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Topic: BTC Sentiment Poll for April - page 4. (Read 734 times)

legendary
Activity: 3360
Merit: 1203
April 15, 2022, 06:47:25 AM
#36
The entire market is looking bearish right now so for me I can't think of any bull run anytime soon for any cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin , could sustain itself on 35-38k for a while if we go down under 40k$ but we if go down under 35k ...I'm afraid that it will be hard to read the bottom as it could be 28k , it could be 25k or even lower.

It's a perfect time to sit on the side of the market and just watch how it goes as liquidation is still going on a fast pace.

hero member
Activity: 2688
Merit: 588
April 15, 2022, 01:04:02 AM
#35
At the moment, we continue to be in a bullish trend, which began after large-scale sales in January-February. On April 11, we tested this trendline and are now trying to hold the current support. If there is a breakdown of the trend line, then the market is likely to test the previous lows. If we fail them too, then we can already say for sure that bears reign in the market.
I assume that the bullish trend part is accurate, but the drop wasn't mainly due to the rate increase by fed, it is obviously impacting, but from 48k to under 40k can't be explained simply by people who withdrew and then put their money into crypto. Obviously it is something that we have seen before and obviously it is impacting the price a bit but this was a too much of a fall to just put it on the rates.

I believe we increased way too much before that, from under 40k to 48k which meant that even a small push caused it to go down even harder and if we were to be 48k before that happened, like be there for months, then it wouldn't really hurt this much.
hero member
Activity: 2688
Merit: 588
April 14, 2022, 06:12:31 AM
#34
BTC shot up past 40k real quick as soon as everybody saw the NYSE opened 'not red'.  Cheesy  So yeah...  It looks like we're going to have a good US session today and right before the long weekend.  The NYSE will be trading a day shorter this week as it will be closed for Good Friday.

But we're not out of the woods yet and I don't trust the price action.  BTC seems to be following US stocks a little bit more than usual lately.  Keep an eye out.
It is really cool to see that bitcoin is up, but it is really scary to see that with American markets being high, bitcoin is high as well. There shouldn't be a connection between those two things but for some reason there is one. We shouldn't rely on American stock markets to see bitcoin shoot up, they should be irrelevant and independent from each other.

In any case, I am happy to see that it is higher right now and 41k is not a bad number, it means that the bull could be back on the menu once again. I can't say if it will go to 48k once again, but I am glad that I have waited long enough to see it drop before I got in, feeling much better.
hero member
Activity: 2632
Merit: 833
April 14, 2022, 04:52:58 AM
#33
^^ I think it's more of the geo-political thingy going on, in short the war in Europe that greatly affecting not just bitcoin, but other assets as well.

Good thing is that the market is still in good phase, although it's scary to see the price just going down hard in the last week, below $40k, we have a good recovery in the last 24 hours. So we might still be in the middle, hard to see if we are in the bearish trend as the trend is not pointing in that direction for now.
hero member
Activity: 2842
Merit: 772
April 13, 2022, 06:08:27 PM
#32
BTC shot up past 40k real quick as soon as everybody saw the NYSE opened 'not red'.  Cheesy  So yeah...  It looks like we're going to have a good US session today and right before the long weekend.  The NYSE will be trading a day shorter this week as it will be closed for Good Friday.

But we're not out of the woods yet and I don't trust the price action.  BTC seems to be following US stocks a little bit more than usual lately.  Keep an eye out.


I forgot who among the members says that bitcoin follow the stock market movement. And probably it is still holding true so far. And it was just very uncanny to see the price shoot up to above $40k when everyone thinks that we are in a bear market once again.

Oh well, NYSE will be closed this long week in observance of holy week but not crypto market. So let's see if traders will go and flock crypto and who knows, a possible moonshot to $44k-$45k?
sr. member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 368
April 13, 2022, 05:56:42 PM
#31
I answered NO.
I won't consider Bitcoin to be in a bearish state If it didn't drop below $30k or $25k.
The price currently is still somehow kinda bullish since Bitcoin have not dropped below or near the level of the last ATH before $60k.
Infact Btc price action currently is kinda very volatile, It drops and recover. More of like a dead cat bounces.

So, yeah I think were not really in a bearish market currently.
Perhaps it's an undecided choice just like mine since the market doesn't look like bullish or bearish to me it's still in the middle of gaining momentum to losing it which would end up to be the start of bearish market. We should just look at the resistance and support levels if we have to determine which way the market could go.

