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Topic: Consensus Bitcoin Price Predictions (Read 1823 times)

member
Activity: 532
Merit: 15
January 23, 2019, 06:29:40 AM
#27
will they take a part in the loss if their prediction is wrong?
member
Activity: 190
Merit: 15
Customer Support at https://coinswitch.co/
January 22, 2019, 05:40:29 AM
#26
As the market is experiencing volatile conditions, we should back up the prediction with the market experts, who have been the mind and heart of the cryptocurrency market.Ronnie Moas, a cryptocurrency analyst predicted that BTC might reach $28,000 by 2019. He believes the demand for BTC would increase with its decreasing supply. He made it somewhat clear that by 2019, the adoption rate would increase and hence people would demand more of it. We must remember that BTC is not unlimited in supply.
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1660
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
July 08, 2015, 06:42:16 PM
#25
Halfway through (Jan 08 - July 08). Who's hedging their bets?

I'm, like, sticking to mine. Because we just don't know, now, do we?
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
January 12, 2015, 10:08:38 AM
#24
Update: consensus predictions are rising if you check that link in OP
legendary
Activity: 3038
Merit: 1660
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
January 09, 2015, 06:36:40 PM
#23
My SWAG for 2015:

- high of $7669.69
- trough after that of $669.00

End of year? somewhere between.

Yes, you have my permission to point and laugh. But not until the year is up.
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
January 09, 2015, 01:49:28 PM
#22
No general consensus, only the two parties in the last trade did consent. Edit: Actually, the buyer valued the bitcoins higher than the last price, and the seller valued it lower.

Some of the supply and demand curves you can see in the order books on the bourses. The rest of the aggregated demand and supply is in the heads of the market actors, which are all of humanity.

This is general market dynamics, everybody should learn to understand the market.

Currently, people discovering bitcoin and valuate it at a higher price than the last trade, are important for us.
You're the 3rd person to post a generic statement about how the market price is already a consensus, without actually reading the thread or looking at the link. This is about predicting the future price, that's what the link in the OP is for. I just changed the thread title to make it more clear, my mistake if it confusing.

Ok (except I disagree about the consensus). Still, you could say that there is a market for the price in one year in the future minus the current interest rate for that future year interval, and that market is expressed by last price and the order book and the unexpressed valuation vectors (volume@price) that exists in the heads of the actors. A generalization too. If you just want a number, I would say 20x current price in one year. Obvously there is no consensus, what what we can say is that if someone expects a price lower than now, it would not be rational for that person to own bitcoins now.
An app is not helpful.

It's not necessarily limited to people who own and/or trade bitcoin. You can have an overall consensus including anyone who has a prediction, which would serve more as a general sentiment and less of a technical indicator. Just a different sort of measure, it's not about being right or wrong.
newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
January 09, 2015, 01:39:24 PM
#21


For many people, the price of Bitcoin is really important. I believe the main focus should be on the fact that Bitcoin continues to become a mainstream player and method of payment. After all, there is plenty of money to be made with the trading of bitcoins, whether the price is high or not.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
January 09, 2015, 01:15:04 PM
#20
No general consensus, only the two parties in the last trade did consent. Edit: Actually, the buyer valued the bitcoins higher than the last price, and the seller valued it lower.

Some of the supply and demand curves you can see in the order books on the bourses. The rest of the aggregated demand and supply is in the heads of the market actors, which are all of humanity.

This is general market dynamics, everybody should learn to understand the market.

Currently, people discovering bitcoin and valuate it at a higher price than the last trade, are important for us.
You're the 3rd person to post a generic statement about how the market price is already a consensus, without actually reading the thread or looking at the link. This is about predicting the future price, that's what the link in the OP is for. I just changed the thread title to make it more clear, my mistake if it confusing.

Ok (except I disagree about the consensus). Still, you could say that there is a market for the price in one year in the future minus the current interest rate for that future year interval, and that market is expressed by last price and the order book and the unexpressed valuation vectors (volume@price) that exists in the heads of the actors. A generalization too. If you just want a number, I would say 20x current price in one year. Obvously there is no consensus, what what we can say is that if someone expects a price lower than now, it would not be rational for that person to own bitcoins now.
An app is not helpful.
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
January 09, 2015, 12:44:21 PM
#19
No general consensus, only the two parties in the last trade did consent. Edit: Actually, the buyer valued the bitcoins higher than the last price, and the seller valued it lower.

Some of the supply and demand curves you can see in the order books on the bourses. The rest of the aggregated demand and supply is in the heads of the market actors, which are all of humanity.

This is general market dynamics, everybody should learn to understand the market.

Currently, people discovering bitcoin and valuate it at a higher price than the last trade, are important for us.
You're the 3rd person to post a generic statement about how the market price is already a consensus, without actually reading the thread or looking at the link. This is about predicting the future price, that's what the link in the OP is for. I just changed the thread title to make it more clear, my mistake if it was confusing.
hero member
Activity: 1372
Merit: 783
better everyday ♥
January 09, 2015, 12:41:45 PM
#18
Consensus price for Bitcoin is roughly $0.00 USD:



You heard it here first, sometime in 2015.   Cry

Unless of course it rises to $1k.  Then I'll feel like a moron.  A happy moron, though.
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
January 09, 2015, 12:36:20 PM
#17
How does the app generate a consensus, by averaging all the prices users think it should be at?
It's what they think it will be at various times in the future
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1005
January 09, 2015, 09:03:44 AM
#16
No general consensus, only the two parties in the last trade did consent. Edit: Actually, the buyer valued the bitcoins higher than the last price, and the seller valued it lower.

Some of the supply and demand curves you can see in the order books on the bourses. The rest of the aggregated demand and supply is in the heads of the market actors, which are all of humanity.

This is general market dynamics, everybody should learn to understand the market.

Currently, people discovering bitcoin and valuate it at a higher price than the last trade, are important for us.
full member
Activity: 120
Merit: 100
January 09, 2015, 03:39:31 AM
#15
Hell, my guess (@ CES Las Vegas Jan 2014) for BTC price at the end of 2014 was $650
I either was hung over from too much clubbin or i needed a new crystal ball.
Hopefully this year we will see some steady social acceptance which will lead to a more stable steady price rise.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1001
January 09, 2015, 03:32:06 AM
#14
It should be around 350$ at this time, so it is very early.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Loose lips sink sigs!
January 09, 2015, 02:58:34 AM
#13
How does the app generate a consensus, by averaging all the prices users think it should be at?
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
January 08, 2015, 04:38:21 PM
#12
The current consensus is the current price, the market price.
I think everyone understands that. This thread has little to do with the current consensus
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Hodl!
January 08, 2015, 04:28:40 PM
#11
Although the gradient of a rally might count, if the market suddenly thinks it's worth $1000 next week, we're probably at 500 from 300 this morning.... ain't nobody going to pay 1000 right now, when they can get some for a bid of 500.1 this minute, though someone will be willing to pay 500.2 the next.

And so it goes.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
January 08, 2015, 04:22:47 PM
#10
The current consensus is the current price, the market price.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
January 08, 2015, 02:41:00 PM
#9
Sounds like early season bull shit to me Wink
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
https://youtu.be/PZm8TTLR2NU
January 08, 2015, 02:03:33 PM
#8
Better question: how long until we're measuring goods and services in bitcoin rather than measuring bitcoin in fiat value?
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