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Topic: Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore - page 7. (Read 1518 times)

newbie
Activity: 105
Merit: 0
June 09, 2024, 06:13:48 PM
#3
EURGBP Technical Breakdown and Fundamental Impacts

The EUR GBP forex pair, commonly referred to as “Chunnel,” represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. This pair is a crucial indicator of economic relations between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom, making it a popular choice among forex traders. In today’s context, the EURGBP forex pair is influenced by various upcoming economic events and fundamental factors.
Fundamentally, the EUR/GBP pair might experience subtle fluctuations due to the low-impact economic news from the Eurozone. The Italian Industrial Production m/m is forecasted to grow by 0.3%, and a higher-than-expected figure could slightly strengthen the Euro. Similarly, the Sentix Investor Confidence index, with a forecast of -1.5, if it exceeds expectations, could boost investor sentiment towards the Euro. Additionally, a speech by German Buba President Joachim Nagel could provide insights into future ECB monetary policy, potentially affecting the Euro’s strength. However, given the low impact expected from these events, significant volatility is not anticipated unless there are unexpected remarks or data.

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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the EUR/GBP H4 chart price, the recent candlestick patterns reveal a strong bearish momentum. The last five candles have moved sharply from the middle Bollinger Band towards the lower band, with the last three candles touching the lower band, indicating increased selling pressure. The Bollinger Bands have widened significantly, reflecting heightened market volatility and further bearish sentiment in EUR-GBP price. Additionally, the MACD indicator shows the MACD line crossing below the signal line, reinforcing the bearish trend. This technical setup suggests that the EUR/GBP pair is likely to continue its downward movement in the near term, barring any major fundamental shifts.

Capitalcore
newbie
Activity: 105
Merit: 0
June 06, 2024, 05:57:28 PM
#2
CADJPY H4 Chart Key Insights and Technical Analysis

The CADJPY forex pair, representing the Canadian Dollar versus the Japanese Yen, is a critical currency pair in the forex market, frequently influenced by economic indicators from both Canada and Japan. The CADJPY forex pair is affected by various factors including commodity prices, economic policies, and trade relations between these two major economies. Traders often look at this pair to gauge risk sentiment and the overall health of the Canadian and Japanese economies.
Today, the CADJPY chart price may experience significant movements due to several high-impact economic announcements from Canada. The Employment Change report, forecasted at 24.8K, is crucial as it reflects the number of employed people, and a higher-than-expected number would be favorable for the CAD. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate, predicted to be 6.2%, is another vital indicator, where a lower-than-expected rate would indicate a healthier economy, boosting the CAD. The Capacity Utilization Rate, though of low impact, provides insight into the efficiency of resource usage in the Canadian economy, and a higher rate is considered positive. On the Japanese side, household spending and leading indicators are expected to have a low impact, with forecasts of 0.6% and 111.6%, respectively, providing a backdrop for potential minor influences on the JPY currency.

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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the CADJPY H4 chart, we observe the pair trading within Bollinger Bands, recently moving from the lower band towards the middle band. The MACD indicator shows a recent bullish crossover, indicating a potential upward momentum. However, the last five candles, after touching the middle band, have turned red and bearish, suggesting some resistance near the middle band. The Bollinger Bands have slightly tightened, indicating a decrease in volatility, although they remain wider compared to the past two weeks. The overall trend appears cautiously optimistic, with the price oscillating around the middle band, hinting at a possible consolidation phase before a significant move.

Capitalcore
newbie
Activity: 105
Merit: 0
June 05, 2024, 08:49:44 PM
#1
EUR/USD H4 Price Action and Indicators


The EUR/USD forex pair, representing the Euro and the US Dollar, is one of the most traded currency pairs globally. Currencies are influenced by a myriad of economic factors and news events, making their analysis crucial for traders. The EUR USD pair's chart performance today will be particularly impacted by several key economic indicators and events.
Fundamental analysis for the EURUSD today focuses on a range of economic indicators and events. The upcoming release of the German Factory Orders, with a forecast of 0.6%, could positively influence the Euro if the actual figures surpass expectations, signaling increased manufacturing activity. Similarly, the Italian Retail Sales forecast of 0.3% and the broader Eurozone Retail Sales expected at -0.2% will be watched closely as they gauge consumer spending. The European Parliamentary Elections and the ECB's monetary policy updates, including the Main Refinancing Rate and the ECB Press Conference, are high-impact events likely to cause significant volatility. Additionally, US data such as the Unemployment Claims forecasted at 220K will be crucial for the USD's performance, potentially affecting the EUR/USD pair's movement throughout the day.

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Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the EUR-USD H4 chart, the price has been trending within an ascending channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend. The last 10 candles of EURUSD’s H4 chart exhibit a mixture of bullish and bearish sentiments, with five green candles and the recent bullish candles suggesting a potential upward continuation. The Bollinger Bands have slightly contracted, yet they remain relatively wide, reflecting ongoing volatility. The price oscillates around the middle band, indicating consolidation within the broader uptrend. The MACD indicator, however, shows a bearish signal with the MACD line crossing below the signal line and a red histogram, implying potential downward pressure. Despite the MACD's bearish outlook, the price's proximity to the middle band and the overall ascending channel suggests the bullish momentum could still persist, albeit with caution.

Capitalcore
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