No, the average stock trader is as ignorant as the average altcoin trader. Bell curve distribution... and sadly I would have to bet the altcoin traders are actually a much smarter lot considering how much you have to know to even buy them.
That probably explains the current mad level of the stockmarket then
(Notwithstanding current correction in progress).
Your formula looks interesting. Will have to digest that.
I wish... Stock market currently is perfect correlation with Quantitative Easing, rigged game. I rather prefer dumb money rallies over galactic scale theft by the oligarchy. But that is off topic.
My calculation above was on the fly and missing a few things but to simplify, say i take
$1,000
And today i want me some coinye.
Really only practical way of buying it is swap for
0.8 btc
And .8 btc will buy me like what, 12 billion coinye? Doesn't matter really.
First rake is exchange $/btc
X number of btc will be bought and then sold for altcoins
So X/ 1 million altcoins bought vs
X/ 1 billion altcoins bought vs
X/ 1 trillion altcoins bought.
Assuming all altcoins have the same intrinsic value then btc value of all coins approaches zero as altcoin production reaches infinity.
Pretty simple really.
Edit- if you wanted to actually ballpark this you could just take 100% of-daily bitcoin trading volume and use that for x. Would not be literally accurate but you could watch the devaluation of clone coins accordingly. Its kind of self predictive though so im not sure it is worth the effort.