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Topic: China banned bitcoin: 2013 VS 2017. market maturity? (Read 1317 times)

hero member
Activity: 946
Merit: 500
Bcnex - The Ultimate Blockchain Trading Platform
Obviously it's gonna drop less when there is more liquidity but I think we are over bought and there can be a big dump soon
Dumpis already happening. We might expect it to decreased morewhicb hopefully will not happen, we want some goodnews now,since if it dips too much it might get hard to recover.
member
Activity: 84
Merit: 10
Obviously it's gonna drop less when there is more liquidity but I think we are over bought and there can be a big dump soon
full member
Activity: 742
Merit: 100
this is not the first time that the news, um i mean the lie about China banning bitcoin comes out. because in fact China has never banned bitcoin!

on 5 December 2013 China prohibited their banks from investing in bitcoin, the FUD said China banned bitcoin and all the things you are seeing today.

the price took a dive about 33% in the first hour and in about 4 days bitcoin lost half its value (-50% drop) before it started recovering as the FUD cleared up.



in case above pic didn't show up: https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zig2-hourzczsg2013-12-04zeg2013-12-09ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zp

now in 2017 we have had the same thing. first the ICO thing which didn't even have anything to do with bitcoin, and then this new FUD about China banning bitcoin again!

this time however, bitcoin barely dropped 5% in the initial hours and the total drop was about 10%



in case above pic didn't show up: https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg5zig2-hourzczsg2017-09-07zeg2017-09-11ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zp

is the market getting more mature that the FUD is less effective now?

Bitcoin prices for both 2013 and 2017 come from the positive news of the market and face the wild  objectionable from China. However, these two times, Bitcoin was very different. At the present time, Bitcoin has grown, matured a lot. It received the trust of investors and was recognized by many countries. The transaction is so large that China's banned Bitcoin does not reduce Bitcoin as much as it does in 2013. It is possible that China will only offer fake news to buy Bitcoin at a lower price.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 501
Stability has been increasing, definitely.

Not unexpected really as there are a lot more legit users of bitcoin now. Bitcoin is much more than just a token that speculators hold to attempt to gain a profit or whatnot. People actually use it for buying stuff globally, and this brings stability.

Even though there was a panic dump it was much a much smaller drop. A lot of bitcoiners especially outside of China seem to think that they will hold BTC regardless of the outcome, as the ban does not affect them.

I think the stability has been going up too. I was almost certain that bitcoin would suffer a stronger drop with the news of China banning news. However, the price rebounded even after the rumors were "confirmed" through articles. Is there any real explanation for this?

There was never a formal announcement from China that the ban will take place soon or even at all.

All there was is just news articles really. The Chinese government has not said anything about the situation or commented on it. Thus, i think this current dump is caused by mostly FUD and no real reason honestly.

Price has rebounded, and went down, rebounded again, and went down again. Shows that there is a lot of support at the $4k level right now.
hero member
Activity: 564
Merit: 508
I guess some reality check is needed.

BTC is going down already, without any formal announcement coming from China.
IF Chinese exchanges are really going to shut down a further sensible correction will ignite.

Let's stop talking about FUD and let's start accepting market cycles, who hanged here long enough knows what it means.

I hardly think all of the rumors is fake / FUD and for sure more uncertainty will come from here to november.

It's time for a healthy correction, which has basically just started.
I think it will be measured in weeks, not in days.

My 2 cents, for what's worth.
sr. member
Activity: 574
Merit: 250
Stability has been increasing, definitely.

Not unexpected really as there are a lot more legit users of bitcoin now. Bitcoin is much more than just a token that speculators hold to attempt to gain a profit or whatnot. People actually use it for buying stuff globally, and this brings stability.

Even though there was a panic dump it was much a much smaller drop. A lot of bitcoiners especially outside of China seem to think that they will hold BTC regardless of the outcome, as the ban does not affect them.

