If it was a stock, then this pattern would be a classic pattern to short. But its bitcoin.
Which means no one has fiat, risk and emotion involved? How is it any different except that companies have unknowns that affect price more? Market dynamics are still present
There are some other factors such as the halving and that it's less regulated. Perhaps these factors offset the normal trends.
Bitcoin is Darwin money. It is here to stay permanently. The $10T+ market cap is real, most people just don't see it yet. There is massive fundamental utility in the transactions, not just as money, though that is definitely one use case, but also as a public ledger. Data can be coded into the transactions and read by anyone, and that is a valuable thing. Even if most people won't read this data yet, it is timestamped forever, and someday will be upheld by courts as legally binding. There is in fact no where else in the world that you can do this for $0.01.
You see a classic short pattern, but we see a classic Bitcoin moonshot pattern. All of us know that Bitcoins are worth at least $5-8k at this point in fundamental value, and barring some cataclysmic event turning off the lights, that will be $1m value soon enough. There is a lot of money sitting on the sidelines trying to get in slowly enough to not move the needle but still as quickly as they can. These short dips are manipulation tactics to try to shake any weak hands of their coin while they still can, before it's too late. By November this year we will see a run-up on par with November 2013.
I hope that Bitcoin does go to $250, I have some more fiat that I'm hoping to get in before the storm. Bit it won't. That $780 ceiling you saw last time will be completely busted next time. It will hold in the $900-1,200 range for a few months, and then we will see 2k. 3k. ?k.