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Topic: BTC/USD Bullish: $51,400 will be the First Rebounce Target in Next 2 Days (Read 326 times)

hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 753
I think that $50k will be a resistance level for some time to come.

People are a bit wary now after BTC failed to breakout to above $50k for a sustained period of time on numerous occasions. With the adoption of the digital-CNY starting, investors will also be more careful in terms of evaluating BTC's potential usage case as a global medium of exchange and reserve currency in the future.

But that's not to say that the bull market is now ended - support at $40k is just as strong, and we'll likely move sideways between this $40k-50k corridor for some time to come.
member
Activity: 812
Merit: 10
My prediction is this uptrend will continue until 65K level. No chance to hit the 44k level again. Let's see patiently what is going to happen.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
If you plot a correlation with SPX you will see that lately they are closely related to one another.
Correlation that is only true for a tiny amount of time is just a coincidence. To have a correlation between two markets they have to first be directly connected and second to change with each other for a long time, at least 6 months to a year. A couple of hours or days is not a correlation at all.

Check altcoins for example. During the whole lifespan of the altcoin market (about 10 years) in 95% of the time they get dumped each time bitcoin makes a move. That is called a correlation.

Quote
This is similar to what happened exactly 1 year ago with the coronavirus crash. The stock market started to crash and bitcoin started to follow.
And then stock market continued to crash while bitcoin recovered.
Then stock market recovered a very small amount while bitcoin was setting records.
Then bitcoin continued to soar and break its previous ATH while stock market didn't do anything.
....
This is why there has never been any correlation between bitcoin and any other markets.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
Right now whether it breaks the ATH or not will depend on what is going on with the global markets. Especially the oil markets and yields. If you plot a correlation with SPX you will see that lately they are closely related to one another.

This is similar to what happened exactly 1 year ago with the coronavirus crash. The stock market started to crash and bitcoin started to follow. And right now its no different. The stimulus news is bullish however lately there is way too much bad news going around. Its also very strange why GBTC has such a big discount. Never seen it this low for such a long time.

I guess the Coinbase IPO will be huge for BTC however it depends when it goes live. I am predicting its going to be months before they go public and hopefully by then the global events won't get worse.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1170
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Institutional investors are like ordinary investors also the only differences are they have huge capital that can be sunk into bitcoin there by having high influence on the market, and secondly institution have the reserve that the sec can tokenized and convert it into bitcoin there by being there for a long time.
That is literally saying they are nothing like regular investors? I mean you started the message by saying they are like ordinary investors but then you said that they have huge capitals, they have more influence and they have reserves to do more as well, we have none of that, so how can they be similar to ordinary investors?

The reality is that they are soooo rich that they can wait however they want because not like they need money, not like they may have some family emergency, we could suddenly need to sell all our coins and even need more on top of that with one health emergency. They can also buy more, they buy more than anyone else because that is what you can actually do when you have tens of billions of dollars, we can't, what we add would amount to nothing, and they can influence the market in the end as well, we can't do anything like that.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1353
Even though currently the Bitcoin price has dropped back to the price of $ 48k, there is no need to panic, because I believe that in the near future

This is just another bump in the road, nothing more.

the Bitcoin price will rise again above $ 50k. So take advantage of this drop in Bitcoin price to buy more Bitcoin, so when the Bitcoin price goes up,
the profit we make will be much greater. I really hope there is positive news regarding Bitcoin at this time, so it helps push the Bitcoin price up.
Because I didn't have the money to buy Bitcoin anymore, I decided for now I just HODL the Bitcoin which I already have.

We have been in that price range, we have taste it, and we wanted more. So I think it's just a matter of time before we can go back and bounce back to $50k and even more. Nothing specially about being HODL, you just have that mentality that in the long run, bitcoin will go higher and higher even 6 digit mark.
sr. member
Activity: 1876
Merit: 318
Even though currently the Bitcoin price has dropped back to the price of $ 48k, there is no need to panic, because I believe that in the near future
the Bitcoin price will rise again above $ 50k. So take advantage of this drop in Bitcoin price to buy more Bitcoin, so when the Bitcoin price goes up,
the profit we make will be much greater. I really hope there is positive news regarding Bitcoin at this time, so it helps push the Bitcoin price up.
Because I didn't have the money to buy Bitcoin anymore, I decided for now I just HODL the Bitcoin which I already have.
hero member
Activity: 3234
Merit: 774
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Just as what we used to say, buy the dip while others are waiting for more dips but you don't know if that dip is the actual dip.  Tongue
Another way to think about it is to buy even when the dip gets lower. At least it would bring your average down to a considerate level.
Yes. You still continue to buy if you've found another dip after you've bought. That's another purchase that you need to consider if you're disappointed.
Just buy with another capital that you have for bitcoin and just like what it is today. It's going to be back again to $50k anytime soon.
hero member
Activity: 2660
Merit: 551
Sadly to say that right now Bitcoin going down again to 49k, the prediction is correct and it reaches 52.3k USD this day, I think there is still correction going on, in its price, this could be good news then?

