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Topic: Economic consequences of Russian-Ukraine War (Read 222 times)

member
Activity: 700
Merit: 14
The Russia-Ukraine conflict has many consequences, leading to sanctions, creating many risks for the global economy, and disturbing financial markets.  Rising energy prices hurt consumers, a full-blown energy crisis could lead to a global recession.
member
Activity: 318
Merit: 10
Indeed, many underestimated the place of Russia in the mechanism of the world economy, and this is very bad. Russia was very well prepared for the war and its consequences, but the West and the United States did not work out the levers of pressure very well. Of course the rejection of Russian oil and gas will hit its economy very hard, but many Western countries will not survive this!
It is hardly worth agreeing with this. Everyone believed in the power of Russia so much that in Russia they themselves believed in their exclusivity, and therefore, in the end, they decided that they could not give a damn about any norms of public order.
How Russia prepared for the war against Ukraine, we can already see by how catastrophic damage in manpower and equipment it suffers from the Armed Forces of Ukraine and its people. Already, Putin and his entourage have given up on capturing all of Ukraine and have withdrawn their unfinished troops from the center and north of this country. Now they are trying to expand the occupation in the east of Ukraine and keep the land corridor to the previously occupied Crimean peninsula. But Putin is unlikely to succeed in this either. In a few weeks it will be possible to verify this.
The catastrophic consequences for Russia in this war of conquest are still ahead, and they have already begun to understand this.

This is not a war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a military operation and it has certain goals and objectives. And why should the troops enter Kyiv if this is not planned? If European countries supply weapons to Ukraine, this war will not end.
full member
Activity: 2142
Merit: 183
Indeed, many underestimated the place of Russia in the mechanism of the world economy, and this is very bad. Russia was very well prepared for the war and its consequences, but the West and the United States did not work out the levers of pressure very well. Of course the rejection of Russian oil and gas will hit its economy very hard, but many Western countries will not survive this!
It is hardly worth agreeing with this. Everyone believed in the power of Russia so much that in Russia they themselves believed in their exclusivity, and therefore, in the end, they decided that they could not give a damn about any norms of public order.
How Russia prepared for the war against Ukraine, we can already see by how catastrophic damage in manpower and equipment it suffers from the Armed Forces of Ukraine and its people. Already, Putin and his entourage have given up on capturing all of Ukraine and have withdrawn their unfinished troops from the center and north of this country. Now they are trying to expand the occupation in the east of Ukraine and keep the land corridor to the previously occupied Crimean peninsula. But Putin is unlikely to succeed in this either. In a few weeks it will be possible to verify this.
The catastrophic consequences for Russia in this war of conquest are still ahead, and they have already begun to understand this.
sr. member
Activity: 2436
Merit: 455
This conflict between Russia and Ukraine really has a lot of consequences. And countries all over the world felt that the moment the invasion became more serious and the sanctions imposed grew larger in number and heavier. During the early times of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the prices of oil in the market evidently sky-rocketed due to limited sources because of the sanctions. As Russia holds a large supply of oil, which resulted to oil-price hike that nearly or even surpassed the original amoun prior the war.

This alone, has brought so many repercussions and affected so many people all around the globe. The moment the oil price increased, other goods and services also followed. The increase in transportation fee due to sudden increase of price of oil triggers the increase of pice of goods and commodities as well because it uses transportation to import and export in travelling the goods.

Right now, here in our country, the price of oil is slowly decreasing. Although it's still not considered to be back to normal pricing as before, but it's still better compared to almost before which is so damn high for a liter. Hopefully, this will continue so that the average and lower class could get by and survive the daily basis.
newbie
Activity: 16
Merit: 0
Gun vs. Butter: The World Will Never Be the Same #Russia Vs Ukraine War


Although the war is going on between Russia and Ukraine, its impact will be unprecedented on the whole world in the near future.

Let me explain why.


Government spending of finite resources is allocated between guns (defense) and butter (civilian goods).



In imperial times, government (Empire) spending on defense was 70%, but before this war, the average spending of world nations on defense was 6%, which means they have been spending more on civilian goods in opposition to defense from imperial times.

