The war will definitely affect the markets in the short term, but whether it will have a long lasting effect on the crypto markets in the long run is a different story. Of course an escalation with NATO or other countries involved would be very bad, but I don't see significant long term effects based on the ongoing war.
(I am talking about BTC/crypto only. Stocks, bonds or commodities might be affected in a completely different way and I don't think we are even seeing the beginning of the longer running effects here)
Something that has a long lasting impact on the fiat world, will always have a long lasting impact on bitcoin as well. We calculate the price of bitcoin based on dollars, so if tomorrow something happens and inflation is 100% ,then an increase of 100% in bitcoin price could happen as well, doesn't mean it will happen, it just means it may happen.
Crypto is connected to fiat world more than people know and they are wired in reverse. When fiat gets weaker, bitcoin gets stronger and when fiat gets stronger then bitcoin gets weaker. That is how we know that if the war goes on, and if nations are impacted because of it then we are going to end up with a bit of a problem for our regular lives, but bitcoin should be going higher.