Pages:
Author

Topic: difficulty stabilizing? - page 2. (Read 3061 times)

hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
July 19, 2011, 05:40:04 PM
#7
seeing as how the last few jumps were on the order of 40-50%, this is a welcome change. It also tells us that expected mining profitability is quite low, but still positive as people are bringing some added capacity.

Well, at current bitcoin prices, mining profitability is quite high. So if what you say is true either people are betting on big price drops (in which case they're also betting on bitcoin failing) or this is a retraction as people feel the sting of their gold-rush calculations biting them in the butt after the drop from $32 to $14. Those aren't really well thought out analyses though.

I'm guessing people are just adding more cautiously now, instead of sinking $10,000 - $40,000 at a time, as fast as possible, as recklessly as possible, expecting to have money rain down on you, people are looking for efficient building and taking it slow so as not to lose their families if things turn sour. This is prudent.
member
Activity: 224
Merit: 10
July 19, 2011, 03:21:42 PM
#6
seeing as how the last few jumps were on the order of 40-50%, this is a welcome change. It also tells us that expected mining profitability is quite low, but still positive as people are bringing some added capacity.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
July 19, 2011, 02:30:56 PM
#5
New difficulty is in: 1690906

Thats only about an 8% increase so not too bad.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
July 19, 2011, 02:26:58 PM
#4
Aside from someone randomly bringing a TH/s or two online right in the middle of it, I'd say difficulty is definitely stabilizing.

full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
July 19, 2011, 02:14:54 PM
#3
Time to invest Wink
As true as this might be don't >.< I want a static difficulty lol
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
July 19, 2011, 02:13:16 PM
#2
Time to invest Wink
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
July 19, 2011, 01:57:34 PM
#1
I've taken my data from here http://blockexplorer.com/q/nethash/2016 and I recorded the ammount of days between difficulty changes starting May 26 to now.

Thu, 26 May 2011 18:41:56 GMT
11 days till increase
Mon, 06 Jun 2011 12:25:05 GMT
9 days till increase
Wed, 15 Jun 2011 13:49:34 GMT
9 days till increase
Fri, 24 Jun 2011 11:45:23 GMT
12 days till increase
Wed, 06 Jul 2011 20:35:46 GMT
13 days till increase
Tues, 19 Jul 2011

As you can see from that information the difficulty changed the fastest in mid June and now is slowly moving towards the 14 day goal. Unless I'm mistaken the difficulty for the most part is stabilizing and by august we will have extremely low increases. This of course will only holds true as long as the price doesn't sky rocket.

I'd like to hear what others think about this.
Pages:
Jump to: