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Topic: Collapse or dollar= collapse of Rome= armagedon, but WHY!? - page 2. (Read 6004 times)

sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Armstrong thinks we can reform politics.

Based upon your links to him, I subscribed to Armstrong's blog.  After reading his (numerous) posts for three days, I agree with your assessment.  Armstrong is a worshiper of the Great Father Guv.  He thinks the Father is currently abusive and misguided, but ultimately good.

What is your opinion of Armstrong's computer model?  I'm fascinated by esoteric numbers and the work of Randall Carlson.
legendary
Activity: 2884
Merit: 1115
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Well it would create a fiat and bank run on the USD to other currencies
However there is a basket of available currencies to run towards or resources heck even Bitcoin
So what will happen is that the USA will lose a fair bit of its reserve currency status and cause a case of contagion
That may be contained but not without doing some serious damage to jobs and industries
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
US needs to go away gracefully rather than pissing everyone off and then still implode from within.


Don't make us "bring democracy" to your country!


Seriously though, don't blame all of us for our governments misguided policies. There are a lot of Americans that do not support the endless wars and economic imperialism.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
As if technology ever could exist beyond a collectivist society!

I create programs individually. There is no collectivism required.

This is the Knowledge Age revolution. People will create and distribute digitally without any collectivism involved in their efforts.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1004
Those who are expecting dollar collapse and hyperinflation are clueless about history. Never in the history of the world, not even in Rome, has the global reserve currency collapsed. It doesn't happen. Only revolutionary governments which can't sell their own bonds collapse into hyperinflation.

Rather what is happening now is the "borrower is slave to lender". The USA is taking control of the globe now and the dollar will become very strong. They will track down all wealth globally and confiscate it. All the pawns of the USA (Europe, Japan, etc) and the fake antagonists (Russia, China) are on board this plan to share information to track down "tax evasion" which is a code word for Totalitarianism.

Again find the link in my prior post and read that entire Mad Max thread so you can re-educate yourselves.

Civilizations (problem solving societies) collapse because of the diminishing return on additional investment in additional complexity. Tainter's Law.

http://www.jayhanson.org/page134.htm

No they collapse because of socialism and collectivism when the private sector shrinks to for example 25% of GDP (and govt+regulation compliance is 75% of GDP as is the case in the USA and Europe now), which is an orthogonal property to knowledge formation. Here are a few examples of the cancer upon us now:

http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/05/21/unions-out-of-control-the-real-poison-pill/
http://armstrongeconomics.com/2014/05/21/how-bureaucrats-undermine-everything/

Don't conflate the perils of collectivism with the beauty of technological advance.

We already had this discussion in two other threads already and I am not going to debate you again, as I already shown the idiotic illogic of your conflation of the two:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6513193

Armstrong and you know really nothing about anthropology and civilization, when I compare it with Tainter.
As if technology ever could exist beyond a collectivist society! Collectivist society is a tautology.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
Let's work and hope for the exponential rate of change with a technological frontier and the bastards fading gracefully away in diapers. Wink  Cool
full member
Activity: 218
Merit: 101
US needs to go away gracefully rather than pissing everyone off and then still implode from within.
legendary
Activity: 2926
Merit: 1386
.....
Armstrong thinks we can reform politics. I am saying politics always ends up in Totalitarianism. The only thing that has saved mankind every time is a frontier. Before it was geographical escape (e.g. birth of the U.S.A.) and cash (e.g. gold), but now those frontiers are being closed. So we only have crypto-currency (and internet businesses perhaps even anonymously, e.g. programming work,  to escape Totalitarianism) remaining as a frontier.
Bump.

Although the frontiers appear to be appearing more and more rapidly, exponential rates of change of course.
legendary
Activity: 2926
Merit: 1386
The economy nowadays is more global than ever.
....
The world will have to rely on barter for a short while and will quickly turn to what it knew worked in the past, which is gold and silver.



Store food and water.. they will be worth their weight in silver.
I have a deal for you.

I will sell food and water now for 1/10 their weight in silver.

You can make ten times your investment when the collapse comes!

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
I have no idea why Anonymint quoted me because he didn't adress anything of what I said.

I didn't quote you, but I did address what you wrote:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6886606


Quote
The current China/Russia mess will definitely affect a lot of things in the US. The decline of the dollar just sped up dramatically. We will see it at the gas pump first

Yeah definately.

