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Topic: ??? DECISION TIME FOR BITCOIN?!?! 4k or 3.5k?!?! ??? - page 3. (Read 15935 times)

hero member
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Bitcoin isn't crossing $4000, people keep focus on the price to grow above $4000. The previous price pumping gave the price of bitcoin to be above $4000, several such predictions happened and none sustained above $4000 for a longer time. Th upcoming price to be above $4000 will support with the crossing of $4000 barrier.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1427
The thing is, no real money is coming in to the market. Very few new investors. It would probably take more than a few good news to really bring back the confidence that was lost because of this ongoing trend. The run to 4.1k isn't at all bullish.  There have  been runs like that last year where we're still dominated by bears. And i agree that we may not have seen the bottom for this year yet.

I'm sure there is plenty of new money coming into the market, but that's largely through private deals (i.e. OTC trading). The on-chain transaction volume is indicative of high volume trades, but the money doesn't touch spot exchanges, and that's what's driving the price at the end of the day.

Important indicators are stablecoins. As long as the total circulating supply is the same, there isn't all that much money entering the market that we can see. Before $6000 broke USDT's total circulating supply was hovering between 2.3-2.5 billion, right now that's just under 2 billion. In other words, up to 0.5 billion has left the market.
legendary
Activity: 3542
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Cashback 15%
The thing is, no real money is coming in to the market. Very few new investors. It would probably take more than a few good news to really bring back the confidence that was lost because of this ongoing trend. The run to 4.1k isn't at all bullish.  There have  been runs like that last year where we're still dominated by bears. And i agree that we may not have seen the bottom for this year yet.

Correct. The market has since stagnated ever since we stayed on $6k for a few months before sliding down past $5k which seemed to be impossible for many traders back then. No new money is coming in on the market; no catalyst for a price push and certainly no bullish movement happening. Though one thing's interesting lately: volume is gradually growing since Dec. 2018. While this might seem nothing at all, higher volume with almost no price changes is a common scenario for accumulation, and that's what could be happening in the sidelines.
hero member
Activity: 1246
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Unless we break 4150 I see no reason to be bearish. until then I am bearish
Bitcoin already breaks $4150 with a few rally and the trend still not change from Bearish to Bullish. You cant use the factor of price for trend of the market. We need some a good news and adoption to makes the rally was really strong.

The thing is, no real money is coming in to the market. Very few new investors. It would probably take more than a few good news to really bring back the confidence that was lost because of this ongoing trend. The run to 4.1k isn't at all bullish.  There have  been runs like that last year where we're still dominated by bears. And i agree that we may not have seen the bottom for this year yet.
legendary
Activity: 2450
Merit: 1225
Unless we break 4150 I see no reason to be bearish. until then I am bearish
Bitcoin already breaks $4150 with a few rally and the trend still not change from Bearish to Bullish. You cant use the factor of price for trend of the market. We need some a good news and adoption to makes the rally was really strong.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1353
Its hard to know where the market is heading but I'm confident that the bottom was already hit. The recent dump is just because of the failed attempt to break the resistance and its normal. The dump price will continue not unless we already surpass the resistance on level $4300. Let's make a good prediction, the market will go high!  Smiley

Unless we break 4150 I see no reason to be bearish. until then I am bearish

LOL. We have been bearish for a long time, and breaking $4150 doesn't mean we can go uptrend as well. And as far as I know we did broke that barrier last Feb 24, but the growth wasn't sustainable so I don't think we can say that we need to break this certain resistance to go to the next phase. It doesn't work right now as investors or speculators will just jump on opportunity to book profits.
copper member
Activity: 310
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Its hard to know where the market is heading but I'm confident that the bottom was already hit. The recent dump is just because of the failed attempt to break the resistance and its normal. The dump price will continue not unless we already surpass the resistance on level $4300. Let's make a good prediction, the market will go high!  Smiley

Unless we break 4150 I see no reason to be bearish. until then I am bearish
hero member
Activity: 2968
Merit: 913
It's pointless to make predictions about the bitcoin price based on a 2-hour chart analysis.
The bitcoin price moves here and there every minute and there's no point to making conclusions out of every 0.1% rise or fall of the price.Bitcoin is stable and that's the best news we could get.
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1105
As some of you think that economically, BTC has seen its bottom then I say not yet because BTC is yet to see a bottom but don't worry, it will look more as a red injection line downway (dump to a new bottom) and then instantly back to the price from where the dump starts. I don't see this going below $2000 (the least I expect to be the bottom for this year). The bullish momentum that is being seen at the moment doesn't look trustworthy enough to say that BTC is actually bullish, and chances of reversal as well as dumps are more as it all looks a trap. Better not to take leveraged positions nowadays because it will only land you at ground scale, so save yourself some money and have buy orders open for $2500 with 50% and $2000 with remaining 50% capital you want to invest.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 10611
it is impossible to say and no there is no "psychological number" yet because those only come in when we actually reach the price multiple times and don't break it. so far we have only done that once and with only one try that doesn't become strong resistant!
right now the only thing "psychological" as i have said before is that uncertainty which is not changing with any kind of TA on the charts. and uncertainty means nobody knows whether price is going up or down which is why it doesn't move at all!
hero member
Activity: 2408
Merit: 564
You can be bearish as you want base on your technical analysis but the market can't be predicted that much. Most of the time, these TA's aren't coming into really but for me I respect and I'm good with these TA's because I can have that basis if I want to depend on them but mostly I won't. I'm not very good on the technical side of the market but every each point that has been shared here looks amazing. With the pricing you mentioned on the title, we're heading to $4,000 and if breaks back again expect $3,500 - $3,800 for months.
full member
Activity: 686
Merit: 108
Its hard to know where the market is heading but I'm confident that the bottom was already hit. The recent dump is just because of the failed attempt to break the resistance and its normal. The dump price will continue not unless we already surpass the resistance on level $4300. Let's make a good prediction, the market will go high!  Smiley
copper member
Activity: 310
Merit: 0
Hello all, I want to do a quick update about bitcoin. Within this post I want to acknowledge all of you about the crucial area of bitcoin and the price reaction on this particular area.

On my post today, I want to present the 2-hours chart as a key chart that I want to concern for, Why?
1. Bitcoin is trending on 200 moving average on 2 hours chart which means the bitcoin is moving nearly the decision line whether it is going to the up trend or down trend
2. $4000 is becoming a relatively strong resistance because of psychological number and a lot of price action has occur  in the past.
3. The price is still trending on the 38.2 fibs retracement based on previous swing high to swing low. as we know, based on fibonacci number there are 2 crucial area which is 38.2 and the golden ratio number, it is a special number that can occur on every aspect of life in this universe.
4. The wicks on 2-hours chart. we can see in the 2-hours chart there are several wicks on the closing candle (look at the yellow box). what does it mean?
Whenever we saw the wick toward the resistance, it always represents the market player's sentiment on specific time frame. we can easily conclude that the bulls are trying to push the price toward the upside to break the resistance zone, but the bear is too bearish, which means it ended up to produces the wicks, and what will happen when we saw a several wicks here? In my opinion, just like the human analogy, whenever you are trying to push the price up and ended up failing, the bulls will feel exhausted if they are rejected a lot of time and it will simply losing their strength soon.

So, the conclusion is I am still bearish side  short term.

and no, i dont think the bottom is in.
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