Amazing you would throw all your confidence into something that you are incapable of doing due diligence on. DD is a fundamental requirement of value investing.
I don't know yet either if the problem in the OP is widespread or not. I read many threads in the Bitcoin discussion subforum about delayed transactions. And most of the replies appear (on quick glance) to be of the sort, "you dummy, you need to include a transaction fee".
A full client was not run thus have no way of knowing if localbitcoins actually propagated and what transaction fee they included if any.
I do know that the same transaction worked between all the same parties before the recent increase in price. So appears that what changed was not the parties but rather the Bitcoin network! That is a fairly strong circumstantial evidence. However, circumstantial evidence is not proof.
As for people rebutting me for example on the Transactions Withholding Attack, no one has. Only JoelKatz was knowledgeable enough (an actual developer) and he conceded.
The rebuttals from non-developers are basically useless, they don't have enough technical knowledge and thus they have holes in their analysis.
I may have holes in my analysis and it will require a developer to debate it with me. So far, I have posted all the counter-balancing caveats I am aware of.
Are you saying that only computer scientists are capable of doing due diligence on bitcoin? I have read the opinions of many other computer scientists, and that is good enough for me. You are an extremely arrogant person who thinks you are smarter than everyone else. Maybe that is true, but your attitude is not conducive to making people listen to you. I do not care about your personality, but I am watching your debates with other computer scientists, and until you can convince some of them, I am skeptical of your extreme pessimism. But I am open-minded, and I wish you success with the development of your altcoin.
No. I think computer scientists are also not capable of doing due diligence on bitcoin. Only an economist who is also a computer scientist can. I believe I have that rare combination (MoonShadow would of course pounce on this and try to attack my credibility as an economist, and I will let my posts on economics stand on their merits for each reader to judge).
Do you really think Bitards would listen to me even if I tried my best to sugar coat what they don't want to hear?
I believe that judgment of arrogance is for the most part "this is the only guy telling us what we don't want to hear, thus he must be arrogant".
I state what I believe to be correct. I correct myself when I am shown to be wrong. Like any human I am fallible and not omniscient. For example, look at this
mistake I made last week. See the
overall discussion.
What I don't appreciate is
arrogant novices who litter me with nonsense arguments (argumentation by ignorance = filibuster) because they don't have the capability to comprehend, yet they think they do. This is the Dunning-Kruger effect. I don't have this problem usually with a knowledgeable developer such as JoelKatz because of the
objective difference between objectivity and subjectivity. I would think they would appreciate the DD I am doing for them, and appreciate the opportunity to weigh all arguments. Instead they are so emotionally and financially fixated on the Bitcoin dream, they will aggressively resist any counter-balancing DD.
I am not referring to you. I am thinking more of some of the posts in Transactions Withholding Attack thread or some of the posts I deleted from the ponzi-bubble thread. You did not go on and on asserting your certainty without a logical argument or argument by ignorant filibuster.