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Topic: Cost of buying 51% of BTC (for attack if bitcoin were to go PoS) (Read 1879 times)

legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1008
Core dev leaves me neg feedback #abuse #political
I don't know much about POS, but my understanding was that the problem is that you don't need to own ANY of the coins that currently exist at all.  You just need to own 50% of the coins that existed at some point in time in the past.

So, I could spend some of my unspent outputs, and then I could sell (or give) those useless (worthless) now spent outputs to someone else.  If they can manage to collect up >50% of the outputs that were unspent at that point in time (even if they've all been spent since then), then they can mount an attack.

Perhaps my understanding is flawed?  This is where I thought the biggest vulnerability was.

That is generally correct to my understanding as well.

Many POS security schemes limit how many blocks deep you can do a reorg, so the "at some point in the past" is limited to a somewhat recent past, but the issue still remains.

A person can keep buying coins and selling them, and trying to attack after selling them, so there is essential no cost to the attack, and as such has been dubbed the 'nothing at stake' issue.

The higher cost of a 51% attack by PoS is an enticing goal, but I don't think anyone has been able to show how to achieve that while addressing the other security concerns.

A hybrid PoW/PoS system also sounds like a good idea, but each such variation has it's own challenges and drawbacks. 

legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1007
Sooner or later, a man who wears two faces forgets
Definitely >1trillion, probably >10 trillion. Once they bought the first 5% of coins, everyone would know somebody was trying to get a 51% stake and would either refuse to sell or hold out for much higher price. Maybe they could try to do it slowly over time to keep people from noticing. Then the question becomes not how much would it cost but how long would it take. A year? 5 years?
Not that long
If some have 2 trillion
He could do it easily within a month
Buying off exchanges and places in different wallets
Using proxies and VPN's to cover up his shit!

legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1007
Sooner or later, a man who wears two faces forgets
If Bitcoin were to go the Proof of Stake option (using sidechains perhaps), one of the problem people have with the idea is that it will become much less secure because it would be very cheap to perform a 51% attack.

Some PoS coins boast that you need more than 51% of the coin to control/destroy the normal functioning of the network, but we'll just focus on 51% now.

How much would it cost to buy 51% of BTC (not including lost/unused/unallocated)


Please comment below.  

The reason it is 51% of "owned" coins is that in PoS only actively owned/used coins count, so lost/unused coins don't count... at present, i think there are about 10-12million BTC that are "used"... so the question is, how much to buy about 6million btc...although this figure may change if the purchase happens slowly, over a year or two. The cost estimate still stays valid/interesting

51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc

51% hashing power its very large bitcoin network is very large so need so manny bitcoins

this will rise bitcoins price if you bought

You realise that will cost 1.8 trillion USD to get 51% of the coin
And yes sure! if someone buys it and keeps it just for staking , that will increase it's price so much , becausethat will mean less circulation of coins and thus a big rise in price
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 501
If Bitcoin were to go the Proof of Stake option (using sidechains perhaps), one of the problem people have with the idea is that it will become much less secure because it would be very cheap to perform a 51% attack.

Some PoS coins boast that you need more than 51% of the coin to control/destroy the normal functioning of the network, but we'll just focus on 51% now.


Your question is based upon a false assumption that a 51% attack on a PoS coin requires one to purchase 51% of coins.

Certain variations of PoS have already been successfully attacked with only 5% stake - https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/cleanup-ill-attack-some-coins-i-owned-apexcoin-for-90-blocks-897493, and more sophisticated variants of PoS likely need around 25% stake. This stake doesn't need to be purchased either but could be temporarily leased, held by an early stakeholder, or come from a compromised large stakeholder. With PoW there are physical considerations and expenses that often need to be met before performing a 51% attack which raises the security of bitcoin.

This being said, I like TaPoS and would like it added as a PoW/TapoS sidechain or as a security layer within a wallet ontop of PoW for bitcoin. We should be considering ideas to make bitcoin more secure and not less secure just in the name of cutting down on an electric bill.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust

This video talks about the "old" bitcoin that is POW... this thread is on the "what if..." on a new bitcoin that were to become Proof of Stake

ah okay, i thought it was the same old story again  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 4794
I don't know much about POS, but my understanding was that the problem is that you don't need to own ANY of the coins that currently exist at all.  You just need to own 50% of the coins that existed at some point in time in the past.

So, I could spend some of my unspent outputs, and then I could sell (or give) those useless (worthless) now spent outputs to someone else.  If they can manage to collect up >50% of the outputs that were unspent at that point in time (even if they've all been spent since then), then they can mount an attack.

Perhaps my understanding is flawed?  This is where I thought the biggest vulnerability was.
legendary
Activity: 1778
Merit: 1043
#Free market
If bitcoin change to a PoS algorithm then it is not more "bitcoin" , because the real bitcoin is based to a PoW algorithm. However I think "> $1 trillion".
legendary
Activity: 4270
Merit: 4534
OP ill sell you my:
1st bitcoin for $250
2nd bitcoin for $255
3rd bitcoin for $260
....
.....
......
3000th bitcoin for $15000

if everyone else done the same .. well your thinking billions$ -> trillions$ just to get 7m coins


sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
The more you buy, the more expensive the coin will be. So it could cost you $10m*7m to buy up 51% of existing btc. However, if somebody owns 51% of btc, it could be worthless then.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
You have it wrong. You don't need 51% of the total coins to do the attack. You just need 51% of the total staking coins to do the attack(which is much lower than 51% of the total coins).

