I think in contrast to you, I personally appreciate the impact of the ETF more than the halving. But in the end it's all just news for sharks to legitimize their manipulation. To me, the movement of bitcoin or the cryptocurrency market is still more manipulated than based on supply and demand and that's why I don't put much hope in the big events that most people expect.
ETF won't have more impact than the halving. In fact, to be it's ETF that has the more shot term increase. Even before the EFT approval, I predicted this to happen. I knew it would have an impact and bitcoin price will increase but in a short period, there will be a correction. With the halving prive goes up over time, not over a short period of time like it was after ETF approval.
This has always been the behaviour of bitcoin during each halving, not like it's a certainty, there would be no risk if it was certain, but there a very high percent chance of it happening.
What makes this year's halving more unique is that the ETF approval has created more awareness to bitcoin, so that means more investors and more investors means more buying and higher price increase.
Corrections, when it comes to bitcoin are a normal thing. When bitcoin is manipulated, it usually has a short term effect before it corrects, but when it was determined by market forces and other economic and financial factors that affect the players, it's happens steadily.
Bitcoin price is hardly ever stable for a long period of time. It can only revolve around a certain range like how it was on 65 - 69 recently before finally breaking away to >70k.
It's okay to have your own investment style and trust your decision, but it not right to based it totally on a bunch or feeling. Intuition is good, but don't base your whole investment on that alone.
It's common knowledge that with bitcoin, long term investment is best, and this is a proven fact. If bitcoin price drops to 50k from 72 today, all you gotta really do is hold for much longer.