It will take some time for the supply cut to take effect
This "supply cut", as I already pointed out often here, is less than 2% of the daily supply on "real" exchanges, and even much less (around 0,3-0,5%) if you count the Chinese zero-fee exchanges.
I don't discard that it can have an effect in some situations. For example, if the market stays bullish, the price would certainly go up a little bit steeper than before the halving. Instead of going up 3 percent per day it will gain 3,5 percent, perhaps.
But in all other situations (a weak bull market, sideways market or bear market) I expect that the small supply cut won't have any effects at all. Every day the supply/demand changes are more important than these 0,5 or 2 percent. And at some point there will be many sellers because some big players will take their profits with them. We're still not really a currency, that's the problem.