Thats why PoS is not as secure as PoW.
I did not realize this, thank you for telling me. Well then PoS seems even more vulnerable to me.
full member
Activity: 146
Merit: 100
In da Jungle!

This video talks about the "old" bitcoin that is POW... this thread is on the "what if..." on a new bitcoin that were to become Proof of Stake
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
If Bitcoin were to go the Proof of Stake option (using sidechains perhaps), one of the problem people have with the idea is that it will become much less secure because it would be very cheap to perform a 51% attack.

Some PoS coins boast that you need more than 51% of the coin to control/destroy the normal functioning of the network, but we'll just focus on 51% now.

How much would it cost to buy 51% of BTC (not including lost/unused/unallocated)


Please comment below.  

The reason it is 51% of "owned" coins is that in PoS only actively owned/used coins count, so lost/unused coins don't count... at present, i think there are about 10-12million BTC that are "used"... so the question is, how much to buy about 6million btc...although this figure may change if the purchase happens slowly, over a year or two. The cost estimate still stays valid/interesting

51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc

51% hashing power its very large bitcoin network is very large so need so manny bitcoins

this will rise bitcoins price if you bought
full member
Activity: 146
Merit: 100
In da Jungle!
A friend of mine suggested that the gov't (or some evil attacking entity) would ANNOUNCE their plans publicly to buy 51% of the POS Bitcoins

full member
Activity: 146
Merit: 100
In da Jungle!
I think you need at least $1 trillion to buy 51% of all bitcoin
I'm sure bitcoin price could rise up to $1 million if you do that Grin

But, bitcoin will fail if it going to PoS

I hope you voted <$5 billion in that case... since you think POS will kill bitcoin
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1007
Sooner or later, a man who wears two faces forgets
If Bitcoin were to go the Proof of Stake option (using sidechains perhaps), one of the problem people have with the idea is that it will become much less secure because it would be very cheap to perform a 51% attack.

Some PoS coins boast that you need more than 51% of the coin to control/destroy the normal functioning of the network, but we'll just focus on 51% now.

How much would it cost to buy 51% of BTC (not including lost/unused/unallocated)


Please comment below.  

The reason it is 51% of "owned" coins is that in PoS only actively owned/used coins count, so lost/unused coins don't count... at present, i think there are about 10-12million BTC that are "used"... so the question is, how much to buy about 6million btc...although this figure may change if the purchase happens slowly, over a year or two. The cost estimate still stays valid/interesting

51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc

the whole point is to consider this this if Bitcoin switched to Proof of Stake (POS)... so not about hashing power...but the number of units

my curiosity is what people think the cost of buying the coins would be if it was POS

Okay so even if you're considering it to go PoS , it is quite good but will need 51% of Staking hash
Though i would like to know this too , what could happen and how ?
full member
Activity: 146
Merit: 100
In da Jungle!
51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc
When a coin is POW, yes, but POS is different. POS is vulnerable to a 51% shareholder attack. Honestly I don't believe that this could be done. Good luck finding 7 million Bitcoin to buy.

You have it wrong. You don't need 51% of the total coins to do the attack. You just need 51% of the total staking coins to do the attack(which is much lower than 51% of the total coins).

Thats why PoS is not as secure as PoW.

That's a good point.. though that seems to be alleviated by things like "balance leasing" 

Quote
"it is possible to loan forging power from one account to another without giving up control of the tokens associated with the account. Using a transaction of the account control type, an account owner may temporarily reduce an accounts effective balance to zero, adding it to the effective balance of another account. The targeted accounts forging power is increased until the end of a time period specified by the original account owner, after which the effective balance is returned to the original account."
https://wiki.nxtcrypto.org/wiki/Whitepaper:Nxt#Balance_leasing
full member
Activity: 146
Merit: 100
In da Jungle!
If Bitcoin were to go the Proof of Stake option (using sidechains perhaps), one of the problem people have with the idea is that it will become much less secure because it would be very cheap to perform a 51% attack.

Some PoS coins boast that you need more than 51% of the coin to control/destroy the normal functioning of the network, but we'll just focus on 51% now.

How much would it cost to buy 51% of BTC (not including lost/unused/unallocated)


Please comment below.  

The reason it is 51% of "owned" coins is that in PoS only actively owned/used coins count, so lost/unused coins don't count... at present, i think there are about 10-12million BTC that are "used"... so the question is, how much to buy about 6million btc...although this figure may change if the purchase happens slowly, over a year or two. The cost estimate still stays valid/interesting

51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc

the whole point is to consider this this if Bitcoin switched to Proof of Stake (POS)... so not about hashing power...but the number of units

my curiosity is what people think the cost of buying the coins would be if it was POS
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc
When a coin is POW, yes, but POS is different. POS is vulnerable to a 51% shareholder attack. Honestly I don't believe that this could be done. Good luck finding 7 million Bitcoin to buy.

You have it wrong. You don't need 51% of the total coins to do the attack. You just need 51% of the total staking coins to do the attack(which is much lower than 51% of the total coins).

Thats why PoS is not as secure as PoW.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2965
Terminated.
51% attack means To own the 51% of hashing power over all not 51% of btc
When a coin is POW, yes, but POS is different. POS is vulnerable to a 51% shareholder attack. Honestly I don't believe that this could be done. Good luck finding 7 million Bitcoin to buy.
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