ETF's wont cause much of a change to bitcoin at first.
for one.
most ETF had pre-bought the coins months/years before getting the green light from regulators.
also ETF are not trading bitcoins. they are trading shares in a company of X btc in trust. thus the price of a share is not directly impacting
bitcoin. because it does not result in any actual bitcoins being bought/sold.
there may be ETF events when they make announcements that they have added new 'baskets' (much like share dilution events) where the supply
of shares alters within the company. but this again is not about a change in bitcoins.
ETF will be more reactive to bitcoin prices so an ETF will follow the real bitcoin price rather than the other way around.
what positives i can see:
people will see an ETF and want to hold real bitcoin. so after playing with ETF or using ETF's for their official regulated pension funds. traders would separately then go and buy bitcoin for their personal holdings unofficially(outside their pension/investment contract)
mentions of the word bitcoin ETF would solidify bitcoin as a good asset. so again if its good for a ETF. people will then move off and buy bitcoin directly from proper bitcoin exchanges.
but i do not see the ETF price movements causing the real bitcoin prices to manoeuvre.. i see the bitcoin price movements manoeuvre ETF's
... just my opinion
So coming from someone who doesn't really quite understand how ETF's would work, I have a couple questions coming from what I highlighted above.
1) So with an ETF (Exchange Traded Funds), you are saying that people who invest into these are investing into a "company's" portfolio (i.e. Winklevoss bitcoin portfolio) rather than buying their own coins for what reasons? How does this protect their investments?
2) If they can add more shares willingly to dilute their stocks enough to make it affordable, why even bother? You can buy as much or as little Bitcoin as you want on regular exchanges.
...
Idk, I'm trying to see it from the side of the "non-techie guy" in trying to come up with reasons to invest in the ETF rather than just the asset itself, and can't really see why? I understand this is primarily due to me not understanding how ETF's work IRL on the regular markets, but it gets confusing to me after looking up what an ETF is and seeing it's investing in a 'portfolio', when in this case it's just a portfolio of Bitcoin. (?)