Topic: Diff thread Apr 1 to Apr 15? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc (Read 5379 times)

Locked and a rollover new thread is here



https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14536905


Really now was it?


And we have a rollover


Difficulty History

Date                    Difficulty                 Change   Hash Rate

Apr 14 2016   178,678,307,672   7.09%   1,279,029,147 GH/s

Apr 01 2016   166,851,513,283   0.82%   1,194,369,655 GH/s
Mar 18 2016   165,496,835,118   4.46%   1,184,672,491 GH/s
Mar 04 2016   158,427,203,767   -3.10%   1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016   163,491,654,909   13.44%   1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016   144,116,447,847   20.06%   1,031,625,717 GH/s
Jan 26 2016   120,033,340,651   5.89%   859,232,121 GH/s
Jan 13 2016   113,354,299,801   9.12%   811,421,684 GH/s
Dec 31 2015   103,880,340,815   11.16%   743,604,444 GH/s
Dec 18 2015   93,448,670,796   18.14%   668,931,642 GH/s
Dec 06 2015   79,102,380,900   8.77%   566,236,898 GH/s
Nov 24 2015   72,722,780,643   10.44%   520,569,941 GH/s
Nov 11 2015   65,848,255,180   5.77%   471,360,171 GH/s
Oct 29 2015   62,253,982,450   2.25%   445,631,364 GH/s
Oct 15 2015   60,883,825,480   0.12%   435,823,399 GH/s
Oct 01 2015   60,813,224,039   2.49%   435,318,014 GH/s
Sep 17 2015   59,335,351,234   4.17%   424,738,988 GH/s
Sep 04 2015   56,957,648,455   4.98%   407,718,729 GH/s
Aug 22 2015   54,256,630,328   2.95%   388,384,088 GH/s
Aug 08 2015   52,699,842,409   0.81%   377,240,166 GH/s
Jul 25 2015   52,278,304,846   2.35%   374,222,683 GH/s
Jul 11 2015   51,076,366,303   3.39%   365,618,871 GH/s
Jun 28 2015   49,402,014,931   -0.58%   353,633,397 GH/s
Jun 14 2015   49,692,386,355   4.42%   355,711,957 GH/s
May 31 2015   47,589,591,154   -2.50%   340,659,563 GH/s
May 17 2015   48,807,487,245   2.44%   349,377,603 GH/s
May 03 2015   47,643,398,018   0.07%   341,044,727 GH/s
Apr 19 2015   47,610,564,513   -3.71%   340,809,696 GH/s
Apr 05 2015   49,446,390,688   5.84%   353,951,052 GH/s
Mar 22 2015   46,717,549,645   -1.50%   334,417,246 GH/s
Mar 08 2015   47,427,554,951   1.59%   339,499,662 GH/s
Feb 22 2015   46,684,376,317   5.01%   334,179,783 GH/s
Feb 09 2015   44,455,415,962   7.71%   318,224,263 GH/s
Jan 27 2015   41,272,873,895   -6.14%   295,442,739 GH/s
Jan 12 2015   43,971,662,056   8.20%   314,761,417 GH/s
Dec 30 2014   40,640,955,017   3.00%   290,919,288 GH/s
Dec 17 2014   39,457,671,307   -1.37%   282,449,013 GH/s
Dec 02 2014   40,007,470,271   -0.73%   286,384,627 GH/s
Nov 18 2014   40,300,030,328   1.76%   288,478,854 GH/s
Nov 05 2014   39,603,666,252   10.05%   283,494,086 GH/s
Oct 23 2014   35,985,640,265   2.81%   257,595,247 GH/s
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s
© 2013-2014 BitcoinWisdom.com

New thread

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14536905

So just over +7% and we have a Rollover.

Rich

Bitcoin Difficulty:   178,678,307,672
Estimated Next Difficulty:   189,499,207,312 (+6.06%)
Adjust time:   After 2016 Blocks, About 13.7 days
Hashrate(?):   1,301,638,738 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.2 minutes
6 blocks: 58.5 minutes
Updated:   11:30 (1.7 minutes ago)

Edit: this means +7.088%

Yeah that was sarcastic 

Bitcoin Difficulty:    166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    178,553,618,419 (+7.01%)
Adjust time:    After 25 Blocks, About 3.8 hours
Hashrate(?):    1,283,547,331 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.2 minutes
3 blocks: 27.4 minutes
6 blocks: 54.9 minutes
   
Updated:    0:20 (6.0 minutes ago)

BTC Price: ~ $420

Looks like 6% is LIKELY at this late stage. 7% is quite POSSIBLE. That's a lot of hash rate in the last 10 days!!!

Maybe so.

I bet bitfury 

Not where I wanted to be with this change i was  hoping for 5 or less (perferably less).  I have no proof but I really think this is tied into S7's with new 1 fan version.  One would think to redesign they had plans to make a good amount of them.

Price is around 424.  So above 420 hopefully that stays.

And someone has fired up a lot of gear

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   177,401,771,364 (+6.32%)
Adjust time:   After 129 Blocks, About 19.9 hours
Hashrate(?):   1,309,140,211 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.8 minutes
6 blocks: 55.6 minutes
Updated:   8:55 (6.0 minutes ago)



we could go over 7% at this rate

Looks to me like we'll end below 5%, though not by a lot. Probably still to high for my guess....   

Bitcoin Difficulty:    166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:    174,952,145,724 (+4.85%)
Adjust time:    After 187 Blocks, About 1.2 days
Hashrate(?):    1,308,789,162 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.1 minutes
   
Updated:    0:25 (8.6 minutes ago)

BTC price still nothing exciting: $420

Seems like the price has been stuck in a "trading range" for well over a month now.Should be less than 3 months until we bit block # 420,000 (i.e. the "halving").

Best hope is that 90-150 ph "mystery" farm is powered off for the next day and 1/2

That could drop us to 3.9-4.5


@ Mikestang I do not mind running the thread / contest. But unless something turns up for me funding it will be to hard to do.

We can worry about it in July cause three months   in BTC time is three years in real world time

It´s quite stubborn. With one and a half day to go; block generation time is 9.4 minutes. It´s going to be solidly up.

The peak hash for this period is much higher than it has been the previous 3 times it came and went.  For a while there my 7% guess was on target, still might be if more of those machines turn on again in the next couple days.

I hope we can keep playing after the halving, should be easy to crowd fund it.  The problem would be finding one person willing to hold funds and pay out.

 https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   175,723,990,304 (+5.32%)  < could be worse
Adjust time:   After 239 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?):   1,336,634,607 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.9 minutes
Updated:   

-1.2 = philipma1957

0 = adaseb

+1.2 = talks_cheep

+1.5 = mocacinno
+1.6 = Rizia2345 -- note: I gave you this as +1.5 was picked let me know if it is good

+2.5 = leowonderful
+2.6 = edonkey

+3.1 = tertius993
+3.2 = tlhIlwI
+3.3 = Fruitsbasket  >>>> corrected
+3.4 = alh
+3.5 = ingiltere
+3.6 = RichBC  >>>>>> How is or was Vegas?
+3.7 = pusttiu
+3.8 = frank0929
+3.9 = NeuroticFish
+4.0 = Ankara
+4.1 = HerbPean
+4.2 = VirosaGITS
+4.3 = Notlist3d
+4.4 = Amph
+4.5 = FUBAR-BDHR > corrected name
+4.6 = Psi

+4.8 = blindminer


+5.2 = notaek
+5.3  = indiemax
+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = vapourminer
+5.6 = zebedee

+6.2= fr4nkthetan

+6.5 = VRobb  


+7.7% Mikestang
+8.4 = wpt1wpt1


the people in bold are the close ones



https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   175,723,990,304 (+5.32%)
Adjust time:   After 239 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?):   1,336,634,607 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.3 minutes
3 blocks: 27.9 minutes
6 blocks: 55.9 minutes
Updated:   

They have been smart on being able out out price others gear.   Bitmain crushed SP20's with S5, they made a cheaper option and started a price war.  And they won. It seems to be repeating looking at S7 they have made it as low cost as I think they can with 1 fan variant.

I expect S7 to remain king in super low data centers as they can buy now and likely even after having is electricity 1-2 cents they I would guess make a profit still till a point.  For "normal" electricity people we will need next gen chips but these mega centers likely will not even after having.

Yeah, it´s almost like they´ve been trying to wipe out the competition in the mining since last autumn. They have the best of both worlds anyway, they both make the equipment which is excellent in any gold rush, and they are a big player in mining.

Lots of companies are hurting due to bitmaintech's power in the game.

Make a new miner and the s-7 drops price to knock you out.

So the game changes from having good miners to having cheap power.

A one cent power cost and the s-7 crushes a .125 watt bitfury at four cent power.

Or a two cent power cost  makes the better s-7 plus which only bitmaintech has beat any other gear.

I wonder what´s the total investment in bitcoin mining. Must be in the hundreds of millions of dollars. Miners plus facilities and manpower. Maybe billions. Some of it must be pretty squeezed by now what with the big difficulty increases since last year. Investments usually mean debts.

I was hoping for that, and not necessarily because of my vote...

I can't say yes or no.  I don't know if   BTC will be ruined by the ½ ing.

I will do 1  game past the ½ ing just because it should be an interesting time  for all of us.  After that I may stop.

I no longer do a signature campaign which helped to fund this game. Also  the original starter of the game no longer adds funds.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   166,851,513,283
Estimated Next Difficulty:   174,923,952,518 (+4.84%)  dropping good!
Adjust time:   After 293 Blocks, About 1.9 days
Hashrate(?):   1,331,956,733 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.1 minutes
6 blocks: 56.3 minutes
Updated:   9:30 (9.2 minutes ago)