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Topic: ETH BTC: correlation is decreasing (Read 341 times)

hero member
Activity: 826
Merit: 501
2local[IEO] - https://2local.io/
January 09, 2019, 12:17:41 AM
#27
The fact is that the prices of BTC and ETH are closely related. As long as there is a change in the market, they almost all rise or fall at the same time.
hero member
Activity: 1274
Merit: 516
January 08, 2019, 11:37:12 PM
#26
I dont think alt coin cant 100% broke free from bitcoin afterall the main trade coin for alt coin is bitcoin, its true that it may seems like the correlation between eth and btc are decreasing, this is because eth already being used as the coin to trade other alt coin, but it just a small part, bitcoin still dominating as the main coin to trade
full member
Activity: 566
Merit: 113
January 08, 2019, 06:06:56 PM
#25
The dominance of bitcoin has to reduce over altcoins in general and not only ethereum, if not totally removed. Which is a good development.
If ethereum is able to achieve this, then other altcoin will like escape the over reliance on bitcoin.

You are drunk mate, how can alternative coin stand by its own foot without Bitcoin helping them? did you forget that this coin exists due to Bitcoin and just for Bitcoin itself.
there is no way, they can do this alone and creating their own value. Cryptocurrency value depends on speculation.

An interesting site (your link). As I see it, ETH correlation decreased a few times in the past months, and even went to negative amounts, but every time it eventually returned to near 1.0 numbers.

The correlation between BTC and alts is very complicated IMHO, and it used to be different in the old times. Nowadays most of the alts seem to be closely related to BTC, and it has heavily damaged us altcoin hodlers when BTC is so bearish.

Yeah, that site, enroyd.com, is really interesting. Actually I found it via this blog article: https://captainaltcoin.com/xrp-and-btc-decoupling-time-is-still-a-pipe-dream/  Their analysis is focused on XRP, but it could be applied to ETH perfectly.

We can not compare A to B when B has something to do in the future. Like ETH right now,
in a couple weeks later, it will get hardfork. If we are looking at our history, the pattern will break once any project faces this event. Just like Bitcoin Cash, this project got pumped so heavily because of the hardfork, and its price moved out of the pattern. But, look at it now.
everything has their own agenda, but do not forget that they will eventually be back to its own place after finishing their own agenda. An alternative coin will remain as an alternative coin, nothing will change.
member
Activity: 485
Merit: 12
$WPP $HyFi https://hyfi-corp.com/
January 08, 2019, 05:56:29 PM
#24
There is still strong correlation between BTC and other coins, including ETH. This year in January ETH was 10% of the price of the BTC.
ETH has lost a lot from it`s market share in 2018 and now with the coming development upgrades it is normal that ETH recovers faster
than the rest of the market and regaining back some market share.
newbie
Activity: 37
Merit: 0
January 08, 2019, 05:33:58 PM
#23
An interesting site (your link). As I see it, ETH correlation decreased a few times in the past months, and even went to negative amounts, but every time it eventually returned to near 1.0 numbers.

The correlation between BTC and alts is very complicated IMHO, and it used to be different in the old times. Nowadays most of the alts seem to be closely related to BTC, and it has heavily damaged us altcoin hodlers when BTC is so bearish.

Yeah, that site, enroyd.com, is really interesting. Actually I found it via this blog article: https://captainaltcoin.com/xrp-and-btc-decoupling-time-is-still-a-pipe-dream/  Their analysis is focused on XRP, but it could be applied to ETH perfectly.
member
Activity: 280
Merit: 11
January 08, 2019, 04:44:17 PM
#22
The dominance of bitcoin has to reduce over altcoins in general and not only ethereum, if not totally removed. Which is a good development.
If ethereum is able to achieve this, then other altcoin will like escape the over reliance on bitcoin.
full member
Activity: 287
Merit: 102
January 08, 2019, 04:02:35 PM
#21
hi there,

it would seem that the correlation coefficient between ETH and BTC has been decreasing:
https://enroyd.com/ETH_Correlations/

Would a constant correlation coefficient around 0 indicate that Ether's price no longer depends on BTC? Are there any Stats experts here in the forum?

Thanks!


In fact not only BTC influences on ETH. Also ETH influences on BTC too. ETH is second cap crypto. So the success of each other will lead to success the another one. Of course with some delay.
copper member
Activity: 206
Merit: 1
January 08, 2019, 03:26:26 PM
#20
Generally speaking the price of all altcoins depend on that of BTC. Recently the uptrend in ETH price showed something contrary, even when BTC price was somehow on the downside,  but that is probably because of the very great Constantinople update. Many people are actually waiting for the hardfork to take place.
legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
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January 08, 2019, 03:11:54 PM
#19
There were days when Bitcoin rose and altcoins rose.
There were days when Bitcoin was falling and altcoins rose.
There were days when Bitcoin rose and altcoins were falling.
There were days when Bitcoin was falling and altcoins were falling.

In 2018 all were falling and I see that somebody finally found some rules in something that doesn't really have rules.


Shortly: Sorry, but there never was a correlation between them...
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1036
January 08, 2019, 12:00:08 PM
#18
it would seem that the correlation coefficient between ETH and BTC has been decreasing:
https://enroyd.com/ETH_Correlations/

Would a constant correlation coefficient around 0 indicate that Ether's price no longer depends on BTC? Are there any Stats experts here in the forum?
Ethereum has been making a name for itself for years now and trying to find a way to get it directly instead of buying bitcoin and using bitcoin to buy ethereum. Right now, you can buy ethereum directly without ever having a single satoshi of bitcoin. That allowed ethereum to become big in itself without having a connection to bitcoin. This caused the prices to be a bit separate as well.

