So you're saying the PoW coin's value is directly corresponding to the production cost of new coins
and even older coins created at a much lower production prices , their price automatically grows to match the highest most recent production cost.
Since the production price per PoW coin continues grow due to increased competition , are you of the mindset that the price per bitcoin will rise forever even to the point where a satoshi is worth $1 million.
You make the point that PoW coin price is directly tied to production cost,
Utility seems to be a non-issue for the value of a PoW coin in your theory,
while a PoS coin can only achieve any price value if it has a utility function as price support.
I heard the current price of Bitcoin ($3,658.82) is below production price for the majority of miners,
is that information false or how is it possible the current market price be lower than production price in your understanding?
TIA
1. no i am not saying the PRICE is tied to production cost
i am saying the UNDERLYING VALUE is linked to mining cost
2. as for the 'majority' of miners. they do not mine at 6cent-20cent electric and paying $1450 for asics.
the majority get cheap electric at under 6cents electric and they get bulk discount or cheap asics due to being the manufacturers or know manufacturers enough to get discounts
those mining with only a couple asics and doing it from their own home are not productive because they have not found the cheapest solutions. they are just hobby mining and not the serious majority. yes you will hear hobby miners complain they are not making profit but out of the millions of asics. hobby mining is not that much
3. the UNDERLYING VALUE is UNDERLYING. it is NOT the price. it is a value below the price that makes up the SUPPORT where people refuse to sell below.
take 2018
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underlying value was at $5800 which is why for the majority of 2018 the price did not go below $5800.
then in october a mass sell off of old S9's occured (cheap second hand prices) making it cheaper to mine as new s15's were also being tested. so the underlying value went down which caused the november 2018 price movement to go down
4. PoS have no ongoing cost. . the initial 'stake' is not a ongoing cost. you dont lose it so you get to keep the 'stake' when you decide you dont want to mine. unlike paying for electric which is an ongoing cost.
5. as for thinking btc should turn to PoS. there are many issues
a. exchanges hoarding many large addresses of 50k coins+ will win block signing the most
b. signing blocks is not as secure as the hashing mechanism of mining
c. hobbiests that just buy PoS coins at speculative prices and stake it have no ongoing cost. but due to exchanges who also have no costs but do have huge hoards, means that hobbiests wont be getting rich.
real world analogy
PoW is people working for the cheque clearing house and getting paid a salary for their labour costs
PoS is people just putting funds into a chequeing account hoping for some interest payment
the thing about PoS is if there are many addresses with 50,000 coins. and then 50k addresses with 1coin each. the stake threshold would be above 1coin so all those holding just one coin wont even meet the stake requirement so wont get anything.
like bank accounts. have below $100 in an account. dont expect any interest. have $500k+ expect to have a high interest account
some argue that PoS has a underlying cost because people need to fund the stake. but they can take the stake back out.
PoS is pure SPECULATION
PoW has underlying costs
in short. any hobbiest who is crying they cant get a good electric/asic deals to be competitive mining PoW.. will also find they dont have the funds to stake(savings account) enough to be competitive PoS
this is why PoS users end up 'pooling' their stake and trusting they will get shares of a pooled address. yet the practice of this is still not a good security for the network nor good self control of your funds
in short. hobbiests that think they can get rich for nothing or from their home PC's doing little work or little effort will be sadly wokn up to the truth that they are not making profit
You Very Smart Man , I can see that. Probably well off in 1st world country also, good for you.
I poor man, PoS coin does have underlying costs for me, but the costs are so low you probably consider them insignificant.
Run PoS network require nodes, VPS, VPS require I pay them money or tie up my personal computer which i can not do, need for other things.
Many PoS coins require about same specs as world of warcraft.
So $40 per VPS for one that can meet needed tasks that run 24x7.
so 30X$40 = $1200 every month to operate a PoS network
(30 different people share the cost by each running 1 VPS)
So to me their is underlying cost , but to rich , you see no cost because you so rich already.
You make good point that PoS pools give increased control over PoS networks, but on the other hand you ignore that PoW pools also give increased control of a PoW network.
Bitcoin has less than 15 pools, while PoS coins have average 50 staking address at one time.
Pools bad for one then they bad for both , and no one ever suggest bitcoin quit using pools.
Some PoS coins use coin age, so the longer it take my block to stake the stronger it chances get.
It may take 60 to 90 days, but my block does stake.
ASICS no use any increase in time to increase chance, they only run hash at their rated speed,
PoW only for Rich, PoS is only chance poor have to stake/mine any new coins.
Some say, poor people like me don't deserve chance to run a PoS coin and earn money, to which I say ,
rich buy asics and mine new coins
poor buy PoS coins and stake new coins
rich spend millions every month because they have it
poor spend hundreds every month because it is all we have
People can sprout the so called advantage of PoW, but 51% attacks happen on both PoW & PoS, neither has guaranteed it will never happen.
Rich can spend millions every month,
The rest of us have to make do with what we can afford and our best chance at a brighter future is only PoS,
PoW left us behind, when it left the PCs.