Topic: Curiosity made me ask. (Read 703 times)

For those who do have that experience towards this market or have been through couple of market cycles then they are really that able to make those assumptions that it will really be having on the same pattern or movement but just like on what you've said that when it comes to assurance then this isn't something that would be give guarantee and thats why it's really that important that you should make yourself that go with the flow because no one knows on what things lies ahead. So it would really be up to you on how you do handle yourself on different market situation because theres no guarantee that every cycle would really be just that the same. It's important that whenever bear market hits then you do really know on how to take action specially on accumulating while everything is still cheap. On the time or moment that market starts to pump then you could maximize that profits on which this has been our main target since from the start.

If ever that bull run won't happen this current cycle then it will really be making the whole community be disappointed because pretty sure that everyone had been anticipating the upcoming bull run. Pretty sure that lots of investors had prepared for this one and secured out their bags and filled up with those coins/tokens on which they do believe that it will fly this bull run on which specially Bitcoin and other top altcoins and some underrated or hidden gems that we do have.

None. I would love to if it happens this time.
Kidding aside, I guess we all know that ever since it got created and it's price went up, the 4-year cycle has been constantly happening.

A year where all the coins are pumping up and then after that, another year where everything goes down, and another 2 years of accumulation phase. This is what a 4-year cycle's about, and I know most here made some profits following the cycle alone, but what if... what if it doesn't happen this time? What if the anticipated bull run that next year that many are waiting (including me) didn't happen? I mean the crypto market as we see is unpredictable. After all, the sentiments of the investors is a big factor towards the price of Bitcoin.

In 2021, Bitcoin broke the previous record and crossed the highest price, which was $69,000. The following year i.e. 2022 we saw the collapse of the Bitcoin price, ending the entire year with only $17,000. And the following year Bitcoin started to increase its value again which was (December 13) 43 thousand 606 dollars. We also saw Bitcoin break its all-time high of 73.6 thousand in March this year.
I think there will be a bull run and a bear market, so we have to wait for the bear season and participate in the bull run competition. I think Bitcoin may hit $75k by the end of this year.
Bitcoin's various ups and downs suggest the digital currency is on track to hit a record high in 2025.

I haven't seen the bull run in a while but read the history of Bitcoin.  It's a four-year cycle of repeating the same thing over and over again, with the bull run starting in 2021. But again this year the bull run starts in 2025, but before the year 2025 is established, the price of Bitcoin has set an all-time high. Because in 2021, the price of Bitcoin was 69 thousand dollars, but in 2024, the price of Bitcoin touched 73.6 K, breaking the previous record. 
But in the bull market of 2025 we will see the highest Bitcoin price will touch, and I have not been disappointed so far and I will not be because of the past history of Bitcoin price I am confident that Bitcoin price will definitely increase.

Hi Og, can you be generous enough to tell me when you will sell? Little above 80k, or a little close to $100k. Could be somewhere $150k or $170k.

Ok, that uncertainty factor. Yea, it will fail one day or it might not fail. Maybe the effect of it might not be strong and it will gradually deminish

It's just that we think that many are waiting for exactly what you say, but of course now we realize that the market does the opposite of what the masses expect, and many expect that in 2025 this movement will happen and it is as you say, the 4-year cycle is already very close and that makes things more interesting, and I think that all or much of the vast majority are buying because they know or believe that BTC will rise much more than $ 100k and yes, if this movement occurs it is likely that BTC can position itself among the best for 2025, it will be a great boom, I hope that scenario occurs.

In fact Bitcoin hit ATH at the end of 2017 or months after the halving, more precisely within 17 months since the halving in July 2016. Currently, we have only passed 6 months since the halving in April 2024, so there is still a lot of drama to look forward to on the way. Bitcoin is heading towards its peak price. Based on past habits, we still have 11 months on the calendar to expect bitcoin's next major bullish ATH, but we could still be wrong about that.

