There was no hostility til you told me your math was somehow more magical than everyone elses.
No magic in my math. It's just that the online calculators don't take the average computing power growth of the network into account. This is a huge shame, in my opinion, because that is the killer.
Check out this graph of the growth of the bitcoin network:
http://bitcoin.sipa.be/Keep in mind that the same number of bitcoins per day are produced no matter what. You have to compete with more and more computer horsepower every day, so your proportion of the day's output decreases 4% a day. That is the problem.
So in your estimates is BTC value going down, staying equal or going up...that is what really makes the difference...I am banking on it either staying the same or going up...$24 in the next coming weeks in my eyes is not unreasonable. $30 was overinflated for the old difficulty.
My main problem with your arguments is that none of your posts have done anything to help the bitcoin community...just discredit it. There is a pattern that emerges with threads like yours.
1) They have never mined (or they have so recently purchased hardware they have yet to even try)
2) They typically have very few posts in the forum
3) They are usually new.
4) They all come with math and/or spreadsheets which are different from everyone elses.
5) There has been a sudden surge in these types of threads all over the internet...people seem real concerned about keeping people away.
You can call me paranoid all you want...I am not alone in thinking there is a massive smear campaign going on. The facts stand that in the 3 weeks I have been posting I have had no problems with Mt.gox, my bitcoin client disappearing or with my estimated profits being unreasonable...you have managed to have all those problems in 5 days...in my eyes either you are in on it or you are too stupid to be attempting mining...either way I don't care about your opinions and they seem to only be here to sway others.
You read my posts most are either trying to out trolls or help others with their hardware...I got into this the same way I get into every investment...with the knowledge that there could be total failure. Anyone looking to get into mining do the same...have a backup plan to your backup plan to back up your backup plan...there is no such thing as get rich quick (if there is I have never seen it and it is probably very risky).