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Topic: BTC in slow free fall? - page 2. (Read 2587 times)

newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 08:11:47 PM
#16
Bitcoin price just made a jump up.....
newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 08:02:53 PM
#15
A lot of very bullish commentary here unsuprisingly as we are all Bitcoin lovers Smiley
I however would argue that Bitcoins recent blaze of publicity starting from its parity with the dollar, all the way up to the MTGox fiasco has bought a lot of attention and new users which have pushed value upwards. As the both the spectacular and the distasters die down, I would expect a downwards trend as some adopters drift away.

So you don't think that more people will start to use Bitcoins?
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 07:36:17 PM
#14
A lot of very bullish commentary here unsuprisingly as we are all Bitcoin lovers Smiley
I however would argue that Bitcoins recent blaze of publicity starting from its parity with the dollar, all the way up to the MTGox fiasco has bought a lot of attention and new users which have pushed value upwards. As the both the spectacular and the distasters die down, I would expect a downwards trend as some adopters drift away.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
July 18, 2011, 07:14:55 PM
#13
oh boy..better stock up on them while you can!  Grin

(Subliminal messaging because I own a pyramid site)  Cheesy
newbie
Activity: 8
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 05:34:32 PM
#12
No big deal, it'll rally at some point, not like you depend on the money you get from selling your BTC to survive anyways, right?

exactly! hold to win  Smiley
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
July 18, 2011, 05:28:10 PM
#11
No big deal, it'll rally at some point, not like you depend on the money you get from selling your BTC to survive anyways, right?
newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 04:30:14 PM
#10
I think the price will continue to slowly fall as long as there are early adopters willing to sell.

Forget terabytes of internet traffic.  A real useful metric would be one that Theymos regularly calculates: number of unspent generations.  (or in other words, number of coins that have been mined but have never participated in any transaction, as determined by scanning the blockchain).  Last time I asked him, that figure was 2.4 million BTC, with over 3/4 of those coins being before block 70000 (in other words, mined before July 2010).

Number of unspent generation is a very good indicator, but I think we should look at the market from a different perspective: Bitcoin is still expanding. More and more people use it.

Now most of the transactions come from Bitcoin speculation. In the future, more and more of these transactions will be originated by merchants, thus driving the value up. And IF value constantly goes up, people will be more willing to hold bitcoins.

In synthesis, as long as new adopters will put liquidity in the market by buying small bitcoin ammounts, the price should go up. Now we have less people on the internet, thus less people able to spend. Let's speak again about this around december...

legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1008
July 18, 2011, 04:20:53 PM
#9
I think the price will continue to slowly fall as long as there are early adopters willing to sell.

Forget terabytes of internet traffic.  A real useful metric would be one that Theymos regularly calculates: number of unspent generations.  (or in other words, number of coins that have been mined but have never participated in any transaction, as determined by scanning the blockchain).  Last time I asked him, that figure was 2.4 million BTC, with over 3/4 of those coins being before block 70000 (in other words, mined before July 2010).

in other words early adopters have enough bitcoins mined to sell at $10 and still be set for life.........
vip
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1140
The Casascius 1oz 10BTC Silver Round (w/ Gold B)
July 18, 2011, 04:06:54 PM
#8
I think the price will continue to slowly fall as long as there are early adopters willing to sell.

Forget terabytes of internet traffic.  A real useful metric would be one that Theymos regularly calculates: number of unspent generations.  (or in other words, number of coins that have been mined but have never participated in any transaction, as determined by scanning the blockchain).  Last time I asked him, that figure was 2.4 million BTC, with over 3/4 of those coins being before block 70000 (in other words, mined before July 2010).
hero member
Activity: 1034
Merit: 558
July 18, 2011, 04:04:12 PM
#7
slow free fall?

more like temporary dip and buying opportunity  Cool
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1002
July 18, 2011, 03:10:31 PM
#6
Is "slow free fall" like a "slow crash" ?

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 02:51:33 PM
#5
I've been keeping records of various statistics, including the current value of the BTC and have noticed it steadily declining over the last few weeks.  I don't think I've seen it go up once.  Does anyone know what's going on?  The highest value I have for the BTC is from when I began keeping records, on 6/16/11.  Then it was 16.7 USD/BTC.  Today, 12.52 Sad

Look further back, prior to the speculation spike caused by media events, 1 BTC was hovering around US$9. So if the Silkroad and other events did not bring Bitcoin into the limelight, US$9 would likely had be the "real" value of 1 BTC. What we're seeing now, in my non-financially trained opinion, is merely market correction to the correct valuation, quite possibly $9~$10 before it will climb up again.

newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 02:42:27 PM
#4
It's the summer, price will slowly go down until mid september. Then, it will start to massively grow again.


I bet 1 BTC that there is a strong statistical correlation between Bitcoin Price and Worldwide traffic in Terabytes.
legendary
Activity: 873
Merit: 1000
July 18, 2011, 02:36:52 PM
#3
reminds me of the death march mid-february to early april: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#rg180zczsg2011-02-01zeg2011-04-10ztgSzm1g10zm2g25

so many people were so smart, they sold at $0.80 or so and then smiled confidently as it dipped into the $0.50s.

i wonder how many are smiling today.
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1001
July 18, 2011, 02:03:54 PM
#2
I dont see anything good here..

This is a snapshot from the last 24 hours and there's no new money expected into the market for at least a few more hours..

newbie
Activity: 29
Merit: 0
July 18, 2011, 02:01:29 PM
#1
I've been keeping records of various statistics, including the current value of the BTC and have noticed it steadily declining over the last few weeks.  I don't think I've seen it go up once.  Does anyone know what's going on?  The highest value I have for the BTC is from when I began keeping records, on 6/16/11.  Then it was 16.7 USD/BTC.  Today, 12.52 Sad
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