I'll wait 17 to 19 months after the halving to see the biggest bitcoin ATH in history, but I'm not getting my hopes up for something that's not certain to come true, it's just part of my way of avoiding disappointment. If history repeats itself, we will probably have bitcoin worth more than $100k next year. But after that, we can see the same downward trend scheme between 2026 and 2027.

Well I remember that in 2018-2019 many were expecting BTC to jump to $50k and that was something that many were eagerly awaiting, that's why many bought at almost $20k and it seemed like a long time to wait for it to go up and so it then jumped to $12k then to $10k and at its lowest point it almost reached $2k, I remember it very clearly because at that time I was reading a lot of books about the market to try to understand how the market can be interpreted, so for me that is the time that price was presented and it seemed to me that many were expecting that jump, which did not come at that time.

Bitcoin circles have not changed as far as I know, and as it is now, beyond this short term price fluctuations that we're experiencing now, we're still looking forward to the peak of bull run where we'll see ATH. This would be my first circle experience and from my research as someone who's still quite new in cryptocurrency, bull run doesn't start immediately after halving, so there's no cause for worry whether we'll see it this time or not, it's just a matter of time and the bull circle will complete. I think that many newbies got excited when they saw ATH before halving, something that has not happened in previous circles, and they thought that price will continue to increase after it. So people that will be skeptical about Bitcoin circles are those that don't understand how it works and are perhaps too lazy to make research. Bitcoin has proven to be a store of value, an asset that has the potentials to reach ATH at every bull circle.

While we all know the bull run is coming, there are some who have doubts because they think there is first for everything. They know this happened many times before and yes it has never failed to bring bull before, but we may see the first time ever when this doesn't. Just like within the question itself, you are asking if it failed before, well assume that it did, wouldn't that mean there was a first time when it failed, even if it failed 17 times later, if it failed once, then it already failed. So, maybe it hasn't failed so far but it will fail this time?

Or another time in the future? We really don't know and because of this I think they fear. I do not think it will be this time and we are going to for bull, I do not have any doubt about the future at all, but I can understand people as well. Just let them not be involved, there will be more money to be made by us so I am not really trying to convince them to invest, the ones who will get enough money for all of us.

We can doubt that Bitcoin will repeat its history in this four-year cycle, but of course there must are big and logical reasons for it. The current market conditions are positive enough to expect a bigger price rally, I mean the price is already close to breaking $70k. In the remainder of October, I can expect the price of bitcoin to break $70k, I think that is the most reasonable hope considering the positive sentiment that is currently alive.

We do have that so-called market cycle on which there's really that moment that Bitcoins price will really be able to break new all time highs and same goes with those altcoins too on which we know that these things will really follow through and this has been happening in the last 3 previous market cyles on which on every halving period then here comes that bull run thing and now we are all anticipating on the same thing on this upcoming bull run cycle since we are already past halving season of Bitcoin. It is really that hard to believe that we would really be having some skip out bull run thing on this current cycle. If it does then it would really be bringing out that huge disappointment in all investors here on crypto space on which not only into those Bitcoin holders but also in altcoins as well.

This is why it would really be that recommended that you should not make yourself expect things on what it supposed to be. You should really be that versatile as much as you could because we dont really know on what would happen next into this speculative market. Things could happen in a snap on the least we do expect and this is why its important that you should really be knowing on what you should gonna do in case
if the market will really be that not the same on what we are all anticipating or expecting.

Broken, as in we won't experience the other side? Or broken because the price is not acting normally, either the increase is really high or the decrease is very low? But, I can't see both of it. What I only see is a slow and steady increase for BTC, so the cycle is still there and can happen (preferably after a BTC pump). You got a point that an increase in price makes the price to rise even harder (struggling) but this still can make the public to be enthusiastic, resulting for them to buy and HODL more, so the increase can still happen quickly.

BTC can always repeat itself, which includes both dip and pump. It never fails us, so let's just continue what we have started even if there are doubts that are forming on us sometimes. It should only pass soon. We don't want to regret for missing an opportunity are we? Despite me being positive in BTC, I can't deny that seeing $500k and a million dollar seems still intimidating, so I think I won't focus on it for a while. Maybe we need to focus on $100k first and then $200k and $300k. The rest will just follow naturally after those numbers are achieved.

