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Who will lead in Trump vs. Clinton polling on July 6?
CNN announced yesterday that a new Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42% to 40%, which is a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown. But, at the same time, polling guru Nate Silver said that Donald Trump has just a 20 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton in November and notes that the former first lady has a lead no candidate has blown in a generation.
What is important for Hillary’s supporters is polling data at RealClearPolitics where she has +6.0 or Over lead for the five straight days, though it went down to 5.0% today, after being at 6.8% two days before. So, where will it stop in seven days? Can Hillary keep her lead above 6.0% or even move it over 7.0%, or will Donald start to move it down?
CNN announced yesterday that a new Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42% to 40%, which is a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown. But, at the same time, polling guru Nate Silver said that Donald Trump has just a 20 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton in November and notes that the former first lady has a lead no candidate has blown in a generation.
What is important for Hillary’s supporters is polling data at RealClearPolitics where she has +6.0 or Over lead for the five straight days, though it went down to 5.0% today, after being at 6.8% two days before. So, where will it stop in seven days? Can Hillary keep her lead above 6.0% or even move it over 7.0%, or will Donald start to move it down?
Next Scottish independence referendum result, predict at Fairlay
Immediately following the UK referendum on British membership in the EU, in which a narrow majority of UK voters as a whole voted to leave the EU while a majority of Scottish voters voted to remain, Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland's First Minister, said on that a second referendum on Scottish independence was "highly likely".
If the reason was not clear enough, Sturgeon emphasized that the Scottish Government, the devolved legislature of Scotland, would begin preparing legislation to hold a second Scottish independence referendum to secede from the United Kingdom as a consequence of Britain's vote to leave the European Union.
With referendum happening, it would be second Scottish independence referendum after 2014 when Scotland voted to remain part of the United Kingdom, with 55.3% of the electorate voting against the proposal for Scotland to become an independent state and 44.7% voting in favor of the proposal. So, what would happen second time?
Immediately following the UK referendum on British membership in the EU, in which a narrow majority of UK voters as a whole voted to leave the EU while a majority of Scottish voters voted to remain, Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland's First Minister, said on that a second referendum on Scottish independence was "highly likely".
If the reason was not clear enough, Sturgeon emphasized that the Scottish Government, the devolved legislature of Scotland, would begin preparing legislation to hold a second Scottish independence referendum to secede from the United Kingdom as a consequence of Britain's vote to leave the European Union.
With referendum happening, it would be second Scottish independence referendum after 2014 when Scotland voted to remain part of the United Kingdom, with 55.3% of the electorate voting against the proposal for Scotland to become an independent state and 44.7% voting in favor of the proposal. So, what would happen second time?
When will Article 50 be triggered?
Rarely have 250 words been so important – five short, obscure paragraphs in a European treaty that have suddenly become valuable political currency in the aftermath of Britain’s decision to leave the EU. Those 250 words are part of the Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty which sets out how an EU country might voluntarily leave the union.
The UK prime minister David Cameron had repeatedly said during the campaign that Article 50 would be triggered immediately if Vote Leave were to win the Brexit referendum. Vote Leave won but Article 50 wasn’t triggered.
In fact, in his resignation speech, Cameron made it clear he was in no hurry to push the button. “A negotiation with the European Union will need to begin under a new prime minister and I think it is right that this new prime minister takes the decision about when to trigger article 50 and start the formal and legal process of leaving the EU,” he said.
So, if not Cameron these days, who and when will push the button? It is not sure whether will the UK get the new prime minister before the end of the year, and that opens another question: Will article 50 ever be triggered?
Rarely have 250 words been so important – five short, obscure paragraphs in a European treaty that have suddenly become valuable political currency in the aftermath of Britain’s decision to leave the EU. Those 250 words are part of the Article 50 of the Lisbon treaty which sets out how an EU country might voluntarily leave the union.
The UK prime minister David Cameron had repeatedly said during the campaign that Article 50 would be triggered immediately if Vote Leave were to win the Brexit referendum. Vote Leave won but Article 50 wasn’t triggered.
In fact, in his resignation speech, Cameron made it clear he was in no hurry to push the button. “A negotiation with the European Union will need to begin under a new prime minister and I think it is right that this new prime minister takes the decision about when to trigger article 50 and start the formal and legal process of leaving the EU,” he said.
So, if not Cameron these days, who and when will push the button? It is not sure whether will the UK get the new prime minister before the end of the year, and that opens another question: Will article 50 ever be triggered?
Australian Prime Minister after federal election
Australian federal election will be held on the following Saturday, July 2, and will determine all 226 members of the 45th Parliament of Australia, as well as the next Australian Prime Minister.
The race for the next Australian Prime Minister is between two party leaders: it will be either Liberal leader, and the current Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull or Labor leader Bill Shorten.
