Topic: BTC Season vs ALT season as regards Investment (Read 168 times)

As @tbct_mt2 mentioned, the altcoins season starts after a Bitcoin rally start, so without a real Bitcoin rally, there will be no altcoins rally, but if we look at the BTC/altcoins pair, even in the altcoins season, many altcoins perform poorly compared to Bitcoin.

In short, the altcoins season is good for traders, not investors.

Almost text book like.  Thank you for the image, it really does describe how an Altcoin Bull Run looks like.

Is it different however?  I have seen Doge Coin rocket before a Bitcoin or Altcoin Run last cycles.  Unless my mind plays games on me again.  To me, the Markets look no different to how they did last cycles.

When you have that number that is draw from performances of 50 top altcoins in the last 90 days, you're late. 90 days mean 3 months which is a long time and when you see 75% number to be sure that it's an altcoin season, you buy in, and you will stuck in a correction or ending of an altcoin season.

One thing to remember, when Bitcoin reaches to its all time high, altcoins won't have too long time like 3 months for their altcoin season and if you only participate in the altcoin season party after 3 months, you will like buy at peak of altcoin season.

The best time to buy altcoins is months like a half of year after Bitcoin finishes its bear market. After a half of year or 1 year since a bottom of bear market, what are worst already appeared and you will have less risk of black swan events to kill top altcoins. See examples with Terra and FTX, 1 year after these fiascos, things were better and no more black swan event.

Buying top altcoins 1 year after the bear market and hold them, don't wait for 75% figure as a confirmation of altcoin season to join.

It's a good topic and reminder. It's my first bull run in which I have invested some money, and now I was also looking to invest in alts but did not have much knowledge about the idea of how I can know when an alt season is coming, and here you just shared it. Haha, it's like I was having a question and coincidentally you just answered it.

Thanks for sharing this topic, and thanks to tbct_mt2 too, as he shared some good sources. I liked these sources full of informative material. The indicator is a good one, but should we depend on it alone or should we take other factors into account as well? BTW OP are you an alt trader?

Altcoin season starts with Ethereum, until there is another altcoin can take over the second position of Ethereum in a very solid way and maintain it for many months, even years. If it is only a quick flippening for a few days, weeks, it does not mean too much as a second biggest cryptocurrency by replacing Ethereum.

In my opinion, Ethereum will continue this leading role for altcoin market and it will be a leader of altcoin season in this market cycle and in future as well. I really don't believe we soon will have an altcoin that can take over this role of Ethereum.

Bull market peak is with Bitcoin first, then Ethereum lead altcoins to make its peak, next lower and smaller cap altcoins will have their shows and eventually altcoin season ends, bear market comes massively from Bitcoin to altcoins. Altcoins can peak about 1 month after Bitcoin before they start to crash.

If people missed chance at peaks, there will be a distribution phase, bounces back for second tops for people to take profit, cut loss and exit the market to avoid worse bear market.

Bitcoin is Indeed the driving force and chain that propel the entire cryptocurrency market space and for that, whatever happen in Bitcoin market liquidity will always have a reflection on the entire market so altcoins are not spared from the impact of Bitcoin on the market, so for me, I think both altcoins and Bitcoin exist within the same market atmosphere and are best regarded as a chain instead of being separated, there is no altcoins seasons without Bitcoin being the initiator of such market movement so the same also goes to all other market activities.


We can say that we are in a Bitcoin season right now, because within the last 48 hours, Bitcoin made multiple all time high price benchmark which some speculators are even predicting a more further increase in the Price of Bitcoin, so for sure, we have a lot of things to look out for in Bitcoin season right now.
But we can't say the same about altcoins, reason being that, even with in this period of price boom in the Bitcoin market, some of the high potential altcoins also recorded a lot of price increase that see them to getting close or even attaining all time high price too, so we can't go about separating each between Bitcoin and altcoins categories such as altcoins season and Bitcoin season.

Actually I wonder the same too if the narrative will be the same all over the years. Alt season always happened after bitcoin dominance finished but it seems were waiting for too long. Isnt that the alt season event has been abolish and people decides to focus on main narrative such as bitcoin alone and some tokens that are only relative to the most sector.