If BTC became less volatile, there will still be people who will love it. For those who don't, there are still plenty of cryptos that they can choose from to transfer

No, since the creation of bitcoin, it has never failed to repeat history or set an all-time high in a bull market. If there are investors who are having doubts that bitcoin will fail to repeat history in this bull run, it could be the newbies who just started investing in bitcoin newly, with the aim of selling their bitcoin in the bull market. Any investor who has been accumulating bitcoin for a long time will know and understand how the bitcoin circle works, and he will not panic because he knows it is not yet time for bitcoin to start performing wonders. 

The repetition of the pattern of bitcoin price increases to reach a new ATH on a four-year cycle may be the same, but not exactly the same. In fact, a new ATH is reached every 4 years, especially after the halving, but we have seen bitcoin print a new ATH earlier than in previous cycles. But this is not a problem, in fact we can still expect a higher ATH at the end of next year.

The bullrun we expected seems to be approaching, but there is a lot of caution in the market for various reasons. The war that has occurred so far may have had an impact to some extent, this could also be one of the reasons why bitcoin is still having difficulty breaking through the previous ATH and printing a new high price. But mate, there is still a lot of time to wait and we need to be patient with it.

We could consider cycles broken for sure, because we are growing like crazy and the requirement to do the same becomes tens of billions of dollars. Just because it happened so far, and maybe even will happen this time too, doesn't mean we will see the same thing in the future. If the price keeps having these bull runs, we may reach 100k first, then 500k and then even a million dollars. How can we go up 2x-3x times of the price when it reaches those high levels?

We can't, meaning eventually this four year cycle will be broken and volatility will be a lot less. Crash potential will eb there, but going up as much as we do slowed down and will slow down even more. Going up even 10% would be a big deal when we get there, and moving the market will be something that takes months to do instead of just days. This isn't a shock, we should realize how much the market capitalization of bitcoin has gone up since it first started, so we should realize this is just normal now.

I am sure many of us noticed the exact pattern of the bull run. The bull run happens every four years. Till now, it has always followed this pattern, and many investors have made good profits by following this pattern. So yes, we all expected that, and it happened each time by following the same pattern. Just the ATH price pattern was broken a little early, and many people were happy with that. So my dear, loveable Bitcoin, don’t get upset, as we all expected the bull run, and we always have faith in the coin.

Going through the histories, I'm yet to see a failed bull run at any point, may be a change in cycle and occurrence probably could be the case this time because there was an unusual as to the ATH happening just before halving meanwhile according to the pattern in previous years, it's usually after the halving during the Bull run, so most persons are thrown into confusion if we are about to experience a change in cycle, nevertheless i believe we will still experience an upward surge of price later maybe but it still wouldn't change that there would be a bull, just an effect from increased adoption could be the reason for the delay.

This is a history that has nearly spanned 3 circles. We can’t really peg a history on that for a time though, we can’t agree that, the more it advances in the near feature, the more investors gets to realize what is to expectancy and materialization.

Bullrun has been associated to come after the halving and even as it is, we are still after the halving. There isn’t a particular timing to it although on average, it ranges into a good number of months. Let’s say 6months and above and we aren’t there yet.

If we say it has failed, we would be selling ourselves short by expecting much from the market which operates in no definite time. Being fearful, well, one can be in a risky investment but, Bitcoin would do its circle.

Hahaha...Bitcoin will not do that but will respect people's opinions.

You see, Bitcoin is not perfect and history is not a certainty of future occurrence, the earlier you know that, the better. Bitcoin might still rise, but this will not be as huge as people expected. And if you carefully study the history, you will realise that there are some slight deviations, which calls for caution.

Again, a Bitcoin of a few $00B is different from a Bitcoin of over $1T, the huge liquidity to continue rising big could be a challenge, more reason we should be reasonable.