I think you are too focused on what's directly in front of you to make a good decision.
You are seeing it as a horse race with winners and losers when in the current setup, it's impossible to say what will happen other than you can expect smashdowns when the price gets too uppity on one or another crypto. So the only real way to win at this game currently is to do research until your heart is convinced, invest the money you can afford to lose, and forget about it for 5 years.
Trying to discuss price action in this market, with the players who are in currently in control, is like trying to find a black cat that doesn't exist in a dim room while not being able to see.
Until the breakthrough Dapp happens and the masses start pouring into crypto, the crypto scene as it currently is will continue until further notice (all the while govs and corps are working away furiously at their own creations.)