Topic: European Football + Tennis Pick Service ( +Free Picks ) ✅ - page 7. (Read 1834 times)

2w - 1l - 1 push on Saturday

1- European Football Pick Service + Free Football Picks   explained here

4 picks on Saturday and 2 active picks on Sunday already sent by mail

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Berwick - Gretna 2008
🇸🇪GAIS - Landskrona
🇩🇪Augsburg - RB Leipzig
🇹🇷Sivasspor - Fenerbahce

Betting record can be find here:
https://bettin.gs/Damir

Friday Pick lost. Alaves won 1-0.

1- European Football Pick Service + Free Football Picks   explained here

1 Football Pick on Celta Vigo - Alaves

https://bettin.gs/Damir

Hi Damir!

We've just launched a Soccer Predictor Competition over in 'games and rounds'.

You could win bitcoin for your predictions on each week's selected games!

Week 1:

EPL: Chelsea vs Man Utd
EPL: Cardiff vs Fulham
La Liga: Villareal vs Atletico Madrid
La Liga: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe CF
Bundesliga: Schalke vs Werder Bremen
Serie A: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Looking forward to seeing your picks! 

1- European Football Pick Service + Free Football Picks   explained here

14 October Sunday

1 - Football
Nations League
Poland - Italy
both teams to score at 1.97 188bet
Stake: Small

Poland changed their coach after World Cup, reasoning disappointed with only 1 victory in 3 games. I think they did what they could do. Senegal and Colombia was always tricky opponents at this stage. Current coach  Jerzy Brzeczek is also nervous after first 3 games. 1-1 Italy , 1-1 Ireland friendly and 2-3 lost to Portugal. They convert many wing attackt and good quality strikers Lewandowski and top form Piatek at the moment. Elsewhere, Poland have found at least 1 goal at home in last 21 competitive games ( Nations League +  last 2 WC Q +  last 2 Euro Q ) , includes Germany - Denmark-  England.

On negative side, they had to change defenders and they failed to clean sheet in last 7. Only Japan failed to score on the last game of group game in Russia. They finished WC Q group 1st with 8-1-1 record but conceded goal in 4/5 home games. Denmark - Armenia - Romania and Montenegro found the net last year.

Italy is also in a crisis. They failed to qualify World Cup after 60 years. Mancini took charge. They won only 1 game in last 10, only Saudia Arabia victory. They managed to score against England - France - Netherlands - Ukraine on recent friendlies. Even Italy is less trustable, their offensive line should overcome weak Polish defence.

Ireland - Denmark finished 0-0 ✅

Match Preview:
They both finished 2nd on group stage of World Cup than met at final play off to go to World Cup. First meeting ended 0-0 in Denmark while Denmark won second and most important game 5-1 on road and get ticket to World Cup in Russia. Ireland lost first game 4-1 to Wales. They will seek for a revenge of World Cup.

Denmark enjoyed WC in Russia , won Peru and 2 draws with France and Australia. They eliminated at quarter finals to Croatia. All 4 World Cup matches finished under 2.5 goals. Denmark haven't lost a game at group stage in last 2 years. However, they are missing key player today. Tottenham star Eriksen scored 8, assist 3 goals out of 20 Denmark goals at group stage. Simply half of the goals. 10 of last 12 games of Denmark finished under 2.5 goals includes World Cup + Nations League + friendlies. They beaten Wales 2-0 on first game. So, a draw is not a bad result when you miss key player today. Denmark is still favourite but i don't think we will see other results rather than 0-0 , 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 , 0-2.

P/L Record: https://bettin.gs/Damir

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1 Football Pick on Ireland - Denmark today.

Short Note that i will be on a holiday from 17th September to 4th October. I have already informed mail subscribers and extended their period more days. So, there will be no update for a while and no picks. I will come back after 4th October.. Good Luck

1- European Football Pick Service + Free Football Picks   explained here


We didn't had pick on the last 2 days. Major leagues start today. There will be 7-8 picks on today-saturday and sunday

https://bettin.gs/Damir

September 2018 Stats:

15 Picks
12 won
3 lost
ROI: %39
Average Odds: 1.79

Hi, first of all sorry for late reply..

I checked again San Marino - Luxembourg game. Shortly; when i first checked odds it was 1.83.. While i was still looking into game and writing match preview it went up to above 1.90.. I always double checked if odds drifting or not.. Odds were already 1.94 before i sent.. It drifted from 1.83 to 1.94 in 30 minutes and i also shared this pick as a Free at the time of 3rd party verified odds were also above 1.90. It was unusual pattern.. That's why bettin gs system also automatically took it above 1.90.. At all, I  understand your concern and it happens rarely..

yeah I know that odds fluctuate a lot , especially on Syria's last game where odds went for X1.83 Syria ML to X1.68 in just one hour 
but since I'm part of Damir's premium group most likely I received the pick before he posted it here and the odds weren't that high , and since he track for his premium plays I'm 100% sure that he should insert the odds that he got at the time that he sent the pick to his premium subscribers

Actually, I recall checking the odds for this game out of curiosity and it was below 1.9 on all bookies, but that was probably much closer to the game. Good pick in the end, and yet, I call that value at an even handicap. And yeah, OP, you should insert the odds on email or on the actual tip delivered. In fact, inserting the odds with the actual betslip is best, then everybody knows it's clear that you made the pick at the correct odds you bet on.