Relative to other fiat currencies, the dollar will get stronger over the next several years. For example, China's latest bond auction failed. The rest of the world will collapse sending capital flowing into the dollar. The USA still has the most powerful military (they are suckering Putin into taking on conflicts that will bankrupt Russia, it wasn't a lack of military capability rather he was intentionally forced him into Ukraine by toppling his government in Ukraine).

Yeah must have gotten that quoting wrong, sorry mate.


But you are missing my point. What you're describing has already happened but sure its ofcourse still happening but there is much now that points to this being changed perhaps this year. The QE3 is supposedly over 100 billion a month yet nobody knows because the FED is private, that's there to push down the price of the dollar. Ofcourse the other fiat currencies of the world will fall first, but after they've collapsed only the dollar will be left. The rest of the world had this couch called the dollar to fall back on, so to say, the USA won't have anything, their fall will go to rock bottom... sucks for the americans that don't know about bitcoin, because that won't save many people. I think this USD-e will go not to the moon but to another galaxy. Imagine the millions of patriots learning about Bitcoin. "Hmm, what to choose.. something american or something thats not". Anyway, drifting off topic, ill take some time later to read threw the mad max post..
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: Weary of irrational biases
From:    AnonyMint
Date:    Thu, May 22, 2014 11:53 pm
To:      "Armstrong Economics" <[email protected]>

I don't understand your posts.

What, specifically, is your disagreement with Armstrong?

Go to the end of the Dark Enlightenment and Max Max threads in the Politics & Society forum for more history on my debate with him. Also the thread on designing a perfect society.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6567660

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6889554

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6496672


Armstrong thinks we can reform politics. I am saying politics always ends up in Totalitarianism. The only thing that has saved mankind every time is a frontier. Before it was geographical escape (e.g. birth of the U.S.A.) and cash (e.g. gold), but now those frontiers are being closed. So we only have crypto-currency (and internet businesses perhaps even anonymously, e.g. programming work,  to escape Totalitarianism) remaining as a frontier.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
Maybe somebody will argue the "what if we lose electricity and Internet?" argument. If the world slips that far down, gold won't be valuable either. That's when we value food, water, medicine, and guns.

Gold fills the void between functioning society and Mad max. In the former crypto-currency is money, and in the latter only food is money. Gold is money in between the two in times of crisis.

Once we have more individual market makers trading bullion for crypto-currency on decentralized exchanges, then bullion will regain is transportability by wire via crypto-currency. The two are synergistic.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 521
I have no idea why Anonymint quoted me because he didn't adress anything of what I said.

I didn't quote you, but I did address what you wrote:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6886606


Quote
The current China/Russia mess will definitely affect a lot of things in the US. The decline of the dollar just sped up dramatically. We will see it at the gas pump first

Yeah definately.

Relative to other fiat currencies, the dollar will get stronger over the next several years. For example, China's latest bond auction failed. The rest of the world will collapse sending capital flowing into the dollar. The USA still has the most powerful military (they are suckering Putin into taking on conflicts that will bankrupt Russia, it wasn't a lack of military capability rather he was intentionally forced him into Ukraine by toppling his government in Ukraine).
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
Survival skills will be paramount as well if things go down hill fast. I always joke that if it does happen I am going to go stay with my hillbilly relatives who can hunt and cook just about anything that moves.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1001
mining is so 2012-2013
I really think if there is a major crisis that bitcoin stands a better chance than gold. Gold was traditionally valuable because it was #1 pretty, #2 scarce, #3 non perishable.

Bitcoin has the second and third qualities. I'd argue it has the first too. It's beauty is in it's math and decentralization. It is a beautiful idea. Everyone on this forum is very likely here because they are attracted to its beauty.