For me, the market is still in bullish though the panic is somehow increasing which makes the market to dump a bit perhaps it's just the traders doing their thing.
hero member
Activity: 2716
Merit: 552
April 13, 2022, 03:49:00 PM
#30
I answered NO.
I won't consider Bitcoin to be in a bearish state If it didn't drop below $30k or $25k.
The price currently is still somehow kinda bullish since Bitcoin have not dropped below or near the level of the last ATH before $60k.
Infact Btc price action currently is kinda very volatile, It drops and recover. More of like a dead cat bounces.

So, yeah I think were not really in a bearish market currently.
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 254
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April 13, 2022, 01:26:21 PM
#29
After failing to stay above 44k - 45k, it's hard not to feel bearish...  And sure, that could be the sentiment right now but the question is are we really technically entering a bear market?  Just curious what you guys think.  I won't join the poll but I think if BTC breaks down below 28k - 30k that's when it starts being a full blown bear market.  You guys could have a different take.  Would like to know them.

Due to the hawkish policy of the Fed, bitcoin, as a risky asset, has undergone a sale. Investors fixed at 46,000-48,000. Since now the market is supported mainly by holders, and there is no influx of new investors, it became obvious that demand could not be maintained at high levels for a long time.

The further trend still indicates more bearish sentiment than a bull market. Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets, the Fed's containment of price increases and the key rate hike, all this prepares us for a bear market phase that will last throughout 2022, with small upward bounces.
Currently, the FED more aggressive attitude in determining monetary policy in restraining the high inflation that has occurred has had a lot of impact on us as bitcoin lovers, but one of the news that I read in the local media stated that the current decline in bitcoin prices was also the impact of Axie Infinity NFT hacking. which happened a few days ago, so I think, the amount of negative sentiment that is currently there will certainly be very difficult for bitcoin to get a price increase in the market again.
Compared to last year, I'm actually worried about the current decline in bitcoin prices because it has the potential to return to bearish in the long term if bitcoin continues to test price support levels at $40K.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
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April 13, 2022, 09:35:59 AM
#28
BTC shot up past 40k real quick as soon as everybody saw the NYSE opened 'not red'.  Cheesy  So yeah...  It looks like we're going to have a good US session today and right before the long weekend.  The NYSE will be trading a day shorter this week as it will be closed for Good Friday.

But we're not out of the woods yet and I don't trust the price action.  BTC seems to be following US stocks a little bit more than usual lately.  Keep an eye out.
hero member
Activity: 3052
Merit: 651
April 13, 2022, 07:51:15 AM
#27
^Thanks NeuroticFish for the shared chart. I was about to vote bearish but when I saw that my hopes went up.
As long as it stays above 35k I think we are in a good position. It gives chance to new investors and at the same time testing the market on how far below it could get.
So maybe, we just need to wait for the 3rd and 4th week of this month and we will see green lights again.
legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
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April 13, 2022, 03:26:39 AM
#26
(although April is historically a bad month).

I think that you're remembering something wrong. March is supposed to be the historically bad month and April is good/mixed.
Even more, I could say that in most of the cases, after a bad March, April was good.
I've even looked up a chart for you:


full member
Activity: 673
Merit: 106
April 13, 2022, 12:06:50 AM
#25
The short-term negative bias affecting market sentiment is a conceivable correction, but I don't think a retracement back to $34k is imminent.  The biggest driver is not war but bitcoin as the best hedge against inflation, we can expect it to be the key to breaking this negative regulatory trend.  If bitcoin can hold around 40k through the end of this week, I think it's a hit before we head to $49k at the end of April. 37-40k is holding very strong support even with it is a bear
I think if BTC breaks down below 28k - 30k that's when it starts being a full blown bear market.
I think this price level is unlikely, unless it is a retracement where the accumulation trend is isolated and dumping!
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1353
April 13, 2022, 12:03:37 AM
#24
Just curious what you guys think.

While half of my brain is screaming "OMG it's starting, not agaaiiinnn...", the other half is "calm down, you know that most of those $10bn for buying bitcoin are still unspent, you know that when the price will go down some institutional buyers will probably jump in to buy moar". So I don't know... is it indeed bearish? I can understand that fear is gaining. But 2 weeks ago some were preaching that we are bullish... we are switching too often, too fast between greed and fear. I'd still consider it undecided for now.
I think the market is simply in a ranging state and it is playing with our minds, after all the range is kind of wide so when the price goes up it seems as if we are headed towards a bull market and when it goes down it seems we are headed towards a bear market, however as you say when the price of bitcoin hits a certain level whales and institutional investors will simply load even more bitcoin to their wallets, showing that the current price is close to the absolute bottom we can hit at the moment.

It's on the middle ground right now, investors reluctant again to buy and speculators decided to sell. Nevertheless, this could only be short term, or at least the downtrend could be only in this month (although April is historically a bad month).

