I don't necessarily disagree. However, this assumes that most traders are short. Not sure about that.
On Bitfinex, there are far more leveraged shorts than longs. Infact the shorts are totally maxed out. For this reason, I was expecting a short squeezing bull trap to transpire, where the shorts were all squeezed out, resulting in adding fuel to the break out, and encouraging dumb longs to pile in at which point the Bitfinex whales who would have manipulated the bull trap to begin with, would have dumped coin at max profit. After this, we would have the correction that all the chart indicators have been pointing towards.
This seemed to be the way the markets were going, but Huobi was having none of it. Fake volume or not, Huobi has spoken and the USD exchanges have followed. Clear and unequivocal break down from 2 day stagnant pennant formation with all the 4hr indicators yelling "Sell".
An absolute 100% school boy short selling opportunity right now at $580.I agree, that most Bitcoiners are long. With a massive amount of coins being bought at +$550 levels. The market will punish these holders of coins. Again, this move above $550 was instigated by Huobi. It will remain etched in my mind a long time. As I was long since $490, and was sitting contemplating a 5K BTC wall on Stamp and thought it was a clear time to sell. 2 Minutes later the Ask wall was raped by 6K worth of buying pressure. Aghast, I switched over to Huobi's chart and saw that a massive move was instigated there just a few minutes previously.
It is absolutely fucking ridiculous how the automated market trading simply follows in the steps of action on any other large exchange, especially exchanges like Gox or Huobi, where it is suspected the trading is all fake. But that is how it works. Perhaps the most popular trading bots are actually coded by Chinese bitcoin cyber-cowboys themselves. Perhaps they know better than anyone how the different trading algorithms work, and how best to completely milk the whole market dry. They may have their western based whale competitors who have other ideas as was seemingly witnessed today, but when it comes down to it, the western market shakers are no match for the mathematically adept and ultra underhand Chinese cyber-cowboys. That is how it seems to me anyhow. The West wants the market to do one thing, and it obliges, until China says something else. China almost always has the final word. (I identify China not just as 'Huobi', but all trading done during China waking hours including on USD exchanges where the mofos surely also operate).