Haha I love it when bitcoiners quantify things like this. Please explain how someone has a 30% chance of making 10x their investment.
+1
I pulled the numbers out of my ass, but the principle still stands. Bitcoin has less than a 50/50 chance of reaching critical mass, but if it does, the return on investment will substantially more than double.
50% chance you say? That's like saying winning or losing a game is always equally probable, just because there are two possible outcomes.
Calling to reference expected value and poker play here is even dumber. Who's the say that the odds aren't <1% that we'll gain a 10% gain on our investment?
I invested some money in Bitcoin myself, but I'm just saying assigning expected values to such things isn't appropriate.
LESS THAN 50%. that's anywhere from 0.00000001% to 49.99999999%. A wide margin. It's not my fault you suck at reading comprehension.