...
Americans should start wearing masks NOW or have 1M+ deaths by November, 2020, and 50M+ deaths by November 2021.
In the absence of a reliable vaccine, only a change in human behaviour (wearing PPE, social distancing) can stop the spread of this virus.
50+? Wow, that's way more than the 1918 Spanish Flu, 50-100M deaths for the entire world.
You seriously believe that number?
If nothing is done, by November we will get
July 17, 2020 3,763,977.00 0.04
July 18, 2020 3,914,536.08 0.04
July 19, 2020 4,071,117.52 0.04
July 20, 2020 4,233,962.22 0.04
July 21, 2020 4,403,320.71 0.04
July 22, 2020 4,579,453.54 0.04
July 23, 2020 4,762,631.68 0.04
July 24, 2020 4,953,136.95 0.04
July 25, 2020 5,151,262.43 0.04
July 26, 2020 5,357,312.93 0.04
July 27, 2020 5,571,605.44 0.04
July 28, 2020 5,794,469.66 0.04
July 29, 2020 6,026,248.45 0.04
July 30, 2020 6,267,298.38 0.04
July 31, 2020 6,517,990.32 0.04
August 1, 2020 6,778,709.93 0.04
August 2, 2020 7,049,858.33 0.04
August 3, 2020 7,331,852.66 0.04
August 4, 2020 7,625,126.77 0.04
August 5, 2020 7,930,131.84 0.04
August 6, 2020 8,247,337.11 0.04
August 7, 2020 8,577,230.60 0.04
August 8, 2020 8,920,319.82 0.04
August 9, 2020 9,277,132.62 0.04
August 10, 2020 9,648,217.92 0.04
August 11, 2020 10,034,146.64 0.04
August 12, 2020 10,435,512.50 0.04
August 13, 2020 10,852,933.00 0.04
August 14, 2020 11,287,050.32 0.04
August 15, 2020 11,738,532.34 0.04
August 16, 2020 12,208,073.63 0.04
August 17, 2020 12,696,396.57 0.04
August 18, 2020 13,204,252.44 0.04
August 19, 2020 13,732,422.54 0.04
August 20, 2020 14,281,719.44 0.04
August 21, 2020 14,852,988.21 0.04
August 22, 2020 15,447,107.74 0.04
August 23, 2020 16,064,992.05 0.04
August 24, 2020 16,707,591.73 0.04
August 25, 2020 17,375,895.40 0.04
August 26, 2020 18,070,931.22 0.04
August 27, 2020 18,793,768.47 0.04
August 28, 2020 19,545,519.21 0.04
August 29, 2020 20,327,339.98 0.04
August 30, 2020 21,140,433.57 0.04
August 31, 2020 21,986,050.92 0.04
September 1, 2020 22,865,492.95 0.04
September 2, 2020 23,780,112.67 0.04
September 3, 2020 24,731,317.18 0.04
September 4, 2020 25,720,569.87 0.04
September 5, 2020 26,749,392.66 0.04
September 6, 2020 27,819,368.37 0.04
September 7, 2020 28,932,143.10 0.04
September 8, 2020 30,089,428.83 0.04
September 9, 2020 31,293,005.98 0.04
September 10, 2020 32,544,726.22 0.04
September 11, 2020 33,846,515.27 0.04
September 12, 2020 35,200,375.88 0.04
September 13, 2020 36,608,390.91 0.04
September 14, 2020 38,072,726.55 0.04
September 15, 2020 39,595,635.61 0.04
September 16, 2020 41,179,461.04 0.04
September 17, 2020 42,826,639.48 0.04
September 18, 2020 44,539,705.06 0.04
September 19, 2020 46,321,293.26 0.04
September 20, 2020 48,174,144.99 0.04
September 21, 2020 50,101,110.79 0.04
September 22, 2020 52,105,155.22 0.04
September 23, 2020 54,189,361.43 0.04
September 24, 2020 56,356,935.89 0.04
September 25, 2020 58,611,213.32 0.04
September 26, 2020 60,955,661.86 0.04
September 27, 2020 63,393,888.33 0.04
September 28, 2020 65,929,643.86 0.04
September 29, 2020 68,566,829.62 0.04
September 30, 2020 71,309,502.80 0.04
October 1, 2020 74,161,882.91 0.04
October 2, 2020 77,128,358.23 0.04
October 3, 2020 80,213,492.56 0.04
October 4, 2020 83,422,032.26 0.04
October 5, 2020 86,758,913.55 0.04
October 6, 2020 90,229,270.10 0.04
October 7, 2020 93,838,440.90 0.04
October 8, 2020 97,591,978.54 0.04
October 9, 2020 101,495,657.68 0.04
October 10, 2020 105,555,483.98 0.04
October 11, 2020 109,777,703.34 0.04
October 12, 2020 114,168,811.48 0.04
October 13, 2020 118,735,563.94 0.04
October 14, 2020 123,484,986.49 0.04
October 15, 2020 128,424,385.95 0.04
October 16, 2020 133,561,361.39 0.04
October 17, 2020 138,903,815.85 0.04
October 18, 2020 144,459,968.48 0.04
October 19, 2020 150,238,367.22 0.04
October 20, 2020 156,247,901.91 0.04
October 21, 2020 162,497,817.99 0.04
October 22, 2020 168,997,730.71 0.04
October 23, 2020 175,757,639.93 0.04
October 24, 2020 182,787,945.53 0.04
October 25, 2020 190,099,463.35 0.04
October 26, 2020 197,703,441.89 0.04
October 27, 2020 205,611,579.56 0.04
October 28, 2020 213,836,042.74 0.04
October 29, 2020 222,389,484.45 0.04
October 30, 2020 231,285,063.83 0.04
October 31, 2020 240,536,466.38 0.04
November 1, 2020 250,157,925.04 0.04
November 2, 2020 260,164,242.04 0.04
November 3, 2020 270,570,811.72 0.04
November 4, 2020 281,393,644.19 0.04
November 5, 2020 292,649,389.96 0.04
November 6, 2020 304,355,365.56 0.04
November 7, 2020 316,529,580.18 0.04
November 8, 2020 329,190,763.39 0.04
and almost everyone will be infected for the first time by November assuming 4% infection rate (it might be quite higher and non-linear, once schools open without any restrictions).
The mortality of second infections will be much higher as internal organs would already be permanently damaged by first infections.
I am assuming it will be around 50% for the people who get second infections. As we approach the herd immunity, the virus might mutate further as it will be harder for it to survive, so all bets are off.
People do not quite understand the gravity of the situation.