Odds do fluctuate and as I'm demonstrating on my own thread, even a 1% variance on odds adds up and we don't want skewed stats, now do we?

I noticed that you inserted the last tip odds as X1.94 on your bettin.gs account while when you sent the premium picks on email the odds was X1.83 
was that a mistake or what ? you should insert the odds that you sent to your premium followers or am I wrong ?

Hi, thank you for your comment. I have just read your message after match completed. Well, Luxembourg played very well. I can easily say they are obvious League C level team and deserved. This pick was pure so called ''Value'' at 1.943 odds.


Luxembourg won 3-0

Luxembourg -2 Asian at 1.943 is winner ✅

All last 11 Picks are winner

September 2018 Stats:

15 Picks
12 won
3 lost
ROI: %39
Average Odds: 1.79

Pretty good analysis, and if for any other type of competition, I'd be sure to back Lux against the San Marino minnows too, but results have been slightly weird for me for EUFA nations League. I don't think it's just the bookies struggling, the teams themselves are wondering how to treat this competition - though after the first few games I guess the right mentality will slip in.

I've been seeing really good picks too and 1.9 odds on Lux handicap is really good... but I'm just not sure they have enough firepower in them to not be tempted to sit back after scoring 1 or 2 goals. Good luck!

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1 pick today

UEFA Nations League
San Marino - Luxembourg
Luxembourg -2 Asian at 1.943

I had a pick on Belarus -3 Asian against San Marino 3 days ago. Belarus won that game 5-0. I still believe bookies are desperate to set price in the new format of Nations League. Same category teams meet each other. San Marino is at the bottom of FIFA Ranking on 203th/211 nations while Luxembourg is 85th. San Marino record tells its story, 1 victory- 4 draws and 144 lost in 149 games + scored 23 conceded 654 goals. They lost all last 21 games on the spin, only 3 of them were not more than 1 goal difference 1-0 Lichtenstein 1-0 Azerbaijan 2-1 Lithuania.

I also checked their stats against League D level teams, San Marino is 1w-2d-18 loss in those 21 meetings so far. So, they also have bad record against same category teams. All these stats are enough convincing for me to stay against them, even it is not a surprise.

Luxembourg football is evolving in recent years. Dudelange and Niederkon gained experience at CL and EL qualification stages. 16/23 players abroad include first tier teams like Metz- New York City- Grasshopers- Legia- Norrkoping - Ufa - Mainz. They have beaten Belarus 1-0 , Georgia 1-0 and draws with France and Bulgaria are noticeable. I personally know Olivier Thill who will be new Russian Ufa player this year as well as young Martins and Les Gersons. I expect Luxembourg to score at least 2 goals to cover handicap. San Marino might play aggressive football to gain surprise points. I can also back San Marino to receive +2 cards.

https://bettin.gs/Damir

over 2.5 goals is winner  on Scotland - Albania game

here it is my preview:
Scotland missed World Cup by goal average on their WC Qualification group. But it was better group stage record than their Euro2016 Q performance. Thanks to their home record, they got 11/18 points at home with 3w-2d. 1/4 home games finished under 2.5 goals. They got only 2-2 draw with England to finish over 2.5 goals. It is noticeable that they didn't lose a game at home. They played 6 friendlies after WC Q group stage up to today, 5/6 finished under 2.5 goals. They scored only 1 goal in the last 6 friendlies.

Albania also failed to attent WC , stand behind Spain and Italy. They beaten Lichtenstein, 2 times Israel and Macedonia. Their short trend is losing games against League A teams, tough games against League B-C teams and won their games over League D games.

In this new format of Nations League, teams will meet with their almost same levels. They won their first game over Israel again 1-0 at home. It is important to avoid loss on away against Scotland. There has been 9 games at League C. 7/9 games finished under 2.5 goals. 2 over games were on Slovenia. We can describe that same level teams struggle to show their edge and more importantly they want to avoid concede goal or goals at the beginning.

https://bettin.gs/Damir

1- European Football Pick Service + Free Football Picks   explained here

1 pick active today

September 2018 Record: %34 ROI after 13 Picks in 9 days

Norrby - Frej finished 3-2.

over 2.5 goals at 1.70 winner ✅

September 2018 Record: %34 ROI after 13 Picks in 9 days