Topic: Can a new $2 trillion bill bring back the US economy to pre pandemic levels. (Read 564 times)

I'm skeptical. You got a source to back that up?


The majority used the money for daily expenses like food and bills, and after that, housing and paying off debts. Unsurprisingly:


Stimulus payments aren't intended to impact long term welfare, aside from the broad goal of preventing a prolonged recession or depression. And remember, any stimulus money that is spent at businesses is effectively a subsidy to those businesses. That's the entire point: to get income to businesses.

I can't speak to what India did specifically, but in the US anyone making less than $100K got a stimulus payment. So not only did the middle class receive a handout as well, but business owners doubly benefited when consumers went to spend the money.

I don't think money is a way for the economy to grow again. Economic recession stems from pandemics and they affect the entire economy. Businesses and citizens are struggling to pay off their previous loans. People need jobs, businesses need markets to sell their products. Supply and demand have an organic relationship and it helps stabilize the economy.
First, we need to escape from the pandemic on a global level. This will take a lot of effort from the health sector.
Need to restructure debts of businesses and people. Create a source of income for people and encourage them to consume.
When too much money is printed, the dollar loses value, so a meticulous plan for economic recovery is needed. Otherwise, the risk of a dollar crash is higher than ever, and things could get worse.

Here in India, a lot of poor people receive similar handouts, both from the central government and from the state government. And in 90% of the cases, they spend this amount in alcohol and gambling. Only a very few use it for essential activity. I hope the case is different in the United States. This is also one of the reasons why a lot of people in India are against the idea of handouts. It will increase the tax burden on the middle class, and at the same time it will have no impact on the long-term welfare of the poor people.

There's a few ideas floating around. One is having the Fed mint a couple trillion dollar coins, which the Treasury will use to issue new currency against. That's literal money printing. Another is the traditional route of issuing US treasuries, driving up the national debt even higher. From a conservative's perspective, the ideal is actually being able to pay for the stimulus measures up front by reducing spending in other sectors. There's no way they could shore up $2 trillion that way; the final bill would be much smaller in that case.


Are we talking about direct stimulus payments like the $1,200 checks people got? If I understand correctly, the idea behind that is to facilitate any spending at all since that generates income for businesses. In other words, any spending is good spending regardless of whether it's productive. Without spending, the economy grinds to a halt.

With that in mind, if they are giving out helicopter money, they should be skewing it towards the poor. Not just in the "we should be helping the poor" sense, but because lower income recipients are much more likely to actually spend the money in the consumer economy. Middle class and affluent people will just leave the cash in the bank, reduce their tax liability, or buy investment assets since they don't actually need the money. That doesn't really help the economy or tax revenues.

One question:
Where will the stimulus come from??
It will not only decrease the value of USD. But at the same time will make people to expect something more. Another stimulus bill maybe ?
They have to give them : JOBS " instead of spoon feeding once for the sake of the upcoming elections , they have to make sure that their life is secured and thus what they are doing right now is not only unnecessary, but it's also putting people in an awkward situation.
If you want to improve your economy " send some money into medical businesses instead of using it on combat equipments of police department, educate people , give them jobs , start producing more things in US itself "
What we need right now is :
Jobs
Better medical facilities
Education
Tackle homelessness

No need to be too pessimistic. The infection levels are going down all over the world, perhaps with the exception of the European Union. With stimulus measures in place, the small and medium sized businesses should be able to stay afloat. And I am not that concerned about the vaccine. By the time it is available to all, the pandemic would be mostly confined to a few areas.

I don't think &2 trillion can bring back the US economy.
Covid-19 has collapsed the economy to lower level which $2 trillion will not be enough for them to rise the economy back to live as usual.
Many people that contacted the virus are still in the hospital which the government are still trying to get the vaccine which is too expensive for them to purchase. Many people lost their job during the pandemic which is causing them more hardship in the country.

This is not a permanent solution. The $2 trillion stimulus may keep the economy afloat for 4-5 months. But what will happen, in case the pandemic is not contained by then? IMO, spending money on handouts never works. Some of the recipients are going to use this money for productive purposes. But the vast majority are going to use it for unproductive activity. 

I don’t see this 2nd wave happening, and I think things will be a lot different, there is a vaccine on the way, lots of companies have been working on releasing vaccines and judging from the time that was given, I believe that very soon it will be out and they will vaccinate a lot of people to prevent further spread of the virus.

I am hoping that they do thisas quickaspossible, and probably there won’t be any second wave. Businesses have already reopened and looking the way economy dropped drastically in the lockdown worldwide, businesses are not ready to be locked down again, countries are not ready for that, they are trying to survive and you putting them on lockdown means that you just want to kill everything. Most focus should be cure.

On May I clearly can recall that there was a stimulus bill being passed and it was around 3 billion I guess.

We still cannot say nor guarantee that once the $2 trillion dollar bill has been approve is that it can really boost up or revive the economy of US as the year 2021 enters our calendars the next year. But let us just hope for the possibility that it might made an impact on the economy somehow once it have been approved. May the government use it wisely for we are talking a decent big amount. The effectivity of the usage of that stimulus will rely on the government managing how they will implement the fair distribution and usage of $2 trillion dollars stimulus being proposed for the recovery of the US economy. Let us just all see what can happen once it have been approved and the action for the usage of it have already been executed because as for now, we really cannot assure that it can bring back the US economy for we still do not know if the pandemic is already over.

