Topic: Chain Archaeology - Answers from the early blockchain - page 3. (Read 9239 times)

The above post is getting a bit crowded. I think I'll start a fresh one.
Below are blocks 80 to 162.

Every single block on this graph follows satoshi's pattern...
Except block 131. Unspent, we won't know who mined it. Until it is spent. Which by the way could never ever happen, ever, but we'll see.

Edit.
Below are blocks 150 to 200.

Uhm... Did satoshi turn off his miner? Look at that jumbled mess of blocks.

From now on I'm going to monologue my research.

Block 12 as was said by the guy in the paper was mined by another client. More likely than not a cipherpunk on the mailing list. Whether or not this was that person's only block remains unknown and will stay unknown until the block is spent, which could be forever.

Satoshi's block 14 is the peak of his first eN pattern. It resets for block 15.

Edit. Next twenty blocks below.

I should assume that blocks 15 to 25 were all satoshi's, since it's his distinct (so far) pattern, but I'm not going to jump to conclusions yet.
It resets again after 25. Now, this is interesting. It looks like someone else mined at least one block between block 27 and 29, but I don't think we'll ever know which. The pattern resets again on block 37.

Edit. If the miner anon who mined a block between 27 and 29 mined block 28, they would have had to mine 29 as well so as not to disrupt satoshi's pattern. They also could have mined 26, meaning satoshi's pattern started at anywhere between 26 and 29. These four blocks are the most confusing so far. We'll probably never get a conclusion on them. Not with this data.

Edit. Next twenty below.

This looks like it was exclusively satoshi's pattern.

Edit. Next twenty below.

Block 64 disrupts the pattern and is unspent. We will never know who mined it; Only that it wasn't satoshi.
Block 73 is where satoshi's pattern resets again. The next blocks are interesting:
Block 78, which we already know was mined by Hal Finney, fits into the pattern from 73 to 78.
Were blocks 73-77 mined by someone else? This makes no sense to me yet.
They weren't mined by Hal. His first block was 78, or "block 70-something" in his words.
COULD be satoshi. It fits his pattern, but it's really short, and why would it reset after Hal's block?
Maybe we will never know.

Edit.

The next 20 were mined with satoshi's pattern starting at 79.
This is nuts. Either satoshi was the only one mining at this time, or his hashrate was significantly higher than anyone else.

Edit.
To put things into perspective, here's the global share of mined blocks from 1 to 100.

Here's what I have so far.

0 - Satoshi - Genesis block
1 - Satoshi - Premining starts
2 - Satoshi
3 - Satoshi
4 - Satoshi
5 - Satoshi
6 - Satoshi
7 - Satoshi
8 - Satoshi
9 - Satoshi - First block to be spent
10 - Satoshi - Premining ends, Bitcoin client released
11 - Satoshi - extraNonce pattern continues
12 - Unknown - Pattern disrupted
13 - Satoshi - Pattern continues
14 - Satoshi - This is the block in the first incremental pattern
78 - Hal - Coins traced to his paper wallet, personally claimed to mine "block 70-something"
163 - Unknown - There is no pattern at all it seems until about 190 (see chart below) Has satoshi stopped mining here?
193 - Unknown - Probably satoshi, incremental extraNonce starts
235 - Unknown - Coins spent, possibly identifiable
268 - Vaga
309 - |)ruid - Coins spent in conjunction with coins from 12hrp
317 - Unknown - Coins moved to another address, but are still there today
320 - |)ruid
417 - Vaga - Vaga's extraNonce pattern starts
431 - Vaga
442 - Vaga
450 - Vaga - Pattern ends, Vaga's coins move to one address, Vaga disappears forever

I'm basing this on that original research. I'm looking for not only a way to identify "satoshi" but as many miners as possible.
I will search for any patterns at all. Not just the extraNonce either, I'm going to look into everything.

OpenOffice Calc

Curious, what is your drawing/graph software/library?

This is not the first time this has been attempted via the extranonce:

http://www.bitcoinrumors.com/2013/04/18/the-well-deserved-fortune-of-satoshi-nakamoto-bitcoin-creator-visionary-and-genius/

The standing theory is that back in the early days Satoshi had a "blind miner" running to keep the network ticking over until enough people joined and stayed connected continuously to keep it running and allow the net-work effect to take hold.

Regardless, it's undeniable we can see Satoshi's footprint in those early blocks but whether or not anyone bothered to keep the coins being generated by the "blind miner" process is another question. After all, they had no value beyond academic interest back then.

Look at these cryptic patterns. I can't wait to separate spent from unspent.

I've done my best to trace down the people who mined the blocks with spent coinbases between height 0 and 450.

More extensive research is imminent.

Maybe this was a message intended by Satoshi

I was going to say the same thing. Get your smut out of here 

You know, with all those blue spheres, they kind of look like a particular male organ when stacked like that, if you know what I mean.

Once I find a better way of telling which blocks were spent and unspent, we will have a better idea of which blocks were satoshi's and which blocks weren't.
If anyone mined a block with a height less than 1,000 please let me know.

Absolutely undeniable stuff:
We know Hal mined block 78.
We know Satoshi mined blocks 0 and 9.

Given the extraNonce is incremented by the bitcoin client, the upward trends above sergio theorized as being single clients. This is sound.
The extraNonce seems to reset time to time, but I have no idea why or at what occasion.
Perhaps only satoshi's client did this? Maybe everyone else's extraNonces are just pseudorandom?
I'm going to look into this some more.