So expect the unexpected, if we go down between $35,000-$30,000 then take it as a good buying entry and could be the bottom for this quarter.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
April 12, 2022, 11:13:50 PM
#23
Bearish trend is when price keeps going down which means if you vote yes you should be expecting $35k, $30k and $20k subsequently and since all of them are impossible under normal circumstances and also because we have no indication of any further falls coming (since $40k is strong support) you can't be felling bearish.

Besides, if you look at the past 6 months there is nothing bearish about the market. We had a quick drop and in about 2 months we reached the $40k range and stayed there ever since. Price hasn't been going down in the past 4 months, it has been fluctuating (both up and down).

In any case, this recent drop IMO was a panic sell due to the stock market in US tanking due to financial crisis that is coming. And there have been a lot of idiots who are brainwashed into believing over the past 3-4 years that bitcoin market must be correlated to that market in particular so whenever it tanks they panic sell right away.
legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1338
April 12, 2022, 10:41:24 PM
#22
Just curious what you guys think.

While half of my brain is screaming "OMG it's starting, not agaaiiinnn...", the other half is "calm down, you know that most of those $10bn for buying bitcoin are still unspent, you know that when the price will go down some institutional buyers will probably jump in to buy moar". So I don't know... is it indeed bearish? I can understand that fear is gaining. But 2 weeks ago some were preaching that we are bullish... we are switching too often, too fast between greed and fear. I'd still consider it undecided for now.
I think the market is simply in a ranging state and it is playing with our minds, after all the range is kind of wide so when the price goes up it seems as if we are headed towards a bull market and when it goes down it seems we are headed towards a bear market, however as you say when the price of bitcoin hits a certain level whales and institutional investors will simply load even more bitcoin to their wallets, showing that the current price is close to the absolute bottom we can hit at the moment.
legendary
Activity: 2814
Merit: 1192
April 12, 2022, 01:17:47 PM
#21
I answered "No" because it entered a bear market a long time ago and will never exit.

Which means the run from 20k to 70k was a bearish move. If that's how it is, I guess the recent correction to 40k was bullish and we have nothing to worry about  Roll Eyes
We can expect another "bearish" move that will confirm your "never ending bear market" somewhere around the next halving. I'll wait for the "bottom" of 2024 to sell some of my coins.

My sentiment is currently "sideways"; there's a good probability continue in this bullish channel but it's not going to be straightforward. So I've voted for "no", if we're in a bear cycle it didn't start "right now" (I agree here with @coolcoinz).

That's right. It's going to stay between around 35k and 50k until it breaks out and it will most likely be a breakout caused by big news like a spot ETF (upside breakout) or a stock market crash (downside breakout). Anyway, if we break it to the downside I don't expect anything big. Probably 28k is going to be the lowest that we touch and it's going to be the last leg down, a final capitulation.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1043
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April 12, 2022, 09:34:26 AM
#20
And sure, that could be the sentiment right now but the question is are we really technically entering a bear market?
Like others here, I also voted for NO.
I think we are somewhat in a super cycle and its the first time I see it TBH. I thought that the 2017-2018 thing will happen again last year and this year but it seems like it didn't happen which is a good thing for some.

Overall, all of us are predicting only and no one knows what can happen but its just good to see what are the sentiments of other users here Smiley. Most here are bullish but I hope we are all ready if we will enter a multi-month bear market in the future Smiley.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
April 12, 2022, 06:53:50 AM
#19
I answered "No" because it entered a bear market a long time ago and will never exit.


I answered "No" too because it entered a bull market super cycle a long time ago and will never exit as long as it's Bitcoin is on its path to price discovery.

You don't believe me? Always zoom out, if in doubt, https://bitcoin.zorinaq.com/price/ Cool

Plus does anyone remember what 2019 felt like? 2022, 2023 will feel the same when Bitcoin has surged to six digits during 2024, 2025. It will be a memory of missed opportunities.
hero member
Activity: 2870
Merit: 574
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April 12, 2022, 06:17:03 AM
#18
I prefer to say it was correction, deep correction after reaching the high peak.
Some people call this a bear market because the price is down by half from the top price, while the others panic to save their money.
Hopefully, the last $38k will be the last lowest price for bitcoin and will not touch it again in the future but we can only hope without knowing if that can be like that or it will be like that.
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 5637
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April 12, 2022, 05:49:16 AM
#17
This decline does not surprise me at all, because if we look at the chart from the beginning of this year, we can clearly see that the same thing has happened several times. There’s no reason the same shouldn’t happen this time too, and then let’s be positive and say that the next pump will manage to break the $50 000 mark.

It seems to me that whales are manipulating us to the extreme because they take advantage of the fact that retail investors are less and less inclined to invest in Bitcoin due to inflation and war. What is a problem for some is more than a good opportunity for others.
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