That shows that world nations have been focusing more on the welfare of society at large and trying to have peaceful relationships with other nations, so they do not need to spend more on defense.

Suddenly, due to the possibility of war and concerns that war could happen in the near future, As a result, certain governments have increased their spending on defense significantly and will likely increase it in the future.


This will cause governments to spend less on civil goods, such as the global health infrastructure initiative, combating global warming, hunger, education, and so on.

I would like to conclude with a great man's saying, "War is always a failure. It means we've failed in diplomacy and we've failed in talking to one another."
full member
Activity: 616
Merit: 100
Indeed, many underestimated the place of Russia in the mechanism of the world economy, and this is very bad. Russia was very well prepared for the war and its consequences, but the West and the United States did not work out the levers of pressure very well. Of course the rejection of Russian oil and gas will hit its economy very hard, but many Western countries will not survive this!
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1775
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I used to think that The Lord of the Rings was just a fairy tale. 

I thought absolute evil didn't exist.  I thought Melkor, Sauron, Balrogs, Trolls were just fiction.  Now I know for sure that absolute evil exists.  Evil has its physical embodiment, but its main forces operate on the mental plane.  Evil captures the souls of people.  It feeds on people's emotions, their fears and hatred.  Evil spreads very quickly and can easily spread to other countries, to the people living in them. 

Therefore, one must be very careful not to let evil into one's soul.  We still cannot estimate the extent of the catastrophe that happened (including the economic consequences of what happened). 

The global economy has been hit very hard.  However, everything will depend on the further development of the situation. 

It is still very difficult to predict what will happen to the world economy in a year (two, three).
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1864
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what other economic consequences do you think this war can have on the global economy.
Source:
my country is currently affected by the Russia-Ukraine war...

During this time my country routinely buys oil from Russia but a few days ago Greenpeace boycotted our country's oil carriers and caused a shortage of oil in our country, now the price of oil in my country has increased by 25%, if this condition continues, it is possible that prices will even rise, basic needs here will also increase by 20% - 30%.

I agree. Like any transitional process, changes in the market very often lead to rising prices, increased demand, and hysteria. But.. This is a temporary process. The modern oil and gas industry extracts and supplies to the market quite sufficient quantities of this raw material. The only question is the construction of logistics routes. And this is a matter of several years. But in the end, you will get a balanced, competitive, high-quality market with adequate suppliers, without economic terrorists. Plus, your conscience will be clear that your money does not go to the killing of children, violence, terror of civilians in other countries, by the supplier's army.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1775
what other economic consequences do you think this war can have on the global economy.
conflict always brings bad effects globally, especially the war Russia vs. Ukraine, which I know of the consequences that could have a large enough impact on the economy could tear up the economy as a whole/globally.

For example: that I know.
• In terms of oil and gas skyrocketing against the invasion of Russia and Ukraine.
• foreign investors or companies have left Russia and Ukraine, 80% of them have left the country.
As we know (Brent North Sea) crude oil and fossils of these two natural resources are in great need by the international.
• On the other hand, the Netherlands also complained about the high gas price.
• In terms of food and agriculture, the economy is crashing.
• Many stock markets, which operate in the country, are closed, resulting in a worse economic impact.
• slow economic development in all sectors.

That's what I know of the consequences for the global economy that has deteriorated since the outbreak of the Russia vs. war. Ukraine.
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1023
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...
what other economic consequences do you think this war can have on the global economy.
Source:
my country is currently affected by the Russia-Ukraine war...

During this time my country routinely buys oil from Russia but a few days ago Greenpeace boycotted our country's oil carriers and caused a shortage of oil in our country, now the price of oil in my country has increased by 25%, if this condition continues, it is possible that prices will even rise, basic needs here will also increase by 20% - 30%.

It doesn't just affect your country, I think we're all going through our worst days. Gasoline prices increase, leading to most other essential commodities also racing to increase prices and we are paying 10% -15% higher than before.