At the start of the year, Shorten was given almost no chances, but recently he is by some seen as a surprise winner, though Turnbull is still the first favorite with the chances of around 70%.
Recent survey showed that Australians' trust in politicians hit two-decade low, so could this influence following election, and help Shorten? On the other side, recent polls are still not going in his favor.
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Next UK Prime Minister, Predict at Fairlay
After the UK voted to leave the European Union, Prime Minister David Cameron announced this morning that he will step down by October. He had urged the country to vote Remain but was defeated by 52% to 48%, so Cameron thinks that after this country needs a fresh leadership. And who will that be?
Yes, you surely think of Boris Johnson. Future Prime Minister Boris? His fortunes have soared dramatically as Britons voted to leave the European Union, as he has neatly positioned himself to become a main player in any ensuing Conservative leadership challenge. And exactly that happened today.
After the UK voted to leave the European Union, Prime Minister David Cameron announced this morning that he will step down by October. He had urged the country to vote Remain but was defeated by 52% to 48%, so Cameron thinks that after this country needs a fresh leadership. And who will that be?
Yes, you surely think of Boris Johnson. Future Prime Minister Boris? His fortunes have soared dramatically as Britons voted to leave the European Union, as he has neatly positioned himself to become a main player in any ensuing Conservative leadership challenge. And exactly that happened today.
In this bets , poland vs switzerland match will be tough as both team are very good so score will be less goal and may be draw so under 2.5 is good bet,
wales vs northern ireland match wales is very strong in this match wales is clear win .
croatia vs portugal seeing the portugal last match performance little bit doubt on them so their wont be much goal in this match under 2.5 goal is good bet.
Who will win the 2016 World Chess Championship, Magnus Carlsen or Sergey Karjakin?
By defeating American star Fabiano Caruana, with the help of a brilliant rook sacrifice, Russian Grandmaster Sergey Karjakin has won the FIDE chess candidates tournament in Moscow in March and will face reigning world champion Magnus Carlsen in a title match this November in New York City.
In the 12 round match scheduled between November 11–30, that is is expected to attract a global online and TV audience of more than 1 billion fans, Carlsen will for the second time try to successfully defend his title, after taking title form Viswanathan Anand in 2013, and defending it in November 2014.
As the two Grandmasters will compete for a prize fund of at least 1 million euros, it will also be the first match for the title between such young players as they are both born in 1990. And prior to this match they have played 19 games at classical time control: Carlsen has won three, Karjakin one, and 15 games ended in a draw.
How interesting this match will be is best described by Chess.com analysist who said that it should finally answer the question from the Fischer-Karpov non-encounter: what will prevail, the genius of an individual or the iron grip of the Soviet team? Carlsen is favorite, but can Karjakin prevail?
By defeating American star Fabiano Caruana, with the help of a brilliant rook sacrifice, Russian Grandmaster Sergey Karjakin has won the FIDE chess candidates tournament in Moscow in March and will face reigning world champion Magnus Carlsen in a title match this November in New York City.
In the 12 round match scheduled between November 11–30, that is is expected to attract a global online and TV audience of more than 1 billion fans, Carlsen will for the second time try to successfully defend his title, after taking title form Viswanathan Anand in 2013, and defending it in November 2014.
As the two Grandmasters will compete for a prize fund of at least 1 million euros, it will also be the first match for the title between such young players as they are both born in 1990. And prior to this match they have played 19 games at classical time control: Carlsen has won three, Karjakin one, and 15 games ended in a draw.
How interesting this match will be is best described by Chess.com analysist who said that it should finally answer the question from the Fischer-Karpov non-encounter: what will prevail, the genius of an individual or the iron grip of the Soviet team? Carlsen is favorite, but can Karjakin prevail?
Will Bernie Sanders endorse Hillary Clinton before the Democratic National Convention?
One of the recently most popular political markets at Fairlay was 'Will Bernie Sanders drop out before July 1?' (you can still place your predictions on this one at https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-bernie-sanders-drop-out-before-july-1-1/), but though at first it looked like he will drop out after losing California, he still didn't do that.
So, if he doesn't drop out out of the nomination race before July, will Bernie at least endorse Hillary before the Democratic National Convention set to start on July 25 in Philadelphia. Currently, odds go a bit towards 'Yes', but we already learned that nothing is easy with Bernie.
Will Sanders endorse Hillary before the National Convention?
While some think that he will not endorse Hillary at all, others are sure that he will do that on Convention in order to help her defeat Trump, thus not before. There is also a popular opinion that he will endorse Hillary in the following weeks, but without droping out of the race.
What is your opinion on this market. Will Sanders endorse Clinton soon enough, or go so far to not endorse her at all?