Well it is a good news when you are going to buy in this dip.

Right, it reaches $52k, but wasn't able to sustain it's run, there is selling pressure and now the price started to slide again. But nothing to worry, we are still early in March and we might bounce back to above $50k again. As we all know off, institutions keeps getting their bitcoin during this dip, so it's a win-win situation. No one is selling at this point except weak hands.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
I'm really disappointed that the BTC price didn't crash to 20-30K USD.
I really wanted some cheap Bitcoins. Grin
The current price is 49.8K USD,so we are heading close to 50K USD.All the FUDsters will have to shut up for a while and a new FOMO phase might begin.I don't know what triggered this price pump.Institutional investors and crypto whales buying more BTC during a price drop means that they have huge faith in the future of Bitcoin.The institutional investors are here to stay.
An old member such as you should already know that the bitcoin big drops during its bull run can not exceed about 30% drop. The price in this step went from $58354 to $43021 which is a 26.3% drop. Expecting gigantic market crash down such as 65% (to $20k) is naive!

This is also not a pump, it is the adoption continuing to grow and as more money comes in the price keeps going higher. There is nothing to be surprised about...
full member
Activity: 868
Merit: 150
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I'm really disappointed that the BTC price didn't crash to 20-30K USD.
I really wanted some cheap Bitcoins. Grin
The current price is 49.8K USD,so we are heading close to 50K USD.All the FUDsters will have to shut up for a while and a new FOMO phase might begin.I don't know what triggered this price pump.Institutional investors and crypto whales buying more BTC during a price drop means that they have huge faith in the future of Bitcoin.The institutional investors are here to stay.
Yeah me too, I had my fiat here sitting doing nothing. I was waiting that it would go down dramatically but it seems that there are a lot of strong hands and influenced hands that are hodling their bitcoin. FUDsters will never shut up, you should know that, they will say something about bitcoin no matter what the current prices is. Whales and institutional investors do not have faith, they bought bitcoin because they want to get a bigger profit margin and they want to have the power to move the market.
hero member
Activity: 3192
Merit: 939
I'm really disappointed that the BTC price didn't crash to 20-30K USD.
I really wanted some cheap Bitcoins. Grin
The current price is 49.8K USD,so we are heading close to 50K USD.All the FUDsters will have to shut up for a while and a new FOMO phase might begin.I don't know what triggered this price pump.Institutional investors and crypto whales buying more BTC during a price drop means that they have huge faith in the future of Bitcoin.The institutional investors are here to stay.
full member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 120
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Today's peak was $50k and probably $51k isn't too far to reach though, so expect at least a $3k increase just like today, and yes $3k bounce is pretty normal in the next 2 days.
The correction has improved sentiment for the market this week.  The new 44k is the big hit last week, and the $ 49k is the new defensive threshold to be dominated by the market, the 51k - 49k range is likely to be broken on the right diagonal movement. 
If this time they break the ATH of $ 58k, it will continue with new momentum to reach $ 65k.  At $ 49-50k today, I bought some, just a little and watched more.
hero member
Activity: 2254
Merit: 537
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Sadly to say that right now Bitcoin going down again to 49k, the prediction is correct and it reaches 52.3k USD this day, I think there is still correction going on, in its price, this could be good news then?

No need to be sad, a downtrend means an opportunity to buy more Wink
sr. member
Activity: 1162
Merit: 268
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Sadly to say that right now Bitcoin going down again to 49k, the prediction is correct and it reaches 52.3k USD this day, I think there is still correction going on, in its price, this could be good news then?
full member
Activity: 1708
Merit: 105
Individual investors fail because of their lack of knowledge and experience. It will change if they spend time to read the past history of bitcoin, cycles and how price was manipulated by news. They will understand better about bitcoin if they care about and step up to read and learn.

