That drop today seemed weird. I wouldn't be surprised if exchange owners buy/sell based on information about incoming bank wires. Also, a bunch of whiny traders were piling on because 700 got "rejected".
yep....no doubt....shit ton of USD being wired to exchange accounts and exchange insiders start buying.......shit ton of BTC being transferred to exchange wallets, and they will start selling.
I believe China is going to let this go sideways at $640-650 plus or minus $10 for a few weeks in order to fatigue the margin longs with interest rates to make them close and then raise it afterwards. At least that's what I would do if I was China cartel. Maybe they'll raise it to $666 again for shits and giggles. There are a lot of shorts right now, so it's not out of the realm of possibility for China to try and squeeze them either. I feel the odds mostly point to a semi-boring market for a while before it does anything.
What is this?
r0ach doesn't think that Bitcoin is about to rocket into the stratosphere? He thinks BTC is just gonna kind of do nothing?
That my friends, is as raging a bear signal as I could possibly imagine....
The very high level of shorts on BFX (longs are still comparatively way higher though), however, does pique my interest. I suspect that with the timing of these shorts, these shorts are being held by strong Hands. Probably mostly by miners who are hedging their bets and who are happy to lock in $600-$700 range prices for their future BTC. If BTC goes up, they don't give a shit, if BTC goes down, then they are covered.....still if the market where to force all those shorts to cover and/or be liquidated, that would provide a huge boost to the BTC price...but then again, same thing could be said in the opposite direction for the still extremely high level of margin longs....perhaps the smart money shorts are piling up, just waiting for the long squeeze in order to cover their positions?
Very hard to read, but from past behaviour, margin longs, obviously, tend to hit their max as spot tops out, then margin shorts pile up, whilst margin longs start to pull back, as spot starts to decline, with peak, or near peak margin shorts, occurring invariably near the bottom of the move......I don't think we are anywhere near the bottom of the move however....we only just getting going.