Maybe somebody will argue the "what if we lose electricity and Internet?" argument. If the world slips that far down, gold won't be valuable either. That's when we value food, water, medicine, and guns.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1001
mining is so 2012-2013
One year supply of food would be worth more than a bag full of gold if something bad really did happen. A bag full of medicine would be worth all the food a person had. And I still think a couple barrels of gasoline would still be worth more than a bar of gold. The problems with food, medicine, and gasoline is they are are somewhat perishable. Gold isn't. But I really think the culture trend to value gold came out of a different age and culture. Back then gold wasn't competing with a couple of barrels of gasoline, a years worth of MREs, or a bag full of penicillin, morphine, and Tylenol. Had those things existed back then, I think the narrative surrounding gold today would be different. Always looking towards the past can help definitely understand the future, until it doesn't.  The reason why the future is different is because some key factors have changed.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
Quote
You cannot easily trade physical gold/silver...obvious right?  There has to be something else...something controlled, something scarce, something people agree is valuable...oh wait   Cool Cool Cool

Yeah what could that be  Grin BTC will skyrocket multiple times for so many reasons its redicilous.

@Jabo: Yes, gold/silver is not valuable for usage. But compared to internet and electricity it's rather good as a store of value. And most people actually value being able to store value Wink


But yeah, i'd store food for at least 1 year(if I had a house) before i'd buy gold.
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
I have no idea why Anonymint quoted me because he didn't adress anything of what I said.


Quote
The current China/Russia mess will definitely affect a lot of things in the US. The decline of the dollar just sped up dramatically. We will see it at the gas pump first

Yeah definately. I just read a news article in one of the most read swedish newspapers that the oil price will rise. They claimed it was because of summer and that it always does because of higher demand. Yet I got the feeling they hinted on it being more than the regular.

I would guess this is why they are in Nigeria now aswell. Africom just deployed some 3000 troops in there this week I think. Actually it seems like the whole of africa and not only nigeria. Nigeria is nr 2 economy in AFrica btw, after South Africa(which is the S in bricS).

The pawns are being pushed out to the front at all sides, interesting times.
full member
Activity: 315
Merit: 103
I have been reading about the collapse of dollar for several months and know that the issue is a years or even dozen of years old topic. I dont think i fully understand it but im quite leaning on the side that the collapse will happen, but even if i have a hard time believing the total apocalypse some of the people are portaing it to be... (like "the biggest event in human history" (this is the stupidest phrase i have heard so far).

Can someone concretely eplain to others WHY should the collapse of dollar mean a depression bigger then the one in 1930?

Simple quick points, because i dont see it...?


High dependency on oil and foreign good is the reason why people should worry.

Katrina disaster is a good model to see what will happen when shtf.
sr. member
Activity: 249
Merit: 250
The economy nowadays is more global than ever.

The dollar is the major currency used worldwide in trade, even if for example France wants to buy something from Japan, they will not use Euros nor Yen, they'll use dollars.

If when the dollar collapses, the whole world will feel the pain.

Also, many banks and governments have huge amounts of dollars or dollar-denominated bonds and security and other financial assets that are directly tied to the dollar. And not to mention when the dollar collapses, wall street will too. 

Also, the USA is by far the biggest importer of pretty much everything, but all they really export is dollars. In other words they are pretty much pumping (worthless) dollars in the world economy while they buy all the goods. When the dollar loses it's value (and it will as many countries are finally seeing the scam for what it is), most industries will not be able to sell their products anymore, since the USA will not be able to afford it anymore, which will trigger a domino-effect much bigger than the housing bubble (which also started in the USA and had a big influence on the whole world).

The world will have to rely on barter for a short while and will quickly turn to what it knew worked in the past, which is gold and silver.



I agree except for your last sentence. It is when something the human race never had before, technology, comes in and saves the day.

It is clear why traditional gold and silver were valuable going back for thousands of years, but I am not sure if there will be a run on it again.  It just isn't that useful in my daily life.  Yes, it is scarce, and it is pretty, and it has a few industrial resources, but aside from that, I don't really need to have gold or silver laying around my house, and even if I did, I wouldn't use them often.  To me, what is valuable is electricity, internet, food, water.  And something else is very important.  That is oil.  To me, oil is far more important to the economy than gold.  I can put gas in my car and use it to drive to work.  What will I do if I have a gold bar at my house?  Hope somebody will buy it from me?  I think we live in a new age.  During the dark ages in Europe, it was pretty cool to have some gold.  Today, it is pretty cool to have some electricity, oil, and 4g.  A different age, and people will value different things. 

You cannot easily trade physical gold/silver...obvious right?  There has to be something else...something controlled, something scarce, something people agree is valuable...oh wait   Cool Cool Cool
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