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Topic: BTC to $304-$377 by mid/late January - page 2. (Read 2853 times)

full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Stand on the shoulders of giants
member
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December 19, 2013, 04:33:56 AM
#20
It's a possible scenario, the price bounced off the 100-day MA yesterday, but if it's a major correction, like the one we had in April-July, the price could go close to the 200-day MA, which will be around $300 in January.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 04:22:11 AM
#19
I don't completely agree with your Low; but your trend description looks accurate...

thanks.  the 304-377 low is assuming there's a Fib retracement.

if it breaks through the 1yr .764 point, then i'd say it's likely to hit a 150-200 low sometime in February.

i did this quick, but something like this:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/q7vfgA36/
sr. member
Activity: 414
Merit: 250
Freedom through Cryptocurrency!
December 19, 2013, 04:15:39 AM
#18
eggran, good analysis overall, but I think it's more likely that we'll bounce around in a narrow trading range of $400 to $700 for the next few months. I don't see another huge downward move in the near future, since I think the bad news from China is already priced in by now.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
One Token to Move Anything Anywhere
December 19, 2013, 04:06:21 AM
#17
To save completely new investors a lot of potential heartache and bitterness, this is a good demonstration of Bitcoin's price evolution.

But deep down I think a little conservative.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
December 19, 2013, 03:54:09 AM
#16
I don't completely agree with your Low; but your trend description looks accurate...
full member
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1EDwkxCjCMGGNQqZdxa8FwheMHXSoQe4TU
December 19, 2013, 03:47:51 AM
#15
Technical analysis in cryptocurrencies is worthless, it is a very young market with a great space for manipulation, e. g. now you need "only" 1000 BTC to market 10% which is a lot. When you look at the last bubble and examine its lows after burst thoroughly you will see that those 420-450 from yesterday is a total low for a long time. If BTC succeeds you will probably nevery see those prices again
hero member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 504
December 19, 2013, 03:41:05 AM
#14
All I know for sure is that the instant it hits $150 per coin I'll convert every USD I can find into BTC.

If it doesn't get that low I'll use a more conservative investment strategy because I believe the potential market price cap on BTC is non-existent.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 03:30:13 AM
#13
If tomorrow China removes the ban of bitcoin then the price will reach back 1250 in a day or two.
Childish technical analysis don't apply to bitcoin especially if you dont take in account the actual events that shaped the price so far.

see what i mean eggran about ppl on here being totally clueless?  anyone who thinks technical analysis is "childish" is an idiot.  and anyone who thinks china will remove the btc ban tomorrow is even more of an idiot.

bahaha! point taken
newbie
Activity: 3
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December 19, 2013, 03:21:55 AM
#12
A general understanding of technical analysis and Fundamental analysis is never a bad thing. A good trader will trade using the sum of both. Sometimes just using your gut feeling is all that is needed too.
hero member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 504
December 19, 2013, 02:02:16 AM
#11
I think BitCoin will fall a little bit harder and bounce a little bit higher. BitCoin is at a stage where "any media coverage is good media coverage."

Most of those already involved with the BitCoin market understand the risk and probably have a "buy" price in mind right now... Everybody else is just waiting for the first sign of a trend reversal to flood the market once again.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 01:52:27 AM
#10
If tomorrow China removes the ban of bitcoin then the price will reach back 1250 in a day or two.
Childish technical analysis don't apply to bitcoin especially if you dont take in account the actual events that shaped the price so far.

see what i mean eggran about ppl on here being totally clueless?  anyone who thinks technical analysis is "childish" is an idiot.  and anyone who thinks china will remove the btc ban tomorrow is even more of an idiot.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 01:22:18 AM
#9
If tomorrow China removes the ban of bitcoin then the price will reach back 1250 in a day or two.
Childish technical analysis don't apply to bitcoin especially if you dont take in account the actual events that shaped the price so far.

i'm well aware of the events and i'd hardly call technical analysis childish.  explore the speculation forum and you'll see others with similar ideas..
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 12:42:49 AM
#8
eggran, don't waste your time posting stuff re fibonacci retracements and technical analysis on here.  99% of the ppl on here are totally clueless just guessing when it comes to entry and exit points for their btc buys and sells.  totally trading on emotion.


this is true, however i'm trying to break noob status and at the same time appeal to those users that are actually engaged in TA.

i think though in any market, there's always a percentage of traders that make moves based on emotion, so there is legitimacy to exploring TA, PenAndPaper.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
December 19, 2013, 12:18:02 AM
#7
This might be an educated guess.

However, the market is just too unpredictable.
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
December 19, 2013, 12:09:24 AM
#6
I don't know much about those graphs but it looks pretty well constructed.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
December 18, 2013, 11:41:17 PM
#5
If tomorrow China removes the ban of bitcoin then the price will reach back 1250 in a day or two.
Childish technical analysis don't apply to bitcoin especially if you dont take in account the actual events that shaped the price so far.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
December 18, 2013, 11:32:16 PM
#4
eggran, don't waste your time posting stuff re fibonacci retracements and technical analysis on here.  99% of the ppl on here are totally clueless just guessing when it comes to entry and exit points for their btc buys and sells.  totally trading on emotion.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
December 18, 2013, 10:34:44 PM
#3
Gimme some good critique!

I dont understand this stuff well, but I dont believe in graphs without triangles

Ha!… i can't tell whether you're serious..

Let's see if i can draw some triangles...
member
Activity: 116
Merit: 10
December 18, 2013, 10:01:57 PM
#2
Gimme some good critique!

I dont understand this stuff well, but I dont believe in graphs without triangles
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