When the US election results are known, let's say Donald Trump wins this election, the possibility of demand will increase even more considering that I know Trump is very pro-bitcoin, so this could affect the price of bitcoin for the next 3 months, it could be $100K will be easy.
The middle east war could also affect the price of bitcoin... Some people believe the Israeli war and others have caused the bitcoin price to be stuck, honestly not sure about this but sentiment is always related to it if there is a decline.
The war in the middle east is indeed becoming widespread, this escalation really gives fear to many investors to make purchases, the thing that needs to be utilized in such a situation is to buy, because I am quite sure that many people who are afraid are waiting for the war to subside then they buy and after that bitcoin has increased, so I think this scenario can be read in every bitcoin situation that makes the price stagnate.
If Trump wins but doesn't keep his promises, what happens to bitcoin? I wouldn't rule this out even though I'm his supporter. I also believe that if he gets elected, it will create immediate hype in the market but I don't think that will be enough to make bitcoin and the market explode. We need more catalysts and things will really explode if and only if he makes a statement regarding bitcoin after taking office as president. Only then can the market be sure that he has really changed his mind and is a real pro-bitcoin president, not just making empty promises.
I agree with BABY SHOES, I also don't think the war in the Middle East has a significant impact on bitcoin, it's all about our psychology.