

Occam's razor picks the Ponzi. Anyone can check that by making a simple map of arguments or a model of what BS&T supposedly does.

Really?  Money Laundering fits perfectly well too.   Those types, once they find a source, want to flow more and more money through it.  How's that for occam's razor?
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
July 04, 2012, 12:41:16 PM
#75
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.

Occam's Razor is about avoiding excessively complicated explanations if a simple and fitting one is at hand.

The explanations offered by the pro-BS&T statements are a convoluted mess, make no sense, and are extremely diverse: nobody has the same opinion.

However, there is exactly one simple explanation that works and is well-documented: a HYIP Ponzi.

Occam's razor picks the Ponzi. Anyone can check that by making a simple map of arguments or a model of what BS&T supposedly does.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
July 04, 2012, 12:40:26 PM
#74
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.

Right and it is absolutely impossible to rise equity capital or bank loan with interest rates at about 3 orders of magnitude lower annual interest.

Are you kidding?  Ask a bank for a loan, they'll ask what its for. You tell them and they'll say no.  Natural resource mining is actually a risky en devour and many banks won't touch it.  So then you're asking 3rd parties for VC and you better believe they'll want more than 3% a year.

ouch, you got me here. OK 2 orders of magnitude then.
vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 12:39:08 PM
#73
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.

Right and it is absolutely impossible to rise equity capital or bank loan with interest rates at about 3 orders of magnitude lower annual interest.

Are you kidding?  Ask a bank for a loan, they'll ask what its for. You tell them and they'll say no.  Natural resource mining is actually a risky en devour and many banks won't touch it.  So then you're asking 3rd parties for VC and you better believe they'll want more than 3% a year.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
July 04, 2012, 12:35:43 PM
#72
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.

Right and it is absolutely impossible to rise equity capital or bank loan with interest rates at about 3 orders of magnitude lower annual interest.

vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.
July 04, 2012, 12:28:30 PM
#71
I've yet to figure out why Occam's razor says it must be a ponzi.

I'm guessing no one here has ever had a natural gas reserve or oil reserve found on their property. It has a stupid high amount of start up capital demands, pays stupidly well for a certain amount of time, then gradually fades out.  That doesn't make it a ponzi.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
BitMinter
July 04, 2012, 12:13:49 PM
#70
Keep talking !

hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 1001
-
July 04, 2012, 11:03:10 AM
#69
BTW the poll results on the top of this thread are rather curious.

About 80% of respondents say "yay, we give him lots of money, gonna be rich soon"
About 20% of respondents say "are you damn brainless idiot?"

Now google "pareto principle", read, think.



legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
July 04, 2012, 10:45:44 AM
#68
reeses have you read my post here?: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1008302
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1002
July 04, 2012, 10:26:47 AM
#67
Hey, Goat. Stop being an asshole, OK?

Point to me which of my posts was an off-topic troll on Pirate's thread, please.

In fact I have the opposite opinion of Maged and BadBear, but I will not let any of you attack them for stating their own opinions, or else I'm opening the door for people to attack me and/or try and silence me just because there is a title of Staff under my username.

What you said just proves that you didn't even read any of my posts on Pirate's thread, and just assume I'm anti-Pirate because there is Staff written under my name.
Way to be blind, asshole.

Asking me to not be an asshole? oh lol! I thought I was a fussy prick? What a clown you are.

Being anti-pirate does not equal troll. Being anti-pirate is a ninja. Sadly you are just a troll, not a ninja.

I said you were an off topic insulting troll and you should know better but I guess you do not as you are doing it again.

I have respect for Bad Bear and esp Maged. You on the other hand, lol....

I'm pretty sure you have more respect for me than the rest of the forum has respect for you.
Also, the one collecting money from others to invest in Pirate is you. All I have in there are my personal funds.

I'm still waiting for your lawsuit. I sent you my full name and address 6 months ago. Have go at it.
Put up or shut up.
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