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Topic: By December 31st, 2014 we will have touched $5000/BTC (Read 5405 times)

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
I don't understand why people are panicking this badly.

So far, Bitcoin has roughly followed previous patterns. Drop to 500 or even around 400 or 300 will fit the pattern exactly, followed by 8x to 10x bubble rise in another 9 months or so.

Of course, we have greater variables now with regulations and crackdowns as well as more public exposure and media attention.

For all such new unknowns, crypto and bitcoin specifically is following a remarkably steady and regular pattern similar to the past.

I believe a plunge down to around 500, followed by prolonged period of sideway movement along that line, with rise up to 5000 and even 6000 by the end of this year, followed by another plunge to 2500-3000 followed by rise to 15,000 and above is not out of the question, excluding every country on earth officially banning crypto.

Some regulations and official attention may even bolster the market for a while as really big players and investors seriously get into the game - right now the volatility is keeping serious money away due to fear of complete anarchy and lack of financial security that is crypto 'market's.

legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1265
With the current 300%/day climbrate at GOX we'll be at >$5000 in 3 days.
Looking at it from the $220/day point of view we'll be there in 21 days.

TO DA MOON!!! Shocked  Wink

newbie
Activity: 51
Merit: 0
By December 31st, 2014 we will have touched $5000/BTC


Could I be right once again???  Grin Grin Grin

Seems a bit too conservative given bitcoin's track record for these types of posts... 2013 was a 6000% year, I think 2014 can be a 2000% year at least.

$16 000!
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1022
Anarchy is not chaos.
Careful.

Smoothie carefully said "would touch $5000 before..."

Meaning it could hit $5,000 for five minutes sometime in the next 10 months then skydive to $200 for the entire rest of the year Smiley  Technically...

As for mainstream copying Bitcoins functionality easily and outdoing it ... lets just be thankful that every day that passes, builds more power into Bitcoin being "the one" even if the Govt makes a copy later.

Every day that goes by:  more name recognition, more adoption, more businesses building their operations around Bitcoin specifically, more infrastructure being formed around Bitcoin.

If that goes on long enough, by the time the Govt/Banks create a clone for their systems, it won't matter.

-B-

lol Yes and pigs fly for 0.0000001 seconds when they jump.

Over the next 10 months I can see the price touching $5000 but I doubt it would go to $200 shortly thereafter.

I would think they'd fly a bit longer than that... And when they suit up and get in helicopters. Oh, wait, you meant actual pigs. Or did you Cheesy

Anyway, on a slightly more serious note, do you base your prediction on anything in particular, or just guts? FWIW, I think you'll likely be right, based on trends I'm watching AND my gut. Just not willing to commit like you did Smiley

It's hard to explain why I made the prediction(s) I made.

I'm not always right but seems like I've been quite right recently.

Once you get a "pulse" on a market you keep up to date on it and then you own it.

Others who have done well will say the same thing. A lot of it has to do with gauging sentiment and that is not a straight forward metric to be put into a simple explanation.

Fair enough. I can see some measurable trends, but the ones that are currently "wildcards" seem the most likely to push it up. And there are several. Destabilizing fiat currencies being one of them, wider adoption of bitcoin evolving as we look on, these are good for a modest rise. I think a good POS payment system is the one that will break the cycle seriously upwards, and I think it's coming. I don't have any information on that, it's just such an obvious step.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
Careful.

Smoothie carefully said "would touch $5000 before..."

Meaning it could hit $5,000 for five minutes sometime in the next 10 months then skydive to $200 for the entire rest of the year Smiley  Technically...

As for mainstream copying Bitcoins functionality easily and outdoing it ... lets just be thankful that every day that passes, builds more power into Bitcoin being "the one" even if the Govt makes a copy later.

Every day that goes by:  more name recognition, more adoption, more businesses building their operations around Bitcoin specifically, more infrastructure being formed around Bitcoin.

If that goes on long enough, by the time the Govt/Banks create a clone for their systems, it won't matter.

-B-

lol Yes and pigs fly for 0.0000001 seconds when they jump.

Over the next 10 months I can see the price touching $5000 but I doubt it would go to $200 shortly thereafter.

I would think they'd fly a bit longer than that... And when they suit up and get in helicopters. Oh, wait, you meant actual pigs. Or did you Cheesy

Anyway, on a slightly more serious note, do you base your prediction on anything in particular, or just guts? FWIW, I think you'll likely be right, based on trends I'm watching AND my gut. Just not willing to commit like you did Smiley

It's hard to explain why I made the prediction(s) I made.

I'm not always right but seems like I've been quite right recently.

Once you get a "pulse" on a market you keep up to date on it and then you own it.

Others who have done well will say the same thing. A lot of it has to do with gauging sentiment and that is not a straight forward metric to be put into a simple explanation.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1022
Anarchy is not chaos.
[...]

Anyway, on a slightly more serious note, do you base your prediction on anything in particular, or just guts? FWIW, I think you'll likely be right, based on trends I'm watching AND my gut. Just not willing to commit like you did Smiley

Well, if you're talking about commitment, he isn't the one willing to bet his girlfriend on it...  Grin
LOL
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1071
[...]