Altcoin season is the time where pump and dump are in their peak.
Well it is usually seen when the volatility of Bitcoin is quite low
Many for quick return start shifting to shitcoins.
Quite sometime Altcoin season is estimated by checking Bitcoin dominance in relation to the others and if it seems too high
Then there's a likelihood that the alt season is near.
Bitcoin season?
Still believe Bitcoin moves and others follows, so Altcoin season is still decided by Bitcoin itself.

Lol, this illustration is what came into my mind immediately after reading the first post of OP.
This one really tells everything about how the Bitcoin <-> Altcoins markets especially in a bull market or peak. I remember I kept seeing this way back around 2018 and I believe this still applies until now.

My sign once the alt season started is always Ethereum, we need Ethereum to make it's own move first after Bitcoin then there rest of altcoins for sure will follow.

Many people consider to use Bitcoin and altcoin for their investment. Those who already been in crypto space know that altcoin can gives them a big profit but they also know that it is not easy to pick the right altcoin as the investment.

The altcoin have a big risk for them so when they want to use altcoin as their investment, they must be careful and always analyze before decide. It seems some people search the altcoin first and invest on that because investing in altcoin will not need too much money. They can buy any potential altcoin and hold it for a short or middle term and sell it once the price jump higher.

After their profit from altcoin, they back to Bitcoin and buy it. But no matters what you will decide, you need to learn about the risk between investing in Bitcoin and altcoin. So I guess when Bitcoin can still increase and then stay for a while in a certain price, the altcoin season may come.

The cryptocurrency market is 24/7 lively and cryptocurrency enthusiasts don't sleep on their money. They are greedy and want to invest their capital for profit, reinvest it for more profit, the cycle of invest, reinvest is endless.

The most important condition for altcoin season is a bull run of Bitcoin that clearly is on going after breaking $75,000. We will have more than one year since November 2024 to possibly December 2025 for Bitcoin bull run. During the next 14 months, more or less than 14 months, there will be many opportunities for a massive altcoin season.

If you love altcoins, and are waiting for altcoin season, make sure you pick top altcoins that are safest for your capital. Top altcoins are also leaders for altcoin season when it starts.

Make sure you differentiate between true altcoin leaders, top altcoins and Top gainers when you use Top gainers/ losers on Coinmarketcap or Coingecko. Many shitcoins can appear in Top Gainers list for a day or several days, but they are not safe for your altcoin portfolio.

The cryptocurrency season or what so ever they call it is usually drive by bitcoin, the Altcoins just follow up once the move is on and there is where the idea of altcoin season comes in, so as the bull run is yet to start properly we to me are getting to start the bitcoin season which is the main season. When will the season be blown into full swing I will tell you that nobody knows of that. So to be on the safe side of the game it is easier with but ok to invest just any moment you have the opportunity to do so, take a look at how the market moved yesternight to this morning, someone who had the opportunity but were waiting for maybe a dip will be bitter now. So for me take away the season and invest into bitcoin when you see fit and settle for a long term hold

Even Bitcoin after achieving 2 ATH there are those who did not catch up with it in its low prices, as there were many past opportunities.

For me, I prefer the Bitcoin season greatly because Bitcoin is the main controller of the market and it is the one that sets the signal altcoins to move, which have not yet entered a bull season due to the growing interest from investors in Bitcoin and the liquidity flowing into it. However, this does not prevent the altcoins from having their time and role one day; that’s why I also focus a certain portion of my investment on promising altcoins in the market. Each season depends on the investor’s calculation of risks and the appropriate time for investment and financial management. Any good investor or trader will be able to achieve profits and double his capital in both seasons, as long as he know which coins to put his money into and rely on analysis to guide his vision.

We need to know the particular season we are in, bitcoin is not what we can just enter and do as we like, there is a serious need as a matter of urgency for us to know we are in for, knowing the way of performance on a particular season is not just what we can take for granted like that, begin we can't afford to go against the market direction and lost, this is why we have to handle the way we speculate over the market more serious for accuracy.


