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Topic: Do you believe Technical Analysis? - page 9. (Read 1272 times)

hero member
Activity: 2828
Merit: 767
September 27, 2023, 04:38:01 PM
#11
Everyone knows that we can learn from the past to correct mistakes.
As a result, many economists attempt to predict the future through history.

We also have a known fact from the past.
The "Bitcoin halving" is correlated with price increases.

I'd like to pose a new question here.
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?

When asked this question to many professors and investors, a common response is, "Candlesticks reflect the psychology of investors."

What are your thoughts on this matter?

- Past charts are really that a worth thing to be checked on on which it would really be giving out that kind of idea on how it did behave in the past. Patterns could be formed but doesnt mean
that it would be a solid thing that it could happen in the future but making it as a reference then it wont really be that a bad idea.

-Psychology or not, it doesnt matter but the main thing that should be having in mind is that using up these technicals are really that relevant or something that significant
specially if you are dealing on a market on which it is really just that too unpredictable and random.

We cant really be just having always that news and sentiments around which we could really be able to make use and this is why we do heavily
rely with these indicators on which been mainly used on the time we do engage within this market.
hero member
Activity: 1134
Merit: 502
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
September 27, 2023, 03:47:05 PM
#10
Yes, I believe technical analysis as a good guessing tool, but not as an accurate and true opinion. This is the beauty of trading, if you could calculate something exactly, everyone would be millionaires, but this is not possible, so perhaps it is worth studying technical analysis but not relying on it as truth. This is not mathematics or physics, this is not an exact science
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 669
September 27, 2023, 03:44:11 PM
#9
When asked this question to many professors and investors, a common response is, "Candlesticks reflect the psychology of investors."

What are your thoughts on this matter?

Their predictions might be right but the fact that the market is generally unpredictable makes it a reason to have some doubts in such predictions. This has to do with psychology of how you view the market and believe it’ll turn out to be if it goes in some certain directions as related to what has happened in the past history. I have no much objections to those professors or investors because most often a replicant of the past always occur as in the case of halving that is also coming up.

Halving results to price increase and this has been tested and proved in 3 different halvings, this time around every bitcoin enthusiast believes it won’t be an exception either. Base on statistical analysis of past halvings is what makes it easy for people to predict the next all-time high of bitcoin after halving.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 294
September 27, 2023, 02:26:00 PM
#8
What are your thoughts on this matter?
I believe it, because it is one of my references for making decisions. In essence, the answer depends on how long you want to invest. Whether for long term or short term. If you want to swing trade, you definitely need to use technical analysis with a daily/weekly time range.

However, if you want long-term investment, definitely use fundamental analysis. Looking at the history of Bitcoin halvings is important. How do prices move each year? In conclusion, there is no correct and most appropriate analysis, both fundamental and technical. My suggestion is to use both. If you look at the candles that have formed + the indicators are easy to read, to see the future is still dark, you need strong news to monitor the rise/fall in prices.
hero member
Activity: 1792
Merit: 871
Rollbit.com ⚔️Crypto Futures
September 27, 2023, 01:29:04 PM
#7
Everyone knows that we can learn from the past to correct mistakes.
As a result, many economists attempt to predict the future through history
We also have a known fact from the past.
The "Bitcoin halving" is correlated with price increases.
As much as we want to draw this connection to price increases, unfortunately numbers say price only responds a year later or something which means the correlation lacks concrete evidence. I understand that the Bitcoin halving isn't like dropping a rock in the water and seeing the ripple effect immediately..it does take time..

For detailed analysis see this thread https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/comparing-bitcoin-halvings-2012-to-2020-and-now-looking-ahead-to-2024-5375808

I'd like to pose a new question here.
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?
Technical analysis does make use of past data, which makes is a reliable tool to predict the direction price will be taking... especially that momentum/volume is out there for everyone to see.

Besides candles on a chart tell a story of what's happening in the markets before we even connect the dots, anybody dumping, or buying big can't hide this from our chart's as all orders show up on the charts the second a buy or sell is triggered.

When asked this question to many professors and investors, a common response is, "Candlesticks reflect the psychology of investors."

What are your thoughts on this matter?
That's a new one for me... especially that psychology was used to describe the candles,it's definitely a professors definition but thinking about it, it does make sense as candlesticks do give out their bias(overall direction)..

legendary
Activity: 2058
Merit: 1315
September 27, 2023, 01:00:51 PM
#6
Id say I believe it as a guide or an acess of potential market overflow but it is not an accurate method to accomplish guaranteed risk free trading cause even though weve seen indicators we often see some output on the otherside of the technical charts. I am more on bullish on news or general output of the community. The chart plot can lie to us in every bit we dont see it working. Does any trader with perfect knowledge on trading escape a loss? I doubt there are rare or maybe close to none.
mk4
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 3817
🪸 NotYourKeys.org 🪸
September 27, 2023, 12:47:46 PM
#5
I do believe that there are some technical indicators that can make you think "huh, people are extra bullish/bearish on this certain cryptocurrency/asset". But there's no single TA that would make you think "huh, this will 100% for sure go up/down".

TA should only be used to skew odds by a few percentage points. Not something that would make something guaranteed to move a certain way.
full member
Activity: 476
Merit: 212
Tontogether | Save Smart & Win Big
September 27, 2023, 12:36:35 PM
#4
-snip-
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?
There is no prediction that is 100% accurate, so the results of technical analysis will be subjective depending on how traders interpret price history which they then process into an entry signal. Actually, it is not a matter of trust but of possibility, in fact traders are very flexible to change the type of analysis used if it is not profitable enough.

I have been in trading for a long time and traded in forex, option, stock and crypto market. From my experience i can say that technical analysis will work in crypto as long as there isn't any new events in action. Any negative or positive news about the market can prove a TA totally wrong. This is the reason i try not to trade when there is any upcoming news events or the market is volatile due to any ongoing news events.
sr. member
Activity: 1246
Merit: 356
September 27, 2023, 11:37:25 AM
#3
I'd like to pose a new question here.
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?
It is what we called fractal. But I didn't rely on that when I trade because investors are not the same person as before that cause that price pattern.

But there are some point in the chart that we can trust that the price will go in that way after a specific event such as Bitcoin halving. When the Bitcoin halving occur the price of Bitcoin will gradually increases afterwards and then explode.

I don't really know the exact reason behind that but maybe there are lot of investors who waited for that which can cause the price to increase so high.
hero member
Activity: 1764
Merit: 694
[Nope]No hype delivers more than hope
September 27, 2023, 04:58:30 AM
#2
-snip-
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?
There is no prediction that is 100% accurate, so the results of technical analysis will be subjective depending on how traders interpret price history which they then process into an entry signal. Actually, it is not a matter of trust but of possibility, in fact traders are very flexible to change the type of analysis used if it is not profitable enough.
newbie
Activity: 10
Merit: 0
September 27, 2023, 03:41:19 AM
#1
Everyone knows that we can learn from the past to correct mistakes.
As a result, many economists attempt to predict the future through history.

We also have a known fact from the past.
The "Bitcoin halving" is correlated with price increases.

I'd like to pose a new question here.
What are your thoughts on using past charts(candlesticks) that similar current ongoing charts(candlesticks) to make price predictions?

When asked this question to many professors and investors, a common response is, "Candlesticks reflect the psychology of investors."

What are your thoughts on this matter?
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