Pages:
Author

Topic: Decreasing Bitcoin price volatility (Read 304 times)

sr. member
Activity: 2352
Merit: 245
April 08, 2021, 03:10:21 PM
#30
Institutional investors can't lower the Bitcoin price volatility.Mass adoption across multiple small investors and ordinary people probably can lower the price volatility.
Institutional investors will just buy and HODL in the long term,which will remove some bitcoins out of the market circulation,therefore lowering the supply will increase the price volatility.
On the other hand,mass adoption and using BTC fore more daily purchases will increase the BTC market circulation and probably lower the Bitcoins held by the HODLers.This increased BTC supply will lower the price volatility.
It should also be noted that with an increase in the price of bitcoin, the fear of its holders for their money invested in it will grow. In this case, they will be increasingly interested in price movements in the cryptocurrency market and news that may affect this market. In this case, they will be very sensitive to the appearance of various bad news, and if this coincides with the usual market fluctuations in the downward direction, then it is likely that the manifestation of even slight volatility can turn into a rapid fall and collapse of prices throughout the market. Therefore, I think that as the price of bitcoin rises, so will its price volatility.
sr. member
Activity: 1610
Merit: 264
February 17, 2021, 01:49:25 PM
#29
~
It might as well due to cause of whales in the market. Though them alone isn't gonna suffice actually.
We have been experiencing volatility from the start already so we can't conclude that it's all because of only whales, influencers, institutions (as you mentioned).
Maybe it's just because Bitcoin is  almost global, with some constraints to those countries that have Bitcoin banned.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1855
Rollbit.com | #1 Solana Casino
February 17, 2021, 01:41:41 PM
#28
That's the theory allright, but it's anyone's guess on how Bitcoin will react. I mean, if it's true we had MicroStrategy and PayPal come into the game, but still it needs Elon Musk to Tweet to send the markets crazy for new ATH, then I doubt this stability has really come into the factor here.

It'll get there but it'll come naturally when 10% of the world is into it. Now we're at 1%. Still early;)
there are still many who have not entered bitcoin. But that 1% can also affect the price of bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently hitting its latest ATH at $ 51k and it's pretty awesome. Elons musk is the trigger for this new ATH and maybe some other big companies will start to enter.
elon musk's tweets are also influential because they have a lot of followers.
This is just the beginning. Still half way to the top of the $ 100k price tag and would be pretty awesome.
member
Activity: 235
Merit: 10
BountyMarketCap
February 17, 2021, 11:08:17 AM
#27
It is possible  the institutional  involvement  might have contributed  to the current relative stability  of bitcoin. Bitcoin  has always revolved  around  a particular price range. We must also not lose   sight of the fact that bitcoin  hit a new all time high  within the last 24 hrs. It seems bitcoin  is getting a new support  at $50k without  any resistance.  At the moment, I see the less volatility  of bitcoin  as a regular  phenomenon.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1226
Livecasino, 20% cashback, no fuss payouts.
February 17, 2021, 11:02:02 AM
#26
That's the theory allright, but it's anyone's guess on how Bitcoin will react. I mean, if it's true we had MicroStrategy and PayPal come into the game, but still it needs Elon Musk to Tweet to send the markets crazy for new ATH, then I doubt this stability has really come into the factor here.

It'll get there but it'll come naturally when 10% of the world is into it. Now we're at 1%. Still early;)
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1293
There is trouble abrewing
February 17, 2021, 08:56:47 AM
#25
Essentially, big institutional players are simply less likely to manipulate the market than whales, if only because of regulatory oversight.

you are forgetting that a lot of these institutional investors are the same corrupt wall street manipulators who have been doing a lot of shady things under the SEC's nose with their knowledge and getting away with it. i don't see how they are going to change tectics in bitcoin where it is not even as regulated as stock market.
member
Activity: 224
Merit: 36
February 17, 2021, 08:00:18 AM
#24
Well, it depends on what those institutions does with their bitcoins. A while back we had auctions for recovered stolen coins and everyone was speculating as to what would happen, if those large amounts of coins, would enter the market again. Now we know that the coins went to a owner that hoarded the coins and the price stayed stable.