This is a fact.

I'm glad that you've said that investing for more altcoins means also that you're taking more risk. In the past, people thought that Bitcoin was expensive but then we're seeing that it has the lowest risk out there and the price of it keeps moving up. Some slips may happen, corrections are needed to happen and they are inevitable because it's part of it being volatile.

It's not actually the risk when we say altcoin season, it is the time when many alts are pumping that much after BTC just did. But when we say many alts are pumping doesn't mean that the majority of them will be. It's always different during the time that we'll be seeing it so, just be prepared and all matters now are those that have bought at the dip, you're in profit already. So, take it or keep it longer.

It's not the season that puts traders under higher risks but it's their choices of altcoins that they make. Generally, when Bitcoin goes up, most of the good and reputable altcoins go up as well, and if you are trading them or have bought them when the market was low, you will potentially get good returns with them. But, since some traders choose new altcoins, mostly those hyped up by their communities, they tend to be under higher risks because whether those altcoins will perform in the short term is a question mark.

Regardless of these factors and all the risks involved, most people are more into meme coins and new projects because they tend to provide quick profits. So, for the quick profits that they can potentially get, they risk their investment capital. Some of them succeed, and some fail and lose money. This is why, it's up to a trader whether they want to stay on the safer side with lower potential profits or take bigger risks to get higher returns.

Short-term profits are lucrative, but in my opinion, they are not worth risking large funds. So even if someone decides to target short-term gains, they should use smaller amounts.

It has been so long since I heard about alt seasons for the last time that I've been wondering whether it was something of the past or how much should we wait for the next one. The focus in Bitcoin this cycle is higher than I expected, with all the news about big companies and also Governments changing their minds about BTC, which can be seen in the increasing dominance since 2022, even if more and more cryptocurrencies have been launched to the market during this time.


ETH has been performing surprisingly bad lately. To me there will be no alt season until it starts to stand out.

The best indicator is yourself. Bitcoin is having the season for a long time, we have not yet met our expectations so many investors are still holding and not willing to sell until then so going into any Altcoin investment is playing risk at your own benefit or repercussion.

Many Altcoins will be out in due time following the recent Bitcoin movement claiming to follow the pump but it's best to keep close watch and decide on what to get involved, this is mostly the time Altcoin project are released to remove funds from investors because they will be carried out by the heavy multiplier along the bull run which might end up as false, clearly not all Altcoin are Bitcoin correlated.

Altcoin season starts when Bitcoin nearly completes its bull run and when institutional investors move their capital to Ethereum first, then next stop altcoins, midcap altcoins and it ends with lowcap altcoins.

However this market bull run looks to be different, months ago meme coins rocked first. Let's see what will happen with altcoins in last 2 months of 2024 and next year.

Altcoin season index
https://www.blockchaincenter.net/altcoin-season-index/

When altcoin season?

The Bitcoin season and Altcoin season represents the different approaches to cryptocurrency investment, each of them have their advantages and disadvantages.

Bitcoin makes up about 60% of the total crypto market size now, so even a small shift in its liquidity could have a major impact on altcoin prices.

When Bitcoin dominates the market there’s high stability and lower volatility, most investments then will be concentrated on BTC making it the driver of the market.
There is less exposure to sharp price fluctuations and higher liquidity, Altcoins remain in the shadows.

The Altcoin season starts when the attention of investors shift to Altcoins that can show impressive and quick results, there is higher profit and diverse investment opportunities however it comes with a higher risk and volatility and many of the projects might turn out to become unsuccessful or speculative.
If about 75% of the top 50 coins performed better than BTC over the last 90 days then you’re sure you are in Altcoin season.

The Choice to know which season to invest is depending on your level of tolerance and investment goals.
If you prefer stability and low risk then bitcoin season is your choice which MOST PEOPLE prefer but if you prefer high profit potential and open for more risk, then Alt season is your time.
Altcoin season is for BIG RISK takers and timing is everything, you don’t want to jump in when it’s late and chasing higher prices.
You can make use of Altseason indicator.