One of the recently most popular political markets at Fairlay was 'Will Bernie Sanders drop out before July 1?' (you can still place your predictions on this one at https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-bernie-sanders-drop-out-before-july-1-1/), but though at first it looked like he will drop out after losing California, he still didn't do that.
So, if he doesn't drop out out of the nomination race before July, will Bernie at least endorse Hillary before the Democratic National Convention set to start on July 25 in Philadelphia. Currently, odds go a bit towards 'Yes', but we already learned that nothing is easy with Bernie.
Will Sanders endorse Hillary before the National Convention?
While some think that he will not endorse Hillary at all, others are sure that he will do that on Convention in order to help her defeat Trump, thus not before. There is also a popular opinion that he will endorse Hillary in the following weeks, but without droping out of the race.
What is your opinion on this market. Will Sanders endorse Clinton soon enough, or go so far to not endorse her at all?
is there any chance of the game in politics. I think that Hillary is looking for support as much as possible and he was looking for a sympathy. Then it is not to worry about, most important is after the election is finished. The winner is the person who really supports the wishes of the people and the country can be at peace without hostility or even the revolt
Will Bernie Sanders endorse Hillary Clinton before the Democratic National Convention?
One of the recently most popular political markets at Fairlay was 'Will Bernie Sanders drop out before July 1?' (you can still place your predictions on this one at https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-bernie-sanders-drop-out-before-july-1-1/), but though at first it looked like he will drop out after losing California, he still didn't do that.
So, if he doesn't drop out out of the nomination race before July, will Bernie at least endorse Hillary before the Democratic National Convention set to start on July 25 in Philadelphia. Currently, odds go a bit towards 'Yes', but we already learned that nothing is easy with Bernie.
Will Sanders endorse Hillary before the National Convention?
While some think that he will not endorse Hillary at all, others are sure that he will do that on Convention in order to help her defeat Trump, thus not before. There is also a popular opinion that he will endorse Hillary in the following weeks, but without droping out of the race.
What is your opinion on this market. Will Sanders endorse Clinton soon enough, or go so far to not endorse her at all?
One of the recently most popular political markets at Fairlay was 'Will Bernie Sanders drop out before July 1?' (you can still place your predictions on this one at https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-bernie-sanders-drop-out-before-july-1-1/), but though at first it looked like he will drop out after losing California, he still didn't do that.
So, if he doesn't drop out out of the nomination race before July, will Bernie at least endorse Hillary before the Democratic National Convention set to start on July 25 in Philadelphia. Currently, odds go a bit towards 'Yes', but we already learned that nothing is easy with Bernie.
Will Sanders endorse Hillary before the National Convention?
While some think that he will not endorse Hillary at all, others are sure that he will do that on Convention in order to help her defeat Trump, thus not before. There is also a popular opinion that he will endorse Hillary in the following weeks, but without droping out of the race.
What is your opinion on this market. Will Sanders endorse Clinton soon enough, or go so far to not endorse her at all?
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Will there be a hard fork before July 10 (or August 1) related to the attack on the DAO in Ethereum?
Hot and burning topic this morning, Ethereum community is shocked by an attack in the DAO. The consequence was price dip in few hours. Because of this, the development community is proposing a soft fork (with no rollback; no transactions or blocks will be “reversed”).
But can we expect hard fork to improve given situation? Thus, you have a new market at Fairlay:
Will there be a hard fork before July 10 related to the attack on the DAO in Ethereum?
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-there-be-a-hard-fork-before-july-10-related-to-the-attack-on-the-dao-in-ethereum-1/.
And if you think that July 10 is too soon for this to be resolved, there is also a market for August 1:
Will there be a hard fork before August 1 related to the attack on the DAO in Ethereum?
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-there-be-a-hard-fork-before-august-1-related-to-the-attack-on-the-dao-in-ethereum/.
So, what is your opinion on this topic, and which side in the market do you predict it to be resolved to?
Hot and burning topic this morning, Ethereum community is shocked by an attack in the DAO. The consequence was price dip in few hours. Because of this, the development community is proposing a soft fork (with no rollback; no transactions or blocks will be “reversed”).
But can we expect hard fork to improve given situation? Thus, you have a new market at Fairlay:
Will there be a hard fork before July 10 related to the attack on the DAO in Ethereum?
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-there-be-a-hard-fork-before-july-10-related-to-the-attack-on-the-dao-in-ethereum-1/.
And if you think that July 10 is too soon for this to be resolved, there is also a market for August 1:
Will there be a hard fork before August 1 related to the attack on the DAO in Ethereum?
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-there-be-a-hard-fork-before-august-1-related-to-the-attack-on-the-dao-in-ethereum/.
So, what is your opinion on this topic, and which side in the market do you predict it to be resolved to?
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