I think the stability has been going up too. I was almost certain that bitcoin would suffer a stronger drop with the news of China banning news. However, the price rebounded even after the rumors were "confirmed" through articles. Is there any real explanation for this?
The markets are more matured compared with 2013. I find another interesting thread like this https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=2161216.40
A lot of the people from the US financial institution are trying to FUD to the crypto, they are worried about the capability of crypto to growth without the goverment.
Or this time they are realize us as a threat.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1039
Stability has been increasing, definitely.

Not unexpected really as there are a lot more legit users of bitcoin now. Bitcoin is much more than just a token that speculators hold to attempt to gain a profit or whatnot. People actually use it for buying stuff globally, and this brings stability.

Even though there was a panic dump it was much a much smaller drop. A lot of bitcoiners especially outside of China seem to think that they will hold BTC regardless of the outcome, as the ban does not affect them.

I think the stability has been going up too. I was almost certain that bitcoin would suffer a stronger drop with the news of China banning news. However, the price rebounded even after the rumors were "confirmed" through articles. Is there any real explanation for this?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 278
Bitcoin :open immutable decentralized global fair
this is not the first time that the news, um i mean the lie about China banning bitcoin comes out. because in fact China has never banned bitcoin!

on 5 December 2013 China prohibited their banks from investing in bitcoin, the FUD said China banned bitcoin and all the things you are seeing today.

the price took a dive about 33% in the first hour and in about 4 days bitcoin lost half its value (-50% drop) before it started recovering as the FUD cleared up.

https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=bitstampUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=60&i=2-hour&c=1&s=2013-12-04&e=2013-12-07&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=0&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=1&

in case above pic didn't show up: https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg60zig2-hourzczsg2013-12-04zeg2013-12-09ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zp

now in 2017 we have had the same thing. first the ICO thing which didn't even have anything to do with bitcoin, and then this new FUD about China banning bitcoin again!

this time however, bitcoin barely dropped 5% in the initial hours and the total drop was about 10%

https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/chart.png?width=940&m=bitstampUSD&SubmitButton=Draw&r=5&i=2-hour&c=0&s=&e=&Prev=&Next=&t=S&b=&a1=&m1=10&a2=&m2=25&x=0&i1=&i2=&i3=&i4=&v=0&cv=0&ps=0&l=0&p=1&

in case above pic didn't show up: https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#rg5zig2-hourzczsg2017-09-07zeg2017-09-11ztgSzm1g10zm2g25zp

is the market getting more mature that the FUD is less effective now?

Exactly.

When it comes to bitcoin;

China's central control is becoming irrelevant.

Jamie Dimon is irrelevant.

All the world's largest banks who have been blocking disclosed/open bitcoin transactions/business are irrelevant.

Any attempts of government regulations / legalizations are irrelevant.

Bitcoin hit escape velocity back in 2013 (4 years ago) and has been strengthening ever since. It's 10 year anniversary is not too far away.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
3rd China FUD bomb dropped this week. They're trying really hard to shake BTC off its trend line. JP morgan was even called into the assault. The same old tactics aren't working like they use too. This month will be a testament to the current state of bitcoins resiliency.

Unfortunately, I'm starting to lose faith that it's just FUD. People like Jihan Wu and Charlie Lee are now confirming that the ban is likely to be true. It's funny, though, that the western markets dumped so hard when they posted the news earlier today (along with the Jamie Dimon comments), but the Chinese markets are holding up particularly well. That's not what I expected to see.
hero member
Activity: 682
Merit: 540
3rd China FUD bomb dropped this week. They're trying really hard to shake BTC off its trend line. JP morgan was even called into the assault. The same old tactics aren't working like they use too. This month will be a testament to the current state of bitcoins resiliency.
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 509
In my opinion, by all measurements bitcoin and its community has become so much more mature and there is a lot more long term holders that just don't give a crap about short term pricing of bitcoin in general.

This has resulted in a much more resilient bitcoin price in general, even in events of FUD.

Especially when there are rumors, now the market barely moves compared to when China threatened to ban all exchanges where BTC lost half of its value overnight. As more merchants start accepting BTC, stability will grow even more.
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 513
Markets have definitely moved to a lot more stable level compared to a few years ago.

