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Topic: Call the Peak Contest/Experiment (1 BTC Prize) - page 7. (Read 8293 times)

member
Activity: 112
Merit: 16
17.35
member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?

This will expire May 31st.  If that changes anyone's guess, feel free to edit to change it.  Please edit within the next three days. 

I will be recording guesses so people don't keep editing in an attempt to win.
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
14.64
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
You need a time frame otherwise a 1 penny move could be a peak. When does the contest expire?
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
15.45
sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
if your definition of a peak is a spike followed by a longer period of time (>1 month) with lower prices, my guess is:

GUESS: $17,10

of course i don't expect to hit that price in the next few days, but since there is no timeframe given, thats my guess
member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
Please make it clear that you are guessing by posting like this at the beginning of your post:

GUESS: $15
member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
Rules:

UPDATE:  Contest ends May 31st

To win, post your guess for the peak USD/BTC price.
To win, post your guess before the peak USD/BTC price occurs.
Only a user with 100+ posts can win.
Only the first guess for a user can win.

Winner, with price guess closest to price peak, will receive a 1 BTC prize.

I will use the USD/BTC MTGOX price.
I will determine if you posted before the peak price.
I will determined what is a peak.  I consider these peaks:




When you guess:
Please, I would appreciate any reasoning or let me know if it is a complete guess.  Although, I will not require this in the first experiment to reduce the amount of fake reasoning/guesses given.


Goal:  I hope to run multiple experiments to see if any user(s) can consistently call the peak with some accuracy.  Let me know if I should change any rules for future experiments to better achieve this goal.
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