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Blockchain 2042: After The Deep Fake, Prepare Yourself For The Deep True
I propose a forward-looking exercise on the society of the coming decades, marked by the 4th industrial revolution. Taking as a starting point the "regime of the trace" proposed by Alain Damasio, here is an incursion into the era of the "Deep Fake" and the one that will follow it, the era of the "Deep True".
The 4th industrial revolution defined by the German economist Klaus Schwab has already begun. Its beginnings almost coincide with those of the new millennium, and are around the year 2000. And although the term was indeed first used by Schwab in 2015 and then in the book of the same name published in 2016, the vision of a major shift in the role of technology in the structure and functioning of modern society had already been clearly defined in February 2000 in the National Intelligence Council's report entitled "Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future With Non-government Experts" and I invite you to read the latest iteration dated January 2017 : "Paradox of Progress".
This vision is based on the application of the digital revolution to the digital, physical and biological worlds, with the deployment of a multitude of new tools with fascinating potential: blockchain and cryptoassets, 3D printing, artificial intelligence, robotics and autonomous self-piloted systems, nano-technologies and super-batteries, quantum computers, biotech based on embryonic research, stem cells and DNA manipulation, and connected "intelligent" objects to name but a few. It must be understood that we are talking here about a disruption of human society through technological advances far superior to what the control of the atom's fission brought in its time. And the example taken here is not insignificant, because the main danger facing us today is the same as then: that this fascinating technology fall into indelicate hands....
And that's obviously what's happening.
Discussed in my previous article, the Deep Fake era is the first unhealthy emanation of the technological advances characterizing the 4th industrial revolution. Fake news is only the tip of the iceberg: the ability of machines (hardware and software) to produce perfectly realistic artifacts, and probably even "more real than life" will be fully operational in just a few years. It will then become possible, and easy, to falsify almost anything, whether physical or intangible. We will then wait for the stage where counterfeiting will be widespread and largely dominant in all sectors: medical, spare parts, but also reports, testimonies, recordings and telephone conversations, contracts...
Our grandchildren's generation of printers, coupled with the "Super AliExpress" which will put the most sophisticated service providers at your fingertips and 24 hours of delivery, will allow you to have just about anything made, including a copy of anything... The currency will then be completely dematerialized, and our grandchildren will laugh when they hear us tell them that it was our "before" practice to exchange printed pieces of paper for jewellery, cars, or entertainment tickets. The dollar will have lost its egemony, but that will not matter: the financial sphere will have mutated and adopted the new SFM (Super Fractionned Money) paradigm, characterized by the simultaneous cohabitation of several thousand different currencies, most of them crypto. There will always be state currencies, but they will not be the most used by the general public: each retail player of respectable size will promote its own cryptocurrency.
In this disturbing context, we will then be led to question the concept of reality and truth as we define them today. As a logical reaction and to allow "seeing clearly", the system will put in place permanent and increasingly sophisticated (and painful) controls, regardless of the type of social interaction (trade, finance, politics...). The general public will systematically doubt in the first instance before anything presented to it, suspicion becoming the norm, and fuelling conspiracy theories and other anti-system movements. Governments will try to react by over-legislating, and we will then slide into the era of the "Deep True": "certified true" labels will appear, which will be based on Blockchain technology and its comprehensive and forgery-proof public registry structure. The "truth" can emerge again, because "everything" will be stored immutably on a dedicated Blockchain. Everything will be measured, evaluated, and recorded in a Blockchain: no more need for tickets anywhere, speed cameras, speed cameras, tax controls, paternity tests... We will be tracked, recorded, geolocated and filmed continuously, and this data will be analyzed to generate automated alerts, warnings, and convictions. Data that will also be re-processed thanks to Artificial Intelligence and the results obtained resold to retail players to enable them to be even more efficient in their fierce desire to make us consume, again and again.
Retail players who will also use the power of the Blockchain and connected objects to almost completely eradicate counterfeiting: you will be filmed in all public transport locations, and the images analysed thanks to the I.A. to identify the models of clothing, bags, accessories, watches you wear. These data will be cross-referenced with those of your "Individual Blockchain" in order to verify that there is indeed a purchase trace for each item, otherwise you will be intercepted for further explanations or directly debited with the corresponding sum during a preliminary investigation...
But full traceability will not only have its downsides. Food scandals will become marginal, because everything will be perfectly measured and documented: genotype and paternity of each animal over several generations, respect for the cold chain, storage and delivery times, etc. Similarly in the pharmaceutical industry and for medical reimbursements: from the extraction of basic materials and components to final packaging, to the sale in pharmacy, everything will be precisely recorded in a dedicated Blockchain, eliminating the possibility of spreading counterfeit medicines on the market.
The fake news and other Deep Fake that have disrupted several elections in democratic countries and triggered many false scandals will be a bad memory: the slightest information will be validated before release against the facts stored in the corresponding Blockchain. The "not fake" label will be automatically assigned to content verified by an Open-Source algorithm managed by a decentralized structure.
Two small details as a corollary of this entertaining divagation:
- This scenario, plausible or not, is obviously not global. It would only concern the part of the company that could finance the establishment and maintenance of such an infrastructure. The 4th Industrial Revolution will undoubtedly be the most fascinating of all in many respects, but it will lead to a radical social fracture that risks literally splitting the world in two, and for good this time, by mercilessly excluding those "who do not have the means"...
- The concept of Blockchain applied to all sectors of society would revolutionize the world as we know it today, as we have brushed it along these lines. But it would have a huge cost, and still faces two physical limitations: the amount of data involved, and the energy required to allow its secure storage and instant access.
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