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Topic: China is not participating in this "Dead Cat Bounce" (Read 4151 times)

legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1029
Sine secretum non libertas
The most obvious explanation for all of these observations is that arbitrageurs are beginning to be more effective.  As time has progressed, the monetary bandwidth between the exchanges has increased, and markets are converging.  Consolidated views of the markets are, therefore, increasingly important to traders.
hero member
Activity: 496
Merit: 500
Spanish Bitcoin trader
While slower, volume in China seems healthier, which gives me some comfort because the volume in USD exchanges seems quite lower than a week ago.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Volume in China is still (as of now) higher than elsewhere. For what that is worth.

Non-Chinese exchanges had a bounce from the 400's. China is only up slightly from its low.

True however China's price in USD equivelent is still higher than any USD exchange (4200 CNY is ~$690 USD). 

What is interesting is the spread between exchanges has narrowed.
From the bottom China rose the least and Bitstamp rose the most.  The gap between all three exchanges is now smaller than at the peak.
Not sure what that means (if anything) but I thought it interesting.

Thanks for the input. You are correct.

Looks like the people of the Chin Dynasty are running up the price again. I am guessing we see an all-time high before midnight tonight Beijing time. It's now 4:22pm Beijing time.

all time Yuan or USD high or both?

Sorry for not elaborating. I was referring to USD.

Gox went up to 890 which is just 10 short of the ATH of 900.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
BTCE and Bitstamp reached their high yesterday while China was barely above 5000cny.

Not Btc-e. Only Bitstamp. And Mt.Gox is close today.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Small Red and Bad
Volume in China is still (as of now) higher than elsewhere. For what that is worth.

Non-Chinese exchanges had a bounce from the 400's. China is only up slightly from its low.

True however China's price in USD equivelent is still higher than any USD exchange (4200 CNY is ~$690 USD).  

What is interesting is the spread between exchanges has narrowed.
From the bottom China rose the least and Bitstamp rose the most.  The gap between all three exchanges is now smaller than at the peak.
Not sure what that means (if anything) but I thought it interesting.

Thanks for the input. You are correct.

Looks like the people of the Chin Dynasty are running up the price again. I am guessing we see an all-time high before midnight tonight Beijing time. It's now 4:22pm Beijing time.

all time Yuan or USD high or both?

The USD markets are driving it or I'm watching different charts. BTCE and Bitstamp reached their high yesterday while China was barely above 5000cny.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1008
Volume in China is still (as of now) higher than elsewhere. For what that is worth.

Non-Chinese exchanges had a bounce from the 400's. China is only up slightly from its low.

True however China's price in USD equivelent is still higher than any USD exchange (4200 CNY is ~$690 USD). 

What is interesting is the spread between exchanges has narrowed.
From the bottom China rose the least and Bitstamp rose the most.  The gap between all three exchanges is now smaller than at the peak.
Not sure what that means (if anything) but I thought it interesting.

Thanks for the input. You are correct.

Looks like the people of the Chin Dynasty are running up the price again. I am guessing we see an all-time high before midnight tonight Beijing time. It's now 4:22pm Beijing time.

all time Yuan or USD high or both?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Volume in China is still (as of now) higher than elsewhere. For what that is worth.

Non-Chinese exchanges had a bounce from the 400's. China is only up slightly from its low.

True however China's price in USD equivelent is still higher than any USD exchange (4200 CNY is ~$690 USD). 

What is interesting is the spread between exchanges has narrowed.
From the bottom China rose the least and Bitstamp rose the most.  The gap between all three exchanges is now smaller than at the peak.
Not sure what that means (if anything) but I thought it interesting.

Thanks for the input. You are correct.

Looks like the people of the Chin Dynasty are running up the price again. I am guessing we see an all-time high before midnight tonight Beijing time. It's now 4:22pm Beijing time.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
I thing the title should change soon to "China is not participating in this double top"
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
Because in China , cats don't bounce.

In China, cats get boiled alive and then eaten.
sr. member
Activity: 277
Merit: 253
lamest crash ever...
hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
in defi we trust
Because in China , cats don't bounce.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Small Red and Bad
Didn't the bounce happen already? Few hours after the initial fall the price bounced back to around 650$ and fell down again to ~400$. The price is slowly going up for 2 days now - imo it's not going to fall much further. There is going to be some back and forth as people gain their confidence in the current price and then we should pass 700 again. There will be a wall near the previous top as always, so it may take a few weeks until we get there but for now it's going up much faster than people predicted.
hero member
Activity: 952
Merit: 1000
I say the wildcard is newcomers that haven't been verified at the exchanges yet. People that read about the senate hearing in the news etc. We may well see a down trend, but I'd give it until sometime next week before really knowing. It takes some time to get verified after all.


This, plus it takes weeks before reading more about Bitcoin and be sure Bitcoin is realy worth.
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1003
it was short and sharp if that was the crash.  I would even just call it a correction
full member
Activity: 219
Merit: 106
So I'm wondering, why are we talking about peaks that didn't last as if it was the base price? A rise to 900 for a few hours before it drops to 600 which is higher than it was mere days before is not a "crash" to me, I look at it as a temporary anomaly on the way up a steady rise. Am I missing something here?

No, you are dead on.
All the other crashes took days/weeks to play out fully so we're not outta the woods yet...
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
So I'm wondering, why are we talking about peaks that didn't last as if it was the base price? A rise to 900 for a few hours before it drops to 600 which is higher than it was mere days before is not a "crash" to me, I look at it as a temporary anomaly on the way up a steady rise. Am I missing something here?

No, you are dead on.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
So I'm wondering, why are we talking about peaks that didn't last as if it was the base price? A rise to 900 for a few hours before it drops to 600 which is higher than it was mere days before is not a "crash" to me, I look at it as a temporary anomaly on the way up a steady rise. Am I missing something here?
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
I say the wildcard is newcomers that haven't been verified at the exchanges yet. People that read about the senate hearing in the news etc. We may well see a down trend, but I'd give it until sometime next week before really knowing. It takes some time to get verified after all.
full member
Activity: 183
Merit: 100
死猫反弹, said the wise old man from the Far East.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
So everyone here is absolutely sure that it's a dead cat bounce?  Cry

It does NOT look like a dead cat bounce to me. Sure, we will struggle up for a while, but the bid depth is incredible, and China hasn't even awoken yet. Gox is only $60 to reaching some resistance levels that IF it breaks, confirms NO DEAD CAT BOUNCE.
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