A. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
I. WEEKLY ANALYSIS (W1)
1. Open last week at $ 10,399 and BTC quickly rose to the highest at $ 11,788 and quickly fell back to the lowest at $ 9280 and closed at $ 9583 (data from Bitfinex). ).
2. Trading volume increased sharply and prices fell sharply and created a rather bad candle for the uptrend.
3. Week candles can go in two logical directions: If the BTC goes in the same direction, we notice that for every green candlestick two red candles will appear next. So if BTC goes in this direction, this candle will close in the red color. If the logic is changed then the candle will go to a green candle with a red candle. However, as we observe candles and trading volumes, this week's probability of producing red candles is much higher.
The upper Bollinger closed down and the weekly candle closed below the Bollinger Bands after the previous week's candle-hold on the Bollinger Bands. So, if we consider Bollinger bands alone, Bollinger Bollinger Bollinger Bollinger Bollinger BTC can be sideways or down, and the market is not bright.
5. ADX is 32 and DI + is above DI- and DI + is 23. Therefore, if the uptrend is bullish, wait for the ADX to go below 20 and turn up, the trend will be strong. So, at this point the ADX waves are down so the rising waves can not go very well. As the red wave is weak, unless the ADX goes up again. On this time frame, the DI-wavelength is more beautiful than the DI + wave. It means that if the BTC is down, it will be easier to increase again.
6. Stoch is still down trend and 2 lines% K and% D are still far away, so it takes time for these two lines to cross or may continue to go down over 20. Buy pressure is still selling pressure on the BTC.
7. The MACD is down and the histograms are growing. Two lines of MACD have not crossed each other when the width is still very good and heading towards line 0. So, the trend on the weekly chart of the BTC is still under pressure.
8. MFI money flow after overbought area has quickly fallen and fell sharply to the current time only 47.5. Thus, the investor has quite a lot of discharge and trust in BTC is no longer as before.
9. Ichimoku continued to support the BTC's rally as prices remained on the Kumo cloud plus Chikou-span on the rack and Tenkan-sen remained on Kijun-sen despite the narrowing of the gap. If Tenkan-sen cuts down on Kijun-sen, disaster will likely occur with BTC. Therefore, we hope that BTC does not fall down strongly in the next few weeks if we do not want the whole market to fall into the difficult period of 2018.
II. DAILY ANALYSIS (D1)
1. Yesterday after opening at $ 9665 and quickly rising to $ 9840 and falling back to a low of $ 9280 and closing at $ 9583 (as recorded on Bitfinex).
2. With a moderate volume and a candle, Spinning top candle. Therefore, there is no side that predominates when BTC creates this type of candle.
3. On the chart Daily candlestick pattern is going logic 1 green candle 2 red candle and if the logic that the BTC today will be green again.
4. ADX is signaling that BTC will go sideways when all three lines are below 25.
5. Stoch still supported the uptrend and not yet overbought so the BTC is still supported.
The MACD is still supporting the uptrend as the MACD 2 line is still moving up support. The histogram is located above 0 and the cylinder is decreasing. Maybe BTC will continue to increase.
7. MFI has dropped to 45. Thus, the cash flow out of BTC pretty much when the BTC quickly reduced.
8. Considering the pricing model of BTC, I feel like BTC is looking to take the Head and Shouder model and the price is shaping the right shoulder.
9. Candle still closed on Bollinger bands so bullish trend is Bollinger bands support.
10. Considering the price model, BTC has not withdrawn the foot after adjustment. So, in my experience, it would be reasonable to take a Hammer candle or a Pinbar candle before it bounces back.
11. Ichimoku has not supported the rise of BTC. However, the Tenkan-sen is currently located on the Kijun-sen so there is still some extra power. Buying power was strongest when prices were around Kijun-sen at $ 8900.
B. SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS
The resistance level is quite strong but the support level is quite weak.
I. Resistance: $ 10,700 - $ 11,400 - $ 11,600 - $ 13,300 - $ 15,750.
II. Support levels: $ 8212 - $ 8900 - $ 9570.