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Topic: Do we know why the price is dropping? (Read 2717 times)

full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 18, 2014, 09:21:04 PM
#33
Daily volume = bad (<100k)
Daily volume % that belongs to China = bad (>60%)

http://bitcoinity.org/markets/list?currency=ALL&span=24h


Numbers don't lie. This said, good things are ahead after Jan 31st so stay tuned.
eoJ
full member
Activity: 140
Merit: 100
January 18, 2014, 05:36:33 PM
#32
FBI will likely be selling $25M of coins sometime soon.

how do they know the password to unlock the wallet ?

$5 wrench.

Apparently DPR didn't take the proper precautions to protect his stash.

LoL, Thats why my coins are inside a plausible deniable encrypted volume rsrsrs ...
It's not plausibly deniable when they find the forum post admitting to it...
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
January 18, 2014, 02:28:00 PM
#31
they can't just "take" his coins without Due Process

The coins they are auctioning off are the coins from the Silk Road website itself, not his personal stash. Nobody has claimed ownership of these, for some reason Cheesy It's like when they raid some cocaine operation, nobody would be stepping out saying "hey man that's my 20 mil right there, all legit here's the receipt".

This sounds like a more reasonable explanation as to why this would be allowed to happen.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
January 18, 2014, 02:27:05 PM
#30

Since (to my knowledge) he hasn't pleaded guilty (yes pleaded is correct, it isn't pled), and obviously there hasn't been a conviction they can't just "take" his coins without Due Process.  Generally this requires a hearing before the property can be disposed of.  


If there is probable cause to believe that property has been involved in a crime or results from criminal acts, then it can be seized regardless of whether the person whose property it is has been tried yet, or if tried, found guilty.  

US. Racketeering Influenced and Corrupt Organizations act.  Ronald Reagan was annoyed that multi-millionaire drug dealers could hire multi-million dollar lawyers to argue their cases, and this is the result.  Property gets 'probable cause' whereas people get 'beyond a reasonable doubt.'  Effectively if there's sufficient evidence to issue a search warrant for some property then there is sufficient evidence to seize it.

This is very bad law in my opinion and ought to be reversed by a constitutional challenge; but it hasn't yet been.


They can seize it based on probable cause, but they have to have a hearing (or atleast offer one) before the property can be disposed of.  For example, the police in New York state can seize a vehicle if they have probable cause to believe it was the instrumentality in a crime.  But they must offer a due process hearing (called a Krimstock Hearing in NY) in which a neutral judge/magistrate determines that the seizure was lawful.

The Executive Branch cannot just seize property without Due Process and dispose of it.  This would be unconstitutional. 

 
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
January 18, 2014, 06:30:11 AM
#29
they can't just "take" his coins without Due Process

The coins they are auctioning off are the coins from the Silk Road website itself, not his personal stash. Nobody has claimed ownership of these, for some reason Cheesy It's like when they raid some cocaine operation, nobody would be stepping out saying "hey man that's my 20 mil right there, all legit here's the receipt".
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1132
January 18, 2014, 04:50:24 AM
#28

Since (to my knowledge) he hasn't pleaded guilty (yes pleaded is correct, it isn't pled), and obviously there hasn't been a conviction they can't just "take" his coins without Due Process.  Generally this requires a hearing before the property can be disposed of.  


If there is probable cause to believe that property has been involved in a crime or results from criminal acts, then it can be seized regardless of whether the person whose property it is has been tried yet, or if tried, found guilty.  

US. Racketeering Influenced and Corrupt Organizations act.  Ronald Reagan was annoyed that multi-millionaire drug dealers could hire multi-million dollar lawyers to argue their cases, and this is the result.  Property gets 'probable cause' whereas people get 'beyond a reasonable doubt.'  Effectively if there's sufficient evidence to issue a search warrant for some property then there is sufficient evidence to seize it.

This is very bad law in my opinion and ought to be reversed by a constitutional challenge; but it hasn't yet been.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
January 18, 2014, 02:47:58 AM
#27
I haven't been following that idiot Silk Road guy's case at all, but I've seen in a couple of posts here on the forum that "the FBI is going to sell his coins soon". 

Since (to my knowledge) he hasn't pleaded guilty (yes pleaded is correct, it isn't pled), and obviously there hasn't been a conviction they can't just "take" his coins without Due Process.  Generally this requires a hearing before the property can be disposed of. 

