again
i was going via the scenario of starting in 2021
these days(late 2023). id know the value-premium window(mining low high) the market speculates between, is not $10k-$70k window anymore
its more like $20k-$170k potential
so the $150 max weekly investment would look like
$170k pay $0
$160k pay $10
$150k pay $20
$140k pay $30
$130k pay $40
$120k pay $50
$110k pay $60
$100k pay $70
$90k pay $80
$80k pay $90
$70k pay $100
$60k pay $110
$50k pay $120
$40k pay $130
$30k pay $140
$20k pay $150
Even though I don't completely agree with you, for the reasons stated in my earlier post, but I do recognize that you are seeming to try to work within the parameters of the scenario that was given to you, but I also like to consider where the person is in his/her bitcoin accumulation journey, which is the reason that I would not go to zero prior to reaching some meaningful goals, which might take a newbie 5-10 years or more to reach.. and even longer if they are limiting their DCA budget amounts by so much.
remember the main rule of the game
buy low sell high
I am assuming long term investments, so I am not thinking about selling.. until perhaps much after the buys have been made.. maybe even 10-20 years later, and surely the more that a portfolio is in profits, then the more liberties that there are to sell.. presuming that the BTC accumulation targets had been reached.
I also find it problematic to sell BTC in order to accumulate more... which I believe I already touched upon as much as would be necessary for this line of discussion.
people need to set a goal for when to sell.. which (in 2021 scenario) would be small amounts above $70k incrementing to sell more sats the higher it goes
If someone has been in BTC for less than a whole cycle, then maybe it is too soon to be setting goals (targets) to sell BTC, and there are plenty of people who have been in BTC for closer to a couple of cycles and still have not sold any BTC, even though the position of their BTC portfolio can start to inform them where they are at and whether it is practical, prudent and even necessary to have selling as part of the strategy, which I would think that selling only starts to make sense when the BTC accumulation targets have already been met and/or exceeded.. and yeah, maybe this is getting a bit abstract if we don't attempt to apply it to any specific example.. but I have come to question selling strategies in the period of less than a cycle especially for newbies, and surely if someone comes to bitcoin and they already have $100k invested in various assets, and they decide to invest $20k into bitcoin, that person might be in a different position than someone who is DCAing with relatively small amounts over many years.. which is more the topic (or the kinds of examples for this thread).
i know the IDEA of DCA is for total newbies that know nothing should just throw money at a asset forever without thought or concern endlessly.. but reality of investing.. investors should know atleast something about the market they are getting in to ensure they are not buying high and end up having a real world emergency to sell low
Creation and maintenance of a cashflow (or expenses) to cover at least 6 months plus emergencies is a separate question, and more important for newbies as compared with someone who has many different investments in which s/he would be able to draw from if there were emergencies. Otherwise, yes, DCA in its more pure forum is a somewhat blind and long term investment strategy that continues to buy no matter the price based on budgetary considerations and also maybe until a point of reaching a certain amount of investment into the asset, which could take a whole hell of a lot of time to build an investment portfolio (whether BTC only and/or with other assets) in which it would be justifiable to alter the strategy of strict DCA.
Of course, anyone can learn along the way and to tailor their DCA approach, but I am not going to just assume away that they are learning about an asset merely because they had been DCAing into it, even if the fact that people invest will likely cause them to pay more attention to the asset, but they might not pay enough attention in order to really get to understand it in any kind of way that would justify that they deviate from a more strict DCA approach.
i know the idea of just a standing order set fixed amount per month is like a set monthly pension deposit. but smart investors review their pensions and do change plans mid flow (thats what pension/portfolio managers do)
There are some kinds of benefits (something like pensions) that are not individually manageable, so usually the individual cannot be changing those around. But something like a 401k or some other retirement benefits might have more options, abilities to select assets and even some of them will have varying terms with some of the assets having low to no fees and others having fees (I guess management fees)... and so a person could DCA into a 401k or an account like that, but they usually cannot DCA into a pension because pensions are based on various aspects that involve wages, time in service, time in grade and maybe some other ways to figure out what the benefits might be at the time that a person might be able to draw from them.. .and maybe sometimes they can transfer their pension to another employer or even more easily to transfer a 401k.. Pensions are way less common these days than they were before the 90s, since in the 90s a lot of 401k plans were either supplementing or even in cases completely replacing pensions.. to the extent that any employees get any of these kinds of benefits in some lower income locations..