With this new upcoming hard fork for example people started to buy ethereum because they believe this hard fork will allow them to carry on better with ethereum, while bitcoin is going up and down a bit and changing places constantly, ethereum was capable of increasing almost double of what it used to be. That is why we can clearly say in normal days ethereum is not really connected to bitcoin anymore. Of course during a bull or bear market where EVERYTHING goes up or down, they still move together as expected.
member
Activity: 392
Merit: 10
January 08, 2019, 03:49:34 AM
#17
I am sure that the price of ether in the future will not depend on the rate of bitcoin. Different blockchains and different work of teams. Bitcoin has long been in free floating and is just a speculative tool. ETH improves its functionality and provides fast and cheap transactions. In the near future we will not see bitcoin.
member
Activity: 294
Merit: 10
★YoBit.Net★ 1400+ Coins Exchange
January 07, 2019, 10:00:37 AM
#16
I think that correlation is still there but it is the fundamental news and upgrades that is pushing eth upwards and more bulls are expected towards the mid of this month looks like eth will lead the market this time around and btc alongwith alts will follow.

And you think it's price correlation in the future, I suppose. And given that it will soon happen, this correlation is essential for this crypto market to work well and become stronger in the future, better development of prices is essential  Grin
hero member
Activity: 2800
Merit: 595
https://www.betcoin.ag
January 07, 2019, 09:56:37 AM
#15
hi there,

it would seem that the correlation coefficient between ETH and BTC has been decreasing:
https://enroyd.com/ETH_Correlations/

Would a constant correlation coefficient around 0 indicate that Ether's price no longer depends on BTC? Are there any Stats experts here in the forum?

Thanks!


Yes. It looks like ETH doesn't depend to BTC now that its price stick to its range while BTC shoots up yesterday. A lot of volume were poured much on BTC than ETH yesterday, it could mean that ETH isn't that lucrative to them but those guys may just be sticking now to BTC because they know its rising.
sr. member
Activity: 812
Merit: 250
January 07, 2019, 09:24:00 AM
#14
what we often see in the market between ETH and BTC they are interdependent in price even though it doesn't exist at all, because between ETH and BTC they have their own prices so there is no dependency.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
January 07, 2019, 09:23:31 AM
#13
hi there,

it would seem that the correlation coefficient between ETH and BTC has been decreasing:
https://enroyd.com/ETH_Correlations/

Would a constant correlation coefficient around 0 indicate that Ether's price no longer depends on BTC? Are there any Stats experts here in the forum?

Thanks!


You need to see the full picture of this correlation changing. We on top as you can see  Cheesy. Nobody free from the grandfather's impact at the moment

hero member
Activity: 886
Merit: 510
January 07, 2019, 09:13:49 AM
#12
An interesting site (your link). As I see it, ETH correlation decreased a few times in the past months, and even went to negative amounts, but every time it eventually returned to near 1.0 numbers.

The correlation between BTC and alts is very complicated IMHO, and it used to be different in the old times. Nowadays most of the alts seem to be closely related to BTC, and it has heavily damaged us altcoin hodlers when BTC is so bearish.
hero member
Activity: 3080
Merit: 603
January 07, 2019, 06:46:20 AM
#11
Don't assume that ethereum's price is no longer depending on bitcoin.

You're thinking too much about that base on what your eyes can see. But when the time again comes that the whole market would plummet, you'll all put the blame to bitcoin because its still on the bear market. This only tells that crypto's are very unpredictable, sometimes they doesn't look correlated.
sr. member
Activity: 1400
Merit: 268
Fully Regulated Crypto Casino
January 07, 2019, 06:33:53 AM
#10
I have been expected this thing since last year I guess, the main factor is that so many exchanges now has been offering ETH pair, and so the traders trade altcoins directly to ETH if they want to buy some ether, they do not need to buy Bitcoin first to get Ethereum. This make ETH price very independent compared to other altcoin that has fewer pairs.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1277
January 07, 2019, 06:22:29 AM
#9
hi there,

it would seem that the correlation coefficient between ETH and BTC has been decreasing:
https://enroyd.com/ETH_Correlations/

Would a constant correlation coefficient around 0 indicate that Ether's price no longer depends on BTC? Are there any Stats experts here in the forum?

Thanks!


It's just the effects of the upcoming hardfork that will going to take place in ETH. For the next months, the ETH might as well go back to be dependent in terms of price to bitcoin who is currently has a huge impact on other cryptocurrency.

I agree 100%. This is extremely likely to just be the effect of the upcoming Constantinople ETH upgrade. I would expect ETH to remain tied to BTC for a long time.
hero member
Activity: 1470
Merit: 655
January 07, 2019, 05:41:58 AM
#8
in the past couple of years that ethereum has been around (3-4 years?) there has never been any "correlation" between price of ETH and price of BTC. some people tried to connect the two together but it has always been more of a fatal attempt.

the only "correlation" you can ever find is this:
- when bitcoin falls all the altcoins including ETH will fall down and they usually fall down harder
- when bitcoin is stable like these days, the traders favor pumpable altcoins more because they can make more money from them.
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