If this war does not stop and the bans will cut off Russia's oil supply to the world then the production lines will also be discontinued, I think we will have to pay a much higher price than the current price.
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1181
Considering how economical crisis is basically not even a crisis anymore and the regular part of our lives, I have to say it is not really that much of a big deal at all. It is quite good and I am pretty sure that it is not going to be that weird. Obviously, it is bad, obviously it is not as good as it can be, but when has it ever been?

We are living in terrible financial situations like at least once every decade and that usually means that it happens for a year and over, this time it took more than two years and it is terrible but nothing new. I am basically accustomed to be living in a terrible financial situation, and feel like this is the new normal now.
We can actually feel the impact of war now where economic problems continue to be a problem that is the main impact because of it. The economic crisis and rising inflation have affected many countries and it may take several years to stabilize.

It's a bad period for the economy, but for people living in poor countries, I don't think it's too much of a problem because they're used to adversity. However, the economy must return to stability so that this bad period can be gradually resolved.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 1165
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Considering how economical crisis is basically not even a crisis anymore and the regular part of our lives, I have to say it is not really that much of a big deal at all. It is quite good and I am pretty sure that it is not going to be that weird. Obviously, it is bad, obviously it is not as good as it can be, but when has it ever been?

We are living in terrible financial situations like at least once every decade and that usually means that it happens for a year and over, this time it took more than two years and it is terrible but nothing new. I am basically accustomed to be living in a terrible financial situation, and feel like this is the new normal now.
legendary
Activity: 3752
Merit: 1864
The ongoing war between the two countries will possess a great consequences on the their economic activities and will have great effect on the global society. Russia-Ukraine war has been seen to be dramatic and rapid, but its global economic consequences will be much slower to materialize and less spectacular time. The Economist intelligence Unit (EIU) clearly analyzed that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will affect the global economy via three main channels: financial sanctions, commodities prices and supply-chain disruptions.

Many countries depended on Russian goods and natural resources. Russia and Ukraine is one of the biggest wheat producers in the world and middle Western countries depended on them. After the war kicks out the price of food spiked in those countries dramatically.

Russian gas can be said as a lifeline of the EU economy. That is the reason most of the EU countries denied putting any sanctions on the energy sectors due to war. Not only that Russia is the best rocket engine producer in the world and the even USA is dependent on that. That is the reason roksome corporation is still out of the sanction list like many other companies in Russia.

Actually, it's not easy to put sanctions on a country like China or Russia. For global trade and manufacturing world needs these two countries county.

A couple of questions:
1. Name the global products, or more correctly, the unique ones that Russia exclusively supplies to the whole world, and on which the whole world depends? Smiley
2. The Russian gas industry in the EU is not a matter of market formation, but of corruption. Spend a couple of dozen hours, study the question of how since the 1990s in the EU, mainly by Germany, France, Italy and several other countries, the Kremlin lobby has been formed, and in fact all conditions have been created for the monopolization of the energy market by Russian suppliers. There is no unique feature other than mass bribery in Russian gas.

legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1160
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We already feel the effect of that war, the oil price has increased drastically and it has affected everything, in fact, in our country, the inflation rate has increased from 3% to 4% just this month, so it really make people struggle especially those who are just earning a salary enough for their basic needs, now it's not anymore enough.
hero member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 537
The ongoing war between the two countries will possess a great consequences on the their economic activities and will have great effect on the global society. Russia-Ukraine war has been seen to be dramatic and rapid, but its global economic consequences will be much slower to materialize and less spectacular time. The Economist intelligence Unit (EIU) clearly analyzed that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will affect the global economy via three main channels: financial sanctions, commodities prices and supply-chain disruptions.

Many countries depended on Russian goods and natural resources. Russia and Ukraine is one of the biggest wheat producers in the world and middle Western countries depended on them. After the war kicks out the price of food spiked in those countries dramatically.

Russian gas can be said as a lifeline of the EU economy. That is the reason most of the EU countries denied putting any sanctions on the energy sectors due to war. Not only that Russia is the best rocket engine producer in the world and the even USA is dependent on that. That is the reason roksome corporation is still out of the sanction list like many other companies in Russia.

