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Topic: Calling it: Peak of $1,600 by the end of the year - page 2. (Read 6597 times)

sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
$10,000
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
$1,400 is more likely
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
We are still on track if we hit $500 by Tuesday which appears to be very possible.
legendary
Activity: 2632
Merit: 1023
$1600 would be surprising, but only mildly. The key thing here, in addition to China, is that the BIT took off. That was the x-factor: are people actually buying the BIT or is it just languishing? People are buying, bigtime ($15 million invested in 6 weeks so far). Now that it has a track record of big gains, more will pile in. This is going to be huge, as a severe coin shortage happens due to them all being vacuumed up by Second Market, and it will manifest as a sort of organic series of little panic buys as we have been seeing.

This is what I think most in the financial community still do not fully understand.

They are used to working with investment instruments like the GLD ETF, where if there is a temporary short of the underlying asset they just fractionalize it and create paper promises (example GLD holding little physical gold and mostly paper).

Bitcoin is not fractionalizable, this is a massive difference. Wall street of course will try to fractionalize it, but will get badly burned because there is  no central entity to bail out bad/risky decisions.

Every other financial instrument exists with the boundaries of state FIAT currency, bitcoin is competing at with the FIAT currency level. 99.99999% of current economists and traders do not comprehend this fact, and the fact that  no one ever made money trading shares etc, they just swap around and existing amount of fiat money and change its velocity.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
ancap
The price will peak at $1600 then fall back down to hold steady around $1,000 for several months.

Let it be known.

It is so.

This is a very conservative prediction. Four digits in BTC will open a new door to to five digits. Limited-supply and increased-demand is the main reason for this uptrend. Whenever either side is broken trend reverse.
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
If I'm understanding lucif's/masterluc's elliot wave analysis, 1250+ could be the top of the historic wave 3 (wave 1 = the rise from 0.05 to 32 and was roughly 2.8 orders of magnitudes and wave 3 = the rise from 1.99 to at least 1255 if it is no more than 2.8 magnitudes as it is expected to be)... if one were to believe in such things...  Wink



Did we complet wave 4 of 5 of (5)?


What do you Elliott guys think?
IMO, didn't completed even 3 of 5.

I thought he was talking about wave 3 of the five waves off the $65 bottom.  My count has this structure as the historic wave five.

I may have read in some of my own bullishness, but based on the relative small size of the 266 bubble (compared in log scale to the 32 bubble which I consider the top of historic wave 1) I don't have it as the end of historic wave 3 but a mere detour to the top of 1250+
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
If I'm understanding lucif's/masterluc's elliot wave analysis, 1250+ could be the top of the historic wave 3 (wave 1 = the rise from 0.05 to 32 and was roughly 2.8 orders of magnitudes and wave 3 = the rise from 1.99 to at least 1255 if it is no more than 2.8 magnitudes as it is expected to be)... if one were to believe in such things...  Wink



Did we complet wave 4 of 5 of (5)?


What do you Elliott guys think?
IMO, didn't completed even 3 of 5.

I thought he was talking about wave 3 of the five waves off the $65 bottom.  My count has this structure as the historic wave five.
sr. member
Activity: 644
Merit: 250
If I'm understanding lucif's/masterluc's elliot wave analysis, 1250+ could be the top of the historic wave 3 (wave 1 = the rise from 0.05 to 32 and was roughly 2.8 orders of magnitudes and wave 3 = the rise from 1.99 to at least 1255 if it is no more than 2.8 magnitudes as it is expected to be)... if one were to believe in such things...  Wink



Did we complet wave 4 of 5 of (5)?


What do you Elliott guys think?
IMO, didn't completed even 3 of 5.

EDIT:
3 of historical 5 running.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1015
The price will peak at $1600 then fall back down to hold steady around $1,000 for several months.

Let it be known.

It is so.
Sounds about right. My own calculations say that we will at least break $1000 in this current bubble, but I don't know much more beyond that...
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
This is actually not far fetched at all.  Considering the exponential momentum and publicity crypto has picked up and the massive amounts of fiat cash reserves in the world.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
i just.. don't know. i kind of regret selling my .5 $250/btc, but it wasn't that much of a loss. the game is too wildly unpredictable for me to be brave enough to play arbitrage.
Simply change your perspective. Longer term analysis, deflationary in a world of inflating fiat.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
i just.. don't know. i kind of regret selling my .5 $250/btc, but it wasn't that much of a loss. the game is too wildly unpredictable for me to be brave enough to play arbitrage.
donator
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
get ready for $5000 in 2014.
Just don't miss all these sweet bear traps by the way  Wink
full member
Activity: 209
Merit: 100
I fully expect a march up a mountain, then a flight into the sky, followed by a rocket launch to space, with subsequent trip to the moon, all prior to a visit to Mars, all of which is merely the warm up for a trip to another galaxy far far away...


              BTC
           BTCBTCBTCBTC
        BTCBTCBTCBTCBTCBTCBTC


perfect lyrics to the new bitcoin rally song....!
Please feel free to create it!
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1000
And so it was written.

And as it is such, so also as such is it unto you.
legendary
Activity: 1168
Merit: 1000
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
Wanna bet?
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
We are still on track for this.

If we hit $500 in 10 days we will be about 2 weeks away from $1500-$2000.

It will reach that height, as far as the correction...I believe the Chinese influence throws those results into unknown territory.
legendary
Activity: 1153
Merit: 1000
$1600 would be surprising, but only mildly. The key thing here, in addition to China, is that the BIT took off. That was the x-factor: are people actually buying the BIT or is it just languishing? People are buying, bigtime ($15 million invested in 6 weeks so far). Now that it has a track record of big gains, more will pile in. This is going to be huge, as a severe coin shortage happens due to them all being vacuumed up by Second Market, and it will manifest as a sort of organic series of little panic buys as we have been seeing.

This is what I think most in the financial community still do not fully understand.

They are used to working with investment instruments like the GLD ETF, where if there is a temporary short of the underlying asset they just fractionalize it and create paper promises (example GLD holding little physical gold and mostly paper).

Bitcoin is not fractionalizable, this is a massive difference. Wall street of course will try to fractionalize it, but will get badly burned because there is  no central entity to bail out bad/risky decisions.
full member
Activity: 230
Merit: 100
I fully expect a march up a mountain, then a flight into the sky, followed by a rocket launch to space, with subsequent trip to the moon, all prior to a visit to Mars, all of which is merely the warm up for a trip to another galaxy far far away...


              BTC
           BTCBTCBTCBTC
        BTCBTCBTCBTCBTCBTCBTC


perfect lyrics to the new bitcoin rally song....!
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