With better knowledge, they will have bigger belief and reduce their unreasonable panic sellings.

Institutional investors succeed as they have better knowledge and solid belief in bitcoin and they are more confident with their investment. Big or small capital does not make sense as your entry and exit price will make up your profits or losses.
I really agree with you about people having to understand more and experience better knowledge, because someone fails because they are lazy to receive updated information that allows them to understand the current situation.

Likewise, about the development of bitcoin, we know that bitcoin is very unpredictable by the way it works, but from the experience we have, we can understand the flow of bitcoin habits itself.

but to be more precise individual investors still don't understand, but now they are also getting smarter and many are starting to keep up with developments, although it is clearly different from institutional investors who are indeed jobs that have been involved for a long time. they will clearly better understand the state of bitcoin when to buy and when to sell so they can make a profit.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1043
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And it seems that the sell-off pressure is gone for now, the market has been shaken again. And then they realized that $10,000 is not gonna happen, LOL.
Its quite funny to think that there are still some investors who are hoping that Bitcoin @10k USD will happen.
Panic sellers are gone for now and we are in a short rise as of now (price of BTC @ $49,663.10). I don't want to spoil though but I'm thinking that there is a chance that we might test the support the OP has been shared to us especially the $45,000 price. Overall, as a long term investor movements like this doesn't bother me. Those short term investors and traders are the ones who are panicking right now (or at least).

The feeling of regret when we all hesitated during its bull run last year.

Oh well, at least I got some during the recent dip and hopefully who knows, 6 figures by the end of the year?
If you follow what most of the investors are doing then you will regret what you decided. Being a contrarian sometimes is good. If they are selling, that is a good opportunity for you to buy and vice versa. Now those who bought at the dip or accumulated before the bull run are the ones who are having the most profit now. Those investors who aren't following the herd are the ones who are happy right now because of their decision.

6-Digit price by end of the year?? Might be but the chances of it to happen is low IMO. If that happens then good for us hodlers Smiley.
full member
Activity: 868
Merit: 150
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Its only a matter of time, it will be this week for sure. A lot of weak hands are looking to get back
in after relinquishing Bitcoin last week and realise yet again Bitcoin isnt going to $10k.

$50k resistance will be broken again
50k resistance doesn't need to be broken again, it was just the ebb and flow in the price but it will ultimately go back up, I like to think of it as a low tide in the market. I don't know if I should feel bad for this weak hands that are buying back the bitcoin because they thought that the dump season is going to start because they are the reason that prices go up but at the same time they are the reason for a continuous price dump when a sudden dip in prices shows up.
hero member
Activity: 2366
Merit: 838
The institutions knew about it. When the exchange rates fell to $43K, there were reports that the institutional investors have stepped up their purchases. Those who purchased back then are already at a 20% profit. Individual investors are losing out, as many of them can't afford to hold on for long term. They get alarmed by the volatility and tend to become susceptible to panic selling. I don't know what proportion of the total circulating supply is being held by institutions at this point, but the percentage will definitely increase in the near future.
Individual investors fail because of their lack of knowledge and experience. It will change if they spend time to read the past history of bitcoin, cycles and how price was manipulated by news. They will understand better about bitcoin if they care about and step up to read and learn.

With better knowledge, they will have bigger belief and reduce their unreasonable panic sellings.

Institutional investors succeed as they have better knowledge and solid belief in bitcoin and they are more confident with their investment. Big or small capital does not make sense as your entry and exit price will make up your profits or losses.
sr. member
Activity: 1190
Merit: 256
Today's peak was $50k and probably $51k isn't too far to reach though, so expect at least a $3k increase just like today, and yes $3k bounce is pretty normal in the next 2 days.

That's only possible if sellers don't come back to sell this local 3 days top. But if it goes ahead to break through and achieve $51K again, next lap should be $55K. We had some more bitcoin investments inflows from more institutional investors. I  think I read somewhere that Microstrategy added more Bitcoin's to their already heavy bag of Bitcoins.
Just as what we used to say, buy the dip while others are waiting for more dips but you don't know if that dip is the actual dip.  Tongue
Another way to think about it is to buy even when the dip gets lower. At least it would bring your average down to a considerate level.
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