I agree with you that the 2 trillion bill should bring the us economy back into epidemic form. That's why us president donald trump has promised to sign the bill into law as soon as it is passed the bill calls for 500 billion in industrial aid for the corona virus and 300 for millions of families. In addition 350 billion in loan facilities for small businesses 250 billion in unemployment benefits and at least 100 billion in health care including hospitals will help alleviate the epidemic.

In a situation like now the US government must accept a $ 2 trillion stimulus bill to be able to help the economy in the short term.
Although in the long run it will have a negative effect on the American economy, but will this stimulus be able to return America to
pre pandemic levels I am not sure. But the American government has no other solution, especially if the second wave of the corona
virus gets bigger, $ 2 Trillion of stimulus is needed. Indeed, being the leader of a country in a pandemic situation like now must have
the courage to make crucial decisions.

Well the first stimulus package certainly did something on the then ailing US economy on the first few months of the pandemic. It's not only the citizens themselves who benefited from that deal but also businesses where those money were spent. The money certainly made it to big institutions ultimately who provided necessities, services and other goods the Americans needed at the time. So all in all, the economy is somehow stimulated by giving 'free' money to the people.

For a second round of stimulus packages, Americans would definitely love to have a go at it, although it's like there's a tug of war between the Democrats and Republicans on passing this bill, especially since the election is coming and they are trying to make this as hard as possible for Trump. We might see another stimulation of the economy since the citizens have another buying power on their pockets, though that money isn't infinite and some other solutions have to be proposed in order to bring back the US economy to where it was prior to this pandemic. Hint: jobs.

Small and medium businesses are the most affected here since they don’t have much capital to cover such losses and yeah, hopefully it will be fair this time with fair distribution. Additional fund or this stimulus can really help a country to recover, though its not guaranteed since it will still depend if we finally see a vaccine or not and will depend on how the government will use that fund and how the businesses deal with this.

That depends how efficiently various bureaucracies spend the money.....good luck with that!

It also depends how much the BLS fudges their data when calculating economic output and related statistics, in an effort to make everything look rosy. Their track record is pretty bad there.


It's definitely possible. Trump is pushing for $1.8 trillion, and I think he has even said he would raise his offer from there. The House already passed a $2.2 trillion bill. It's Senate Republicans who are standing behind a $500 billion bill. Not sure how long before they fold to the pressure.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/09/trump-raises-coronavirus-stimulus-offer-to-1point8-trillion-sources-say.html

It'll be more interesting to see how such a stimulus package gets paid for.  No doubt it'll be welcomed by the citizens of the United States, but there's no such thing as free money.  Somebody's got to pay back that $2 trillion, and I don't think anybody has a plan to not put the burden onto the taxpayers.

IMO the US economy is nowhere near as bad as it's being made out to be.  It took a temporary pounding because of COVID-19, but I'm pretty sure that'll all be settled after the election.  Guaranteed, because right now the politicians and the biased media are hyping up the dangers of the pandemic and using it to influence the election.

The US needs more jobs.  I don't really think it needs to take on $2 trillion worth of debt in order to stimulate the economy.

It's happens everywhere not just in US where small & medium business disproportionately affected.

But here we talk about US gov stimulus specifically. People do care so much due how big the impact of US investors into crypto market, large groups of investor bluntly announced they are doing crypto business... become a large financial advisor in crypto market and so on.
People now will get back to their business to have more than just primary needs with stimulus in hand as nothing to worry about how the future looks like with economic collapse, they do need this stimulus but could always be a boomerang as well.
Then,
What if the stimulus failed? I'm sure the instant effect will take place just like we are all witnessed the price of bitcoin moving fast from $10k to $11.5k . More than just like that , the economic damage is there haunting.
Beware , this gonna be a crucial moment.

It depends on how you use the money and not how much money you use. Do you know where all those billions and billions of dollars worth of companies make their money from? Customers, all of them need customers, without lower end and middle income people no company would ever make money all by itself, none of them.

This means if you keep pumping money to them but not to regular folk, those companies will keep on going down, they will get money to bail them out but since customers do not have money they will not be buying as much and that means companies will keep going down. However if governments do end up giving money to regular folks, maybe 2k for everyone including the homeless down the street to the biggest CEO, that could mean companies could profit more from all those customers having money to spend on them.

If printing money can revive the fallen economy then every country can do that so actually giving stimulus is nit going to bring back the economy just in next 8 months, probably it will take 3 to 10 years to reach the pre pandemic levels,but wait we still yet to eradicate the corona virus completely so the real revival begins only after this corona ends.

The last time they had a similar stimulus measure was sometime in 2009-10, after the economic recession. It helped in restarting the economy, but most of the money was used in recapitalizing major banks and other corporations. Very small fraction ended up with small and medium-sized businesses. I hope that this time it will not be the case. Because small and medium sized businesses are disproportionately affected, and they need this help badly.