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Topic: China electric issue causes Bitcoin to pull back - page 2. (Read 364 times)

legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 18771
Now, my question is, does the Sichuan electric issue causes Bitcoin to pull back from almost hitting the $10,000 level?
I agree with the posters above that the hashrate isn't causing a pull back for a couple of reasons.

First of all, the hashrate has never been higher. The recent drop due to the halving plus the events you have described have only taken us back to the same levels we were at at the end of last year, and remains higher than everything from September last year back to the genesis block. When we were pushing $14k back in June, the hashrate was only around 63% of what it is now. When we peaked at $20k in 2017, the hashrate was approximately 15% of what it is now. There is no real correlation between hashrate and price.

Secondly, I don't think what you've described is really that significant. If the links you provide are accurate, than Sichuan contributes 10% of China's hash power, and some but not all of the miners there have stopped or reduced their mining time by 50%. So we are talking about a drop of a few percent in China's hash power, which is an even smaller percentage when considered globally.

Lastly, I wonder if the decreased hashrate may be preventing people from selling their bitcoin. The mempool currently has 70 MB of low fee transactions waiting to be confirmed. A proportion of these transactions will be people who are trying to send their coins to an exchange to sell them, and haven't yet been able to. As the mempool has started to work down in to these low fee transactions over the last few days, so too has the price decreased by a few hundred dollars. I know correlation doesn't equal causation, but I found it interesting nonetheless.
jr. member
Activity: 84
Merit: 2
saito.io
I'm not too worried about this causing a price pull-back but I am hoping for a bit of bear, since I managed to get a nice sum of cash that I got holed up in Binance waiting for BTC to drop to 6-7k again :^)
legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
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Several sources has reported about China's electric issues, specifically in the province of Sichuan. The country has been experiencing prolonged dry season causing the lack of hydroelectricity, thus crippling the miners activity in that area.

Interesting news. I knew that quite some miners have stopped. I thought that they play on the safe side and will wait for the price to grow before mining again, but dry season / lack of hydroelectricity could also be a strong reason.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 4418
Crypto Swap Exchange
The mining hashrate is not fully indicative of the price movement of Bitcoin. There appears to be some FUD about Bitcoin when the hashrate decreased after halving, presumably also because of the movement of a bunch of coins which were untouched over the years.

In the long term, I highly doubt that the hashrate would influence price significantly, especially given the fact that a temporary interruption wouldn't affect security at any level. The electrical interruption might be a factor in the decrease of hashrate but IMO, the halving was responsible for the bulk of the decrease in hashrate.
hero member
Activity: 2814
Merit: 553
Several sources has reported about China's electric issues, specifically in the province of Sichuan. The country has been experiencing prolonged dry season causing the lack of hydroelectricity, thus crippling the miners activity in that area.
“Some mines have got power cut for over three days, and some are only allowed to mine during the night,” explains a mining farm owner who operates in Sichuan.
 Source : https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-hashrate-slides-33-since-halving-difficulty-drops-issues-in-sichuan-china/

It was also reported that Sichuan has been contributing not more than 10% of China's Bitcoin hash power.
 Source : https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.financemagnates.com/cryptocurrency/news/local-chinese-authority-seeks-to-curb-bitcoin-mining/amp/

Obviously, Sichuan eletrical issues has been one of the reason why the hash rate drops 33% EH/s, together with some miners who temporarily suspend their activities due to the halving difficulty adjustments.
So, it has been over 3 days now since the electric interruption occured in Sichuan, fits perfectly with how Bitcoin price moved from the past 3 days.
https://m.imgur.com/a/5WEtZ7V

Now, my question is, does the Sichuan electric issue causes Bitcoin to pull back from almost hitting the $10,000 level?
I'd be happy to read all your comments about this.

Edit (As I found a more interesting topic to be discussed) :

What's the correlation between mining hash rate and Bitcoin price?
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