But 2013 was different in that IIRC China actually officially announced that they would be banning exchanges, but only later on did they reconsider their decision and essentially "unban" them again. Nonetheless, still FUD.

This time i think people have realised that the source is not accurate or confirmed at all. There was only a $400~ drop off, which was like 10% of bitcoin's value. Compared to 50%, markets have definitely matured and will continue to do so as mass adoption happens imo.
legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
Ive heard it all before... china ban is harmless, nothing will happen. everyone thinks so.  Grin

It is bs and its all going down  Grin

I would not say harmless. If the Chinese government comes after the exchanges themselves, it would be a big blow on not only Bitcoin but the whole cryptocurrency ecosystem. I know nothing has happened, but I would not be one to laugh and taking it lightly.
full member
Activity: 287
Merit: 101
It's kinda funny - China hates Japan, yet they ban Bitcoin and Japan is like - OK? We win again? Bitcoin cool!!!
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
2013 was in the middle of Gox thing. Different circumstances

it was not exactly in the middle of it. the Gox thing you have in mind came a bit after that. but irregardless of that, what i posted here is just an example of many other similar circumstances. this is not the only 2 but the 2013 thing with China ban was the easiest one i could find off the top of my mind which was also very similar to this day.
hero member
Activity: 682
Merit: 540
If the Chinese really cared about the well fare of it's citizens, people in Beijing wouldn't have to wear respirators to breath the city air. If any Government cared about your financial health they would have mandatory fiance classes every year in public school, starting with basics savings and money management to the most intricate functioning's and terminology there are by the end of high school.     
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1521
Even if the reports were true, the exchanges won't be gone. They'll focus on crypto-to-crypto trading (Okcoin came out and said as much). Supposedly the emphasis is on fiat-crypto trading, but to be honest, I'm very skeptical that the report is true.

Between the audits early in the year and the quiet return to normal a few months later (with months of frozen BTC withdrawals in between), it just seems unlikely to me. Honestly, I suspect the PBOC planted the story to put a damper on investment and to reinforce the move against ICOs, with no intention of following through on it.

I've read that BTCC were going to focus on facilitating OTC trades if is true. I assume that would be shut down too. Localbitcoins wouldn't be allowed to survive either.

I'm not sure about BTCC, but Okcoin said they would become a "P2P platform for digital assets" if the report came to fruition. The report seems specifically aimed at interaction with fiat currency. It's clear that they aren't banning cryptocurrencies themselves; the question is how much they want to discourage average citizens from obtaining them.

Crypto to crypto is far more bonkers than CNY/crypto. If the Chinese are serious about 'saving' their population then alt only won't be a goer either.

Let's sit back and see.

The ICO ban could be construed as "saving" their population, just due to the sheer magnitude of the bubble. There were hundreds of ICOs within a matter of months, and the amount of investment blew previous Bitcoin/altcoin hype out of the water. But officials have hinted that even the ICO ban is just temporary.

The broader context: capital outflows outside of the country. They know they can't stop people from using crypto any more than they can stop people from using VPNs. But they can discourage mainstream participation by cutting off fiat markets and forcing them underground.
hero member
Activity: 843
Merit: 1001
the chinese is not the 2013 chinese ,and the bitcoin is no the 2013 bitcoin .the market is become biger and biger ,the whole world is including ,not just china . china ban bitcoin ,so what .
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 501
Stability has been increasing, definitely.

Not unexpected really as there are a lot more legit users of bitcoin now. Bitcoin is much more than just a token that speculators hold to attempt to gain a profit or whatnot. People actually use it for buying stuff globally, and this brings stability.

Even though there was a panic dump it was much a much smaller drop. A lot of bitcoiners especially outside of China seem to think that they will hold BTC regardless of the outcome, as the ban does not affect them.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Ive heard it all before... china ban is harmless, nothing will happen. everyone thinks so.  Grin

It is bs and its all going down  Grin
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