Actually, it's not easy to put sanctions on a country like China or Russia. For global trade and manufacturing world needs these two countries county.
sr. member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 368
We already talked about many consequences but still Russia didn’t want to fully stop their operation and will still continue to be on high alert for their own security, many Russian people already experiencing the consequences of this war especially the ordinary people, what other countries can do for now is to condemn Russia even if they are one of the major supplier of important goods. Economic consequences will be a big thing, we should not ignore this because inflation can boom if left unnoticed.
The consequences is already happening, many commodities are now getting more expensive and this is not just between Russia and Ukraine, other countries are also affected. This is a long war that can’t be stop easily even the big countries, and the only way to stop them is to keep on resisting just like what Ukraine did. I hope Russia wont do any major attack again and go for the peace talk, they ruin the whole country and they have to pay for it.
If Ukraine only agreed on the first place this wouldn't happen but they want to see how furious Putin then Ukraine suffer but I do hope this will stop since the Ukrainian president agreed not to make pact with NATO. This should stop and the peace talks will continue but the sanctions isn't gonna stop although I think Putin have a plan about this but he's just too busy to make the economy back again due to sanctioning by different countries.
full member
Activity: 1190
Merit: 212
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The war is, of course, economically devastating, and both countries will suffer heavily from it. The difference is that Russia brought this war upon Ukraine, and Ukraine now must fight if it wants to survive. But yes, of course, the war will have global implications. Oil and gas prices, airspace changes, are things which are already very visible. Another thing I'd add is wheat, because Russia and Ukraine are some of the world's largest suppliers, especially to countries of the developing world. So regional famine is also probably going to happen (it's not just about the prices, but also about a humanitarian tragedy).
world economic will face hard difficulties if this war continue for long time. every commodity price soar uncontroll , especially energy which Rusia be  biggest exporter there. Oil and gas stopped to unfamiliar countries and its trigger inflation in some countries. this war really bring bad impact and need to ended immediately or financial recession may happen.

We already talked about many consequences but still Russia didn’t want to fully stop their operation and will still continue to be on high alert for their own security, many Russian people already experiencing the consequences of this war especially the ordinary people, what other countries can do for now is to condemn Russia even if they are one of the major supplier of important goods. Economic consequences will be a big thing, we should not ignore this because inflation can boom if left unnoticed.
they wont stop till their main purpose achieved, and this moment still far from this. unexpected accidents maybe still could happen in future. UN must take main roles to stop this war.
full member
Activity: 1303
Merit: 128
We already talked about many consequences but still Russia didn’t want to fully stop their operation and will still continue to be on high alert for their own security, many Russian people already experiencing the consequences of this war especially the ordinary people, what other countries can do for now is to condemn Russia even if they are one of the major supplier of important goods. Economic consequences will be a big thing, we should not ignore this because inflation can boom if left unnoticed.
The consequences is already happening, many commodities are now getting more expensive and this is not just between Russia and Ukraine, other countries are also affected. This is a long war that can’t be stop easily even the big countries, and the only way to stop them is to keep on resisting just like what Ukraine did. I hope Russia wont do any major attack again and go for the peace talk, they ruin the whole country and they have to pay for it.
full member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 193
We already talked about many consequences but still Russia didn’t want to fully stop their operation and will still continue to be on high alert for their own security, many Russian people already experiencing the consequences of this war especially the ordinary people, what other countries can do for now is to condemn Russia even if they are one of the major supplier of important goods. Economic consequences will be a big thing, we should not ignore this because inflation can boom if left unnoticed.
full member
Activity: 2128
Merit: 180
The Economic was spoiled all over the world.This is only due to the war between this two country.The war was between the binladen and American,but it was revealed after some years.So their is some reason behind the Russia -Ukraine war.Same was revealed after 4 to 5 years.But we need to short this out.Or else we need to buy a glass of water at 5$,which was a huge economic crisis.
There’s a big reason why Russia attacks Ukraine and world leaders knows this, but then again war is not the best solution to any problem they should talk peacefully. Western sanctions seems not effective for now, USD/RUB is still in favor to Russia but hopefully Russia will soon realize the bad effect of war. Many countries are already suffering because of this conflict, we should all be concern about the situation since we are all affected.
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