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Topic: Calling the top - page 2. (Read 323 times)

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Activity: 73
Merit: 15
March 13, 2021, 03:21:13 PM
#1
Hello all,
So I thought I would put together a handy guide to top indicators and how to call the top in this Bitcoin bull run.  Here are my personal 5 criteria that I think are relevant for calling a top.  If Bitcoin satisfies 4 out of 5 of these criteria, I will be comfortable in calling a top.

1. Price of Bitcoin approximately doubles within two weeks.  This is a simple one.  Two weekly candles with a doubling in price from wick to wick is historically a solid indicator that we've hit the top.

2.  Bitcoin dominance falls into the 30-40% range amid a face-melting altcoin rally.  https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRYPTOCAP-BTC.D/
This happened in 2017 and I do believe it will happen again as retail investors scramble to gobble up anything with a whiff of "crypto" to it.

3. At least one long-term logarithmic target is hit, summed up very well by MasterLuc's latest post: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/zzbhCPLm-Long-term-targets-approaching/

4. Pi Cycle top indicator crosses.  https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/pi-cycle-top-indicator/

5. Monthly Mayer Multiple exceeds 2.4 for at least one month. https://www.buybitcoinworldwide.com/mayer-multiple/

These are my personal favorite ones but feel free to share yours, and enjoy the spoils of this historic bull run my friends!
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