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Topic: diff thread Mar 3 to Mar 17? picks are closed.... prize = 0.1 btc - page 7. (Read 6750 times)

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Well I found this story about a new bitcoin mine opeing up in Ghana, http://www.coindesk.com/africa-internet-pioneer-bitcoin-mining-ghana/, but at the end they only claim to have a capacity of "several hundred terahash" which wouldn't show up on a network difficulty adjustment.  Of course they could be underselling their capacity... or there could be multiple "small" mines coming online.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper.  This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good.  To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long).  unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value.  also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches

The problem on flat difficulty is there is no facts out there.  I still have yet to hear a good reason that is confirmed as fact that could cause huge jumps up multiple periods in a row.   Now it's going low... it's crazy

Price I'm just hoping does not dive.  I keep hoping to be in 440-450 area but I think we have a ways to go till then.
legendary
Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
A flat diff for the next few months would make me a happy camper.  This s7 ain't going to pay itself you know...paid 4.7 btc with shipping, it has returned a little more than half (i havent calculated it exactly), its on kano pool so thats good.  To get the other 1/3 to 1/2 in btc....its going to be tough (or long).  unless btc increases in price, a flat diff is the best thing to happen for s7 resell value.  also would help if bitmain stopped selling freakin batches
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way....

Rich

yeah we are dropping

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   161,800,550,081 (+2.13%)
Adjust time:   After 1516 Blocks, About 10.2 days >>>>>>>> 100 blocks to the start
Hashrate(?):   1,141,928,733 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.7 minutes
3 blocks: 29.1 minutes
6 blocks: 58.1 minutes
Updated:   5:45 (2.2 minutes ago)


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

3-5-2016  = 152    +8 blocks
3-6-2106  = 147    +3 blocks    +11
3-7-2016  = 139    -5  blocks     + 6



https://blockchain.info/

401684 (Main Chain)   2016-03-08 10:30:14
401620 (Main Chain)   2016-03-08 00:03:49

65 blocks   in the time it takes for 65 blocks   so we are about +7 blocks

or 500/493 =    +1.41%       lots of time for bad things to happen

hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Well dare I say it, things are looking quite nice at the moment. Yesterday was -7.46% with only 133 Blocks and the Period run rate has been close to Zero for Today so far, (7Hours) so here's hoping it continues that way....

Rich
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Looking at the graphs that are available, whatever was turned on right at the adjustment is still on, that hash looks pretty constant and it might not go away.  Hopefully that will be the only addition and diff will stay ~ level this period.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
Darn it became 1.32%, but hopefully it'll come down now. Does anyone else feel like we have reached a difficulty peak, and should come back down as summer comes around?



Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   160,512,373,038 (+1.32%)
Adjust time:   After 1562 Blocks, About 10.6 days
Hashrate(?):   1,153,377,140 GH/s


yes more gear is above the equator so it is warming up and heat becomes a problem.

this could hold hash rates down a bit.

picks are going to start in about 20-26 hours.

legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1118
Lie down. Have a cookie
Darn it became 1.32%, but hopefully it'll come down now. Does anyone else feel like we have reached a difficulty peak, and should come back down as summer comes around?



Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   160,512,373,038 (+1.32%)
Adjust time:   After 1562 Blocks, About 10.6 days
Hashrate(?):   1,153,377,140 GH/s
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
Yea, price was a bit up and down over the weekend, but it's holding its own.  I can't see any direct relationship between price and diff, which is counter-intuitive to me, but it is what it is.  I would be afraid of a rising price if it could be linked directly to rising diff, but that does not seem to be the case recently.  Another small negative would be great, would like to see diff below 150G, but if it has to be positive hopefully it will stay under 5% (even though 5% of 160G is still a lot of new hash!).

it is a bit down today

https://blockchain.info/


401612 (Main Chain)   2016-03-07 20:58:25

401487 (Main Chain)   2016-03-07 00:00:23


126 blocks in the time it takes for 127 blocks

I would love for that to stay the course .  143 blocks a day for the rest of the diff period works for me.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
Yea, price was a bit up and down over the weekend, but it's holding its own.  I can't see any direct relationship between price and diff, which is counter-intuitive to me, but it is what it is.  I would be afraid of a rising price if it could be linked directly to rising diff, but that does not seem to be the case recently.  Another small negative would be great, would like to see diff below 150G, but if it has to be positive hopefully it will stay under 5% (even though 5% of 160G is still a lot of new hash!).
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Price is hanging around 409.  I liked the 440+ area much better.  But it seems like it's pretty slow moving.   I really want to see some movement before having upwards (I hope it happens).