Anyway, on a slightly more serious note, do you base your prediction on anything in particular, or just guts? FWIW, I think you'll likely be right, based on trends I'm watching AND my gut. Just not willing to commit like you did Smiley

Well, if you're talking about commitment, he isn't the one willing to bet his girlfriend on it...  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1022
Anarchy is not chaos.
Careful.

Smoothie carefully said "would touch $5000 before..."

Meaning it could hit $5,000 for five minutes sometime in the next 10 months then skydive to $200 for the entire rest of the year Smiley  Technically...

As for mainstream copying Bitcoins functionality easily and outdoing it ... lets just be thankful that every day that passes, builds more power into Bitcoin being "the one" even if the Govt makes a copy later.

Every day that goes by:  more name recognition, more adoption, more businesses building their operations around Bitcoin specifically, more infrastructure being formed around Bitcoin.

If that goes on long enough, by the time the Govt/Banks create a clone for their systems, it won't matter.

-B-

lol Yes and pigs fly for 0.0000001 seconds when they jump.

Over the next 10 months I can see the price touching $5000 but I doubt it would go to $200 shortly thereafter.

I would think they'd fly a bit longer than that... And when they suit up and get in helicopters. Oh, wait, you meant actual pigs. Or did you Cheesy

Anyway, on a slightly more serious note, do you base your prediction on anything in particular, or just guts? FWIW, I think you'll likely be right, based on trends I'm watching AND my gut. Just not willing to commit like you did Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
Careful.

Smoothie carefully said "would touch $5000 before..."

Meaning it could hit $5,000 for five minutes sometime in the next 10 months then skydive to $200 for the entire rest of the year Smiley  Technically...

As for mainstream copying Bitcoins functionality easily and outdoing it ... lets just be thankful that every day that passes, builds more power into Bitcoin being "the one" even if the Govt makes a copy later.

Every day that goes by:  more name recognition, more adoption, more businesses building their operations around Bitcoin specifically, more infrastructure being formed around Bitcoin.

If that goes on long enough, by the time the Govt/Banks create a clone for their systems, it won't matter.

-B-

lol Yes and pigs fly for 0.0000001 seconds when they jump.

Over the next 10 months I can see the price touching $5000 but I doubt it would go to $200 shortly thereafter.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Careful.

Smoothie carefully said "would touch $5000 before..."

Meaning it could hit $5,000 for five minutes sometime in the next 10 months then skydive to $200 for the entire rest of the year Smiley  Technically...

As for mainstream copying Bitcoins functionality easily and outdoing it ... lets just be thankful that every day that passes, builds more power into Bitcoin being "the one" even if the Govt makes a copy later.

Every day that goes by:  more name recognition, more adoption, more businesses building their operations around Bitcoin specifically, more infrastructure being formed around Bitcoin.

If that goes on long enough, by the time the Govt/Banks create a clone for their systems, it won't matter.

-B-
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1022
Anarchy is not chaos.
5 percent of the population... That's huge. If it gets there, I think 50k would be more realistic. You're talking like the entire popluation of the Americas there...


EDIT. I got beat Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 342
Merit: 250
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5k a coin if:

- winklevoss ETF is approved
- US government approves BTC as some type of legal tender
- Wider adoption (specifically sites like amazon google facebook etc...)
- 5% of the worlds population uses it.

I think 1% would take BTC to $50,000 easily. 5% is huge.

Very true....perhaps 5% of the US population.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5k a coin if:

- winklevoss ETF is approved
- US government approves BTC as some type of legal tender
- Wider adoption (specifically sites like amazon google facebook etc...)
- 5% of the worlds population uses it.

I think 1% would take BTC to $50,000 easily. 5% is huge.
sr. member
Activity: 342
Merit: 250
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5k a coin if:


Go on... Roll Eyes

Sorry, somehow I managed to post before i was done....
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5k a coin if:


Go on... Roll Eyes
sr. member
Activity: 342
Merit: 250
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5k a coin if:

- winklevoss ETF is approved
- US government approves BTC as some type of legal tender
- Wider adoption (specifically sites like amazon google facebook etc...)
- 5% of the worlds population uses it.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
I doubt it but we will see Smiley
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
hm
I think 5000$ are possible. It depends on the news(= adoption fpr good news). There will be no technical problems, and the problems with exchanges will lose impact. The biggest rsik factors are the goverment regulations and people losing coins through scam or hacking.

I would say 10K USD / BTC.
But LTC will still see higher returns.

I expect LTC/BTC ratio to touch 0.1 atleast once under 2014.

I am not sure about that. Litecoin has a big community and reputation. But only little innovation over Bitcoin. Otherwise Dogecoin has no innovations and just behind PPC.

How are the chances, that another altcoin becomes the #2 with >5% of Bitcoins market cap?
sr. member
Activity: 469
Merit: 250
English Motherfucker do you speak it ?
I would say 10K USD / BTC.
But LTC will still see higher returns.

I expect LTC/BTC ratio to touch 0.1 atleast once under 2014.
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