Otherwise it is a violation of his procedural due process rights and he has a right to sue the government for the violation.  Although, he obviously has bigger things to worry about. 

newbie
Activity: 18
Merit: 0
January 18, 2014, 02:34:33 AM
#26
hmm...Less than 1 BTC has been traded on BitStamp in the last 8 minutes.  If you need to exchange any sizable amount of bitcoin into fiat, you can put up an ask and see what happens but you may need toto sell to the highest bidder which most likely would lower the price.  It's a buyers market right now and its been like this the last couple of days.  
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
January 18, 2014, 01:20:14 AM
#25
I've been living under a rock, I don't understand why since the 12th the price has started to just plummet. Any information?


Because thee Almighty Karhu commands



that Bitcoin death spirals into the depths of the aether!

I thought that was just obvious.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
January 17, 2014, 09:04:36 PM
#24
China + FBI... people are scared right now. Wait until mid Feb or March for the next uptrend. Staying in fiat for time being
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1132
January 17, 2014, 09:00:41 PM
#23

LoL, Thats why my coins are inside a plausible deniable encrypted volume rsrsrs ...

Huh
Dude, you do know that when you say something like that on a public forum, you have just lost your plausible deniability -- don't you?
legendary
Activity: 4200
Merit: 4887
You're never too old to think young.
January 17, 2014, 08:57:13 PM
#22
I've been living under a rock, I don't understand why since the 12th the price has started to just plummet. Any information?

Plummet?

I look at the 10 day charts for both Stamp and Gox and see prices about the same as they were a week and a half ago with a range of about 780-900 at Stamp and 880-1000 at Gox.

Meanwhile, we're at almost the exact same price as at this time yesterday.

The real question is why the price has been so stagnant. My guess is that everyone's waiting for the end of the month before deciding what China's reaction will be to their government's meddling. If the Bad News Bears are right, then we might see plummeting prices, otherwise the bullishness should start the choochoo running again.

We'll see.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
January 17, 2014, 08:27:22 PM
#21
* Syke goes to register on CampBX...
sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
January 17, 2014, 08:12:44 PM
#20
Wouldn't they the FBI auction the Bitcoins off? Isn't auctioning how they liquidate most confiscated items that are not illegal? I doubt the FBI is going to register on Campbx and just say, "Fuck it lets market sell this shit.".
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1003
January 17, 2014, 07:47:50 PM
#19
Because I'm about to buy.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
January 17, 2014, 07:46:29 PM
#18
FBI will likely be selling $25M of coins sometime soon.

Ya but I think it will rally when they go for more than spot. 25M order elsewhere would incur incredible slippage so the price should reflect that.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Stand on the shoulders of giants
January 17, 2014, 04:46:40 PM
#17
because some people honestly think FBI would transfer coins to a magic the gathering online exchange in japan for a sell

ROFL'd

If they don't trust gox they could also use slovenian stamp, russian btc-e or chinese huobi. Still not convincing? Just ask Keiser to buy them....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1bDMfRfsrw 1:20 - 1:55 Cheesy

CitY of London really needs all bitcoin people generation ...

http://www.cityam.com/article/1389920882/uk-banks-risk-financial-meltdown-if-long-term-it-crisis-remains-unresolved

Btw-> the (Secret) City of London, Part 1: History " :-/ ';' Smiley " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LrObZ_HZZUc
member
Activity: 102
Merit: 13
How do I change an avatar?
January 17, 2014, 04:24:56 PM
#16
because some people honestly think FBI would transfer coins to a magic the gathering online exchange in japan for a sell

ROFL'd

If they don't trust gox they could also use slovenian stamp, russian btc-e or chinese huobi. Still not convincing? Just ask Keiser to buy them....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1bDMfRfsrw 1:20 - 1:55 Cheesy
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Stand on the shoulders of giants
January 17, 2014, 04:21:35 PM
#15
intro from the temple of misleading infowar ... ( while reading a book Statistically Sound Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading of Financial ...) and 2nd friday's beer Wink

Space Ghost Coast to Coast promo
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q1yQ8zRnnhI

 Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
January 17, 2014, 04:15:19 PM
#14
No, it's a normal market movement at this stage. But with this low volume it takes too long for my taste.

The downtrend will accelerate. This is only the beginning.

Hope many of you took money off the table.
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