So far pretty happy with low numbers on bitwisdom.  Still cant explain it.... but happy none the less.

The price had a lot of trouble holding 400 over the Weekend, but at least we did not slip too low, but as you say would be good to see it going strongly up and clearing 450.

Rich
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Price is hanging around 409.  I liked the 440+ area much better.  But it seems like it's pretty slow moving.   I really want to see some movement before having upwards (I hope it happens).

So far pretty happy with low numbers on bitwisdom.  Still cant explain it.... but happy none the less.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
So Day 2 ended up up at +2.78% 148 Blocks. Day 1 was +4.17% and the Run Rate at the moment for this period is currently +5.39%, so we are still finding our new level but looking like it might be in the +4% to +6% region?


Rich


well a neg 3 followed by a plus 5   is okay.  I rather see no more then plus 2.


https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   162,096,314,521 (+2.32%) <<<<<<<<< that still reflects some of last adjustment so it is not accurate as a real time number we are 3.7%
Adjust time:   After 1631 Blocks, About 10.8 days
Hashrate(?):   1,207,095,958 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.7 minutes
6 blocks: 57.4 minutes
Updated:   
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
So Day 2 ended up up at +2.78% 148 Blocks. Day 1 was +4.17% and the Run Rate at the moment for this period is currently +5.39%, so we are still finding our new level but looking like it might be in the +4% to +6% region?


Rich
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
  Congrats to winner  tertius993 !  Thanks for Philip for having contest,   at +7.1  last time i wasn't  even close but think my pick this time will be close to that . I have learned quite a bit  about bitcoin in general just reading this thread regularly,  so thanks everyone.

yeah we are looking up

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty:   158,427,203,767
Estimated Next Difficulty:   158,173,731,567 (-0.16%) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Not accurate
Adjust time:   After 1779 Blocks, About 12.1 days
Hashrate(?):   1,188,448,145 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.7 minutes
Updated:

http://bitcoincharts.com/


Blocks   401422
Total BTC   15.286M
 
Difficulty   158427203767
Estimated   159138112710 in 1778 blks      this is a little better   +0.44%
 
Network total   1138183.931 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.02 / 598 s


http://blockr.io/charts

3-5-2016    152 blocks

https://blockchain.info/blocks
401423 (Main Chain)   2016-03-06 13:55:08
401339 (Main Chain)   2016-03-06 00:06:39     85 blocks in the time for 84


so 237/228 = +3.94%    is close  missing a few blocks from 3-4-2016

 so we are just over 4% real number  that would be a diff of 164.7
Psi
legendary
Activity: 1022
Merit: 1000
[center][table][tr][td][url=https://trustdice.win/
   Congrats to winner  tertius993 !  Thanks for Philip for having contest,   at +7.1  last time i wasn't  even close but think my pick this time will be close to that . I have learned quite a bit  about bitcoin in general just reading this thread regularly,  so thanks everyone.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha Smiley

that pick does not count far too early for picking.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
So we have had our first full Day of the new Period and we seem to be back in positive territory with +4.17% 150 Blocks. Far too early to really know what is going on but a punchy start to Today which has pulled the Run rate for the period so far to +7.5%. As we all know anything can happen from here....


Rich
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
I'm still going positive. Mining farms will have to be positive before halving and i'm sure the hashrate and difficulty will explode soon.
+3.2 for me, because I ALWAYS GO POSITIVE. and I am right 50% of the time haha Smiley
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
I am going to be very surprised if we don't get a positive here.   I can't see a pattern in past 3... just does not make sense:
Mar 04 2016    158,427,203,767    -3.10%    1,134,066,098 GH/s
Feb 19 2016    163,491,654,909    13.44%    1,170,318,852 GH/s
Feb 07 2016    144,116,447,847    20.06%    1,031,625,717 GH/s

Huge jumps... price is down.  Will be another interesting week.

I have reached the point of I have no idea what will happen in terms of price or diff.

The only saving grace for me is the solar array is not quite done yet.

So I have not had to decide to stay with 6 avalon6s and wait for bitfury gear to fill the array.

At least I can wait a week or two to decide that.
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