If the owner decided to sell all of those coins at the same time, the price would have taken a nose dive..because a sudden injection of large amounts of coins into the supply side.. would send the markets into a frenzy. (The speculators will see this as a dump and it will cause a trigger affect of other people selling their coins)

The same goes for these institutional buyer.... if one of them dump Billions of Dollars worth of coins onto exchanges... then the price will come crashing down. (causing a lot of volatility)  Roll Eyes

Yes, this is what I was thinking along the lines of.

Essentially, big institutional players are simply less likely to manipulate the market than whales, if only because of regulatory oversight.

Also, thank you for taking the time to read the OP properly and understanding that this thread is actually about which is potential decreasing volatility caused by institutional buy-in as has been proposed quite often by the media recently.


legendary
Activity: 3542
Merit: 1965
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
February 17, 2021, 07:43:56 AM
#23
Well, it depends on what those institutions does with their bitcoins. A while back we had auctions for recovered stolen coins and everyone was speculating as to what would happen, if those large amounts of coins, would enter the market again. Now we know that the coins went to a owner that hoarded the coins and the price stayed stable.

If the owner decided to sell all of those coins at the same time, the price would have taken a nose dive..because a sudden injection of large amounts of coins into the supply side.. would send the markets into a frenzy. (The speculators will see this as a dump and it will cause a trigger affect of other people selling their coins)

The same goes for these institutional buyer.... if one of them dump Billions of Dollars worth of coins onto exchanges... then the price will come crashing down. (causing a lot of volatility)  Roll Eyes
copper member
Activity: 2800
Merit: 1179
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
February 17, 2021, 07:32:30 AM
#22
It's normal to see this kind of volatility for an asset that is currently hot on eyes of all traders and investors especially for institutional investors. Fresh billion of dollars in fiat are flowing in on crypto market so it's expected that cause price fluctuations when when big money plus hype mix in the air of crypto.
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 2148
February 17, 2021, 07:28:40 AM
#21
Volatility is happening because no one has any idea how to objectively calculate Bitcoin's value, and Bitcoin still seems to be pretty young as investors continue to discover it as a legitimate asset and not just some beanie baby like they though in the past. Volatility will decrease with time when Bitcoin will stop being viewed as "money of the future" and will become money of the present. Maybe it will take 10 years, maybe 20 - and it will be a gradual process, and some volatility will always remain, and it will be higher than that of fiat currencies, because there's no central bank of Bitcoin that could stabilize it.
legendary
Activity: 4410
Merit: 4766
February 17, 2021, 06:42:29 AM
#20
let me make this simple.
the most easiest way to make a price less or more volatile. is to change in the number of decimals of orderline pricepoints gap
$51,500.12564  requires 87436 orderlines to fill just to get the price to 51501(87k people outbidding each other)
$51,500.16        requires 84 orderlines to fill just to get to the price of 51501(84 people outbidding each other)
$51,500            requires just 1 orderline to fill just to get the price of 51501(1person outbidding another)

..
bitcoins orderbooks of exchanges were like
2012: $100: 10btc   (~$1k to fill an order)
2016: $1000: 1btc   (~$1k to fill an order)
2021: $50k: 0.02btc(~$1k to fill an order)

so as you can see if an average investor had $1k in 2012,2016 or 2021 they could move the price by a pricepoint

so the solution is to have more order pricepoints in more decimal figures to require more order fills to move the price by any significant amount

so petition/demand exchanges use more than 2 decimals per order price and you will see the volatility change
as it allows people to outbid each other multiple opportunities without pushing the price up fast

or if you want the price to go up fast. less decimal opportunities to place a bid
hero member
Activity: 2884
Merit: 579
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
February 17, 2021, 06:26:44 AM
#19
Volatility has become a name for BTC, we're not actually decreasing in volatility but rather adding up to it.
I think OP is right. Volatility is becoming lesser as the institutions are coming for the meantime. But that's just temporary, we'll never know if these institutions will come at once and gonna start to dump altogether.

But the longer that we're watching bitcoin's market, the stronger that it gets from time to time. I'm now looking forward to the future, maybe after 3 years which is going to be the next halving and a year after that, we might see the same surge in bitcoin's price.
newbie
Activity: 15
Merit: 0
February 17, 2021, 06:05:18 AM
#18
Talking about bitcoin volatility, its has shown some volatile behavior in recent days just after some tweets or companies showing interest in buying them. Being not openly acceptable these day bitcoin use has increased its trade for buying things.
Ucy
sr. member
Activity: 2674
Merit: 403
Compare rates on different exchanges & swap.
February 17, 2021, 05:58:25 AM
#17
Better to decentralized things that affect the price. I would avoid anything that can centralized (or potentially centralized) Bitcoin in any way. I believe a system/org that regulates price should be very Transparent, decentralized, Based on Good rules approved via Consensus, and is bounded by other important Bitcoin Principles.

The Right System should keep the price volatility moderate without necessarily changing anything on the main Network/System.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1402
Join the world-leading crypto sportsbook NOW!
February 17, 2021, 05:50:46 AM
#16
I think what might stabilize the price is more and more people being Bitcoin hodlers. Then it would be less likely that the majority would react similarly to major news and events, triggering bull or bear trends. But that's just my intuition, it might not actually be true. As for the dynamics of volatility, I wonder if anyone figured out a way to calculate it and give proper assessment and whether it's a fact that Bitcoin is not more stable nowadays than in early years. But when I see the charts, it seems to me that the price was more jumpy in 2013-2014 than it was in 2018-2019 if we're talking about percentage. And I couldn't fine the data about the early years of Bitcoin, but I think the change in percentage was even higher.
newbie
Activity: 45
Merit: 0
February 17, 2021, 05:03:19 AM
#15
A prolonged period of consolidation of the low volatility price often paves the way for a big move on either side. The longer the recovery, the more violent the breakout is.

However, the volatility metrics have not yet reached abnormally low levels, while the cryptocurrency is stuck in a narrowing price range.
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 4265
✿♥‿♥✿
February 17, 2021, 04:56:43 AM
#14
The more we see the mistrust in the dollar, the more often we will see institutional investors who buy assets even for 50 thousand dollars or more. Today, investors understand that gold is becoming obsolete as a storage medium, and bitcoin is becoming more and more recognized by different segments of the population. Celebrities periodically generate interest in investing, thereby encouraging everyone to become part of the Bitcoin community. For large investors, bitcoin is a financial investment, around which a fuss is created, but their motivation is naturally that the cryptocurrency is growing, and financial interests in terms of further increasing their profits are paramount. Many are confident that institutions are smart players, and they can reduce volatility, but factors such as widespread adoption of bitcoins and the macroeconomic situation also affect the price movement upward.
hero member
Activity: 2268
Merit: 588
You own the pen
February 17, 2021, 04:32:54 AM
#13
In this current state of bitcoins in the market, I think the volatility right now is all history. This is the moment we are waiting for and the price from this point will continue to rally up to its limit. No wonder, those big-time companies, and celebrities have participated in this new era. 2021 is the year of the Crypto industry. so what about you guys, do you still believe that the price will fall at any moment? well then, I don't think it will gonna happen again, or let's say it will not happen soon because as we witnessed here, everything seems right from the start of this year and earlier I witnessed something I never expected before. Our local news published a report about Bitcoin and it was the first time seeing it that way, I mean, in a positive way. This year has a lot of surprise guys, we better use this opportunity or is now or never for us after this.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1208
February 17, 2021, 02:52:50 AM
#12
because institutions will not manipulate the price of bitcoin.
I don't think so, some institutions buy a large amount of Bitcoin or can be called as whales is actually manipulating the price of Bitcoin. They hold significant amount Bitcoin, they also can to sell large amount Bitcoin "in a single time" it will make massive dump on Bitcoin.

Also those institutions didn't publish/mention their address, we can't know for sure they're purely holding or already sell some amount portion.
hero member
Activity: 3150
Merit: 937
February 17, 2021, 01:49:42 AM
#11
Institutional investors can't lower the Bitcoin price volatility.Mass adoption across multiple small investors and ordinary people probably can lower the price volatility.
Institutional investors will just buy and HODL in the long term,which will remove some bitcoins out of the market circulation,therefore lowering the supply will increase the price volatility.
On the other hand,mass adoption and using BTC fore more daily purchases will increase the BTC market circulation and probably lower the Bitcoins held by the HODLers.This increased BTC supply will lower the price volatility.
Pages:
Jump to: