Just saying I predicted the iPhone (and Bitcoin) two (and three) years before it happened (note after this email I was evaluating the PDAs such as Nokia 770):
---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: Elaboration of why u will need a wireless handheld computer, and also an apology
From: Shelby
Date: Tue, November 15, 2005 1:45 pm
To: "TonyT" <
[email protected]>
Cc: "Mom" <
[email protected]>
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Tony,
Apologies if my tone yesterday was "forceful". I was in an internet cafe
using a crappy keyboard in which the keys were sticking (backspace, cursor
arrows, some letters, etc) and I was irritated from typing a longer, more
"considerate" tone.
The above is one reason why handhelds are needed in PI.
But regarding you, one reason you will need a handheld is electronic
money. When you go to a job in future, you will be paid not with a credit
card, but with something like Paypal, and you will need a computer to do
it.Of course you can carry your bulkier notebook, but for a measily $200, you
will find it convenient to carry a handheld, versus buying a new card or
notebook for doing WiFiMax.
My point is there will be applications that you can not forsee at this time.There always are when some revolutionary core technology hits (e.g.
internet).
As for slow adoption, the reason things move slowly in any industry is
because of big corporations are conservative (do not like to cannabalize
existing sales with unproved replacement technologies). There are so many
examples of this. Celluar 4G is the most applicable to WiFiMAX.
But please realize that the reason that WiFi took off exponentially
(defying such slow adoption stigma), is that it could be installed by
individuals. That was the key to the internet explosion, and the PC
explosion. When power is given to individuals to make drastic efficiency
improvements in their lives, then lifeform growth in the history of nature
always booms (and busts) exponentially, not linearly.
Thus if WiFiMAX can be installed by individuals, small institutions, local
govts, civic organizations, clubs, neighborhoods, etc, then expect it will
be like the internet was, in 1994 only a few people like myself were aware
of it, by 1995 about 10% were using it, and by 1996 everyone was aware and
using it or preparing to try it.
---------------------------- Original Message ----------------------------
Subject: MORE: Re: internet phone
From: "Shelby"
Date: Thu, June 15, 2006 3:09 am
To: "Mom" <
[email protected]>
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The quality of sound in Skype is purportedly exceptional because it uses a
P2P (peer-to-peer) load sharing network.
Skype is free when calling any one using a Skype. It is free to landlines
and mobile until end of 2006, then it will cost a little for that.
The whole point of Skype, is if your friends download skype, then you can
call them free forever.
If they don't want to download, or don't want to be tied to one computer,
they can buy a Skype-enabled phone, which either plugs into any USB port,
or in future ones which are standalone using WiFiMAX. Many cities are
adding WiFiMAX for free. Google and Intel are pushing WiFiMAX movement.
The telco network is a dinasour. With Skype you could call free to
Philippines for example, as long as I have Skype. And much better quality
than they iconnecthere.com one I use now. I just haven't had time to
switch yet...
==============
That locks you down to one location (your home broadband net connection)
and one provider (e.g. Earthlink or your Cable company).
That is not the future.
The future is mobile.Here is what you should transistion to over time (owned by eBay and
partnered with Google):
http://skype.com/You can buy a mobile phone that works with Skype at RadioShack. For now,
they only have the $40 ones which plug into USB of any computer, so you
can use from any where.
In future, they will have WiFiMAX ones
which work just like mobile phone(no wires), except without the telco monopoly charges.
> What do you think of this?
>
https://store.earthlink.net/cgi-bin/wsisa.dll/store/product.html?product=euvvoip>
> I'm assuming one downside would be that